stormtracker Posted March 9, 2018 Author Share Posted March 9, 2018 Every time I see the ICON discussed, I want to punch kittens. On a more serious note, yes..we will wait until after 12z Euro for a new, heavily moderated storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, mappy said: don't speak so definitively. GFS could go back to a more southern solution. Ouch...I'm not sure he was speaking definitively...just commenting on what things seem to be converging so far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 I think the other takeaway in a possible storm now delayed until Monday is there is going to be additional time/model runs to figure out what's going to happen. This thing has trended an entire 24 hours, and maybe even 36 hours, later than originally modeled. Remember the Euro was trying to sneak precip in here late Saturday at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Ouch...I'm not sure he was speaking definitively...just commenting on what things seem to be converging so far! okie dokie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Don’t kill me @stormtracker .... ICON is a whiff but oooo it’s close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 22 minutes ago, eurojosh said: New thread after Euro to carry this home? 18 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Hold on now...yes, I had a rocky start, but look how far we've come together. Some of you want to drop Storm Tracker? Are you kidding me? What are you trying to do, jinx us? Hes got us here let him take us home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 It's early in the run but so far so good at 36h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 18 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Looks WAY better than its last run. This model is very jumpy though. I was following it when it first came out on TT and it was all over the place. I've noticed something like that too. It seems to be jumpiest when spinning up surface lows. It has been steady (and very good) on a couple of frontal passage-type events this year, but then once the coastal takes over it tends to shift around a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Northern stream not digging as much, 50/50 moving out a touch quicker through 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 GFS through 45. Southern vort a little south of last run. Northern vort stronger. 50/50 further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 GFS a touch south at 42 but still right where it needs to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 48h a little east, and over Northern Alabama. Not the BEST look from the GFS so far but far from the bad Euro and 12km NAM looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Surface came a good deal south this run thru 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 SS sw is a little weaker this run, less stream interaction through 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 57. Congrats Roanoake. It's gonna be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Not nearly as amped at 57, I doubt this ends up as good but you never know...let it play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2018 Author Share Posted March 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, supernovasky said: 48h a little east, and over Northern Alabama. Not the BEST look from the GFS so far but far from the bad Euro and 12km NAM looks. Yeah, noticeable more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 This should slide harmlessly out to sea, very little snow for anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 54h is where the southern trend from the last few GFS runs becomes obvious. I think this run gives us snow but probably not a crush job unless it takes a hard left soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 63 fringed. Its a miss unfortunately. Flurries make it to DC though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Slides off the coast of NC at 60h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2018 Author Share Posted March 9, 2018 Well. Back to where we were yesterday with the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Meh looks like every other boring model now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Well. Back to where we were yesterday with the GFS Yeah, if you've been following crankywxguy he's been saying exactly this solution is the most likely outcome for 2 days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 back n forth, back n forth. no one will have an idea of what's going to happen until late tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Aaand it's flying away at 66h. Looks like we've lost the GFS for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 JAckpot central VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 22 minutes ago, mappy said: don't speak so definitively. GFS could go back to a more southern solution. oh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2018 Author Share Posted March 9, 2018 Kinda crazy for anybody to give up now with the way this has been see-sawing on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Here we go again with the GFS flip flop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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