Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Wow this looks better loooooool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 69 998mb SLP located close to where KY/TN/VA share a border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2018 Author Share Posted March 9, 2018 This looks really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 GFS is into central TN at 63 this run. This should be good I think. Jumping off of NC at 72. Snow has already started. We are going to get hit good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2018 Author Share Posted March 9, 2018 Just now, Ji said: Wow this looks better loooooool Ninja'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Actually, might be too North... PSU probably perking up right about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 540 thickness too far north.. boundary issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 At 60 the stj is still weaker but its phased again and north of 18z. Plus stronger better NS. Heights in front similar. The better NS dig offsets the slightly weaker stj imo. I might actually like the look of 0z more right now. 50/50 is slightly northeast of 18z. Feels like this has a bit more room to amplify and come up vs 18z at same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 GFS at 60 looks good at surface and 500. Vigorous N/S, 50/50 weaker, good dynamics, western ridge in perfect position. I expect a stronger coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 We lost the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Still enough lead time to get 1-2" qpf but it might be rain. Rain is better than snow. Easier to shovel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 75 transfer finishing with new SLP near OBX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 500 looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2018 Author Share Posted March 9, 2018 Just now, cae said: We lost the ICON. Can you check the CRAS, eta-x and MM5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Shen Valley CRUSHED at 75. Great run so far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 I'm apparently behind everyone else so I'll **** up but man it looks good to me so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, NovaTarHeel said: Looks better at 54 to me. Has more room to come north. agreed. 500 looks a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 81 998 east of NC/VA border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Still enough lead time to get 1-2" qpf but it might be rain. Rain is better than snow. Easier to shovel True. And we won't need salt and brine. Schools might close just cuz though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 84 996mb SLP ESE of Ocean CIty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Much better H5 this run with both streams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Wow 78. Now if we can get it to stall/slowly move north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 84!!! This is the run we've been waiting for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: 84 996mb SLP ESE of Ocean CIty 87 996mb SLP east of Ocean City by 150 miles or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 500 low is fully closed, deepening as it approaches 78-81. Coastal should be a beast passing our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 the old the old the new and improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2018 Author Share Posted March 9, 2018 15 minutes ago, Amped said: Cut way back on the precip over OK at 39hrs. Partial cave in. Tell us more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 I’d take my chances any day with that 500 look. It’s textbook for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Perfect timing with start of snow too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ji said: 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Placement is similar at 48. Better synced up with NS still. But...the southern system is significantly weaker. It recovered at 54...guess it got energized Because it phased. You said it earlier. The difference between the gfs and all else is simple. It's slower and stronger with the stj wave and it phases in the miss valley. From there we are game on. The other guidance is faster with the stj slowe with the NS and out of sync and miss that connection then it's game over. Stj races off and NS digs south elongating the trough positively tilted so any leftover energy has no shot. Game over. Rgem fwiw looked in the gfs camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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