clskinsfan Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Deep Thunder has to be right. West screwed again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 NAM has the system emerging off the Pensacola coast and turning tropical... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, eurojosh said: NAM has the system emerging off the Pensacola coast and turning tropical... That low in the Gulf looks like a beast but I think has the looks of a classic Miller A headed up the east coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 NAM is basically useless outside of 72 hours. If we have one model going rogue I'm happy its the long range NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 hour ago, MJB said: As 25 years is Silver let the Silver Storm be christened. And let the jackpot be in Silver Spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Since silver is 25, does that mean the Silver Storm drops 25" across the region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 DC meteo isn't up yet on wxbell but here's gburg. Definitive improvement from 0z. Still lots of spread but trend is pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 lol nam. h5 actually doesn't look bad. That Gulf low tho, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 10 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: 973 off the tidewater and precip barely reaches DC? Haha This time there will probably be "too much blocking" or "too much high pressure." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: lol nam. h5 actually doesn't look bad. That Gulf low tho, lol i thought the same thing. H5 looked way better than 12z disaster...minus Hurricane zwyts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: DC meteo isn't up yet on wxbell but here's gburg. Definitive improvement from 0z. Still lots of spread but trend is pretty good. im feeling 35 dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: im feeling 35 dude 35 drops some rain on you so not a total whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: im feeling 35 dude 35 is an ode to the first 90 days of winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 12z NAVGEM is a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 22 minutes ago, eurojosh said: NAM has the system emerging off the Pensacola coast and turning tropical... Time to rename it the Tropic Thunder model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: 12z NAVGEM is a disaster long range NAM and the NAVGEM are disasters. My confidence in this storm just went way up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 35 minutes ago, anotherman said: Tony Pann must get a commission for talking about Deep Thunder. No idea how he still holds a met job given is insane reliance on the rpm and constant mentions of weenie models to disseminate info to people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Tropical Thunder is out performing the globals this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 51 minutes ago, anotherman said: @psuhoffman Fringed. That would set me over the edge lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Let the GFS watching begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Reading this LWX AFD - The 07/12z GFS phases upper level energy ejecting eastward from Colorado with northern stream energy diving through the Northern Rockies, while at the same time kicks the northeastern US system east of Nova Scotia by Sunday morning. This allows for increased amplification of the incoming system and higher probabilities for precipitation. The 07/00z ECMWF solution on the other hand keeps the upper level energy unphased, and the northeastern US system atop Maine/Nova Scotia through Sunday, leading to a more suppressed weaker solution. The thing is that if you compare the two solutions at 96 hours side by side you dont really see much different in the placement of the upper level features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That would set me over the edge lol I am still waiting for the rant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 EPO goes negative and PNA very positive just in time for the potential storm next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, PDIII said: Reading this LWX AFD - The 07/12z GFS phases upper level energy ejecting eastward from Colorado with northern stream energy diving through the Northern Rockies, while at the same time kicks the northeastern US system east of Nova Scotia by Sunday morning. This allows for increased amplification of the incoming system and higher probabilities for precipitation. The 07/00z ECMWF solution on the other hand keeps the upper level energy unphased, and the northeastern US system atop Maine/Nova Scotia through Sunday, leading to a more suppressed weaker solution. The thing is that if you compare the two solutions at 96 hours side by side you dont really see much different in the placement of the upper level features. I remember reading that they were referring to the 0z runs of the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 GFS looks a bit faster entering the west coast. Fingers crossed it digs further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Here comes happy hour GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I biggest fear with the GFS is getting the system too amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Interstate said: I biggest fear with the GFS is getting the system too amped i'm the opposite. more concerned about suppressed with that NS feature. probably won't really get consensus until tomorrow either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Interstate said: I biggest fear with the GFS is getting the system too amped That should be at the bottom of your list. Sheared/weak/progressive is by far the bigger risk here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 GFS a little farther south this run at 72 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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