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March 11-12 Potential Storm


stormtracker

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1 minute ago, eurojosh said:

NAM has the system emerging off the Pensacola coast and turning tropical...

 

 

:facepalm:

That low in the Gulf looks like a beast but I think has the looks of a classic Miller A headed up the east coast

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Reading this LWX AFD - 

 

The 07/12z GFS
phases upper level energy ejecting eastward from Colorado with
northern stream energy diving through the Northern Rockies, while at
the same time kicks the northeastern US system east of Nova Scotia
by Sunday morning. This allows for increased amplification of the
incoming system and higher probabilities for precipitation. The
07/00z ECMWF solution on the other hand keeps the upper level energy
unphased, and the northeastern US system atop Maine/Nova Scotia
through Sunday, leading to a more suppressed weaker solution.

 

The thing is that if you compare the two solutions at 96 hours side by side  you dont really see much different in the placement of the upper level features.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

ecmwf_z500a_atl_5.png

gfs_z500a_atl_17.png

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7 minutes ago, PDIII said:

Reading this LWX AFD - 

 


The 07/12z GFS
phases upper level energy ejecting eastward from Colorado with
northern stream energy diving through the Northern Rockies, while at
the same time kicks the northeastern US system east of Nova Scotia
by Sunday morning. This allows for increased amplification of the
incoming system and higher probabilities for precipitation. The
07/00z ECMWF solution on the other hand keeps the upper level energy
unphased, and the northeastern US system atop Maine/Nova Scotia
through Sunday, leading to a more suppressed weaker solution.

 

The thing is that if you compare the two solutions at 96 hours side by side  you dont really see much different in the placement of the upper level features.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

ecmwf_z500a_atl_5.png

gfs_z500a_atl_17.png

I remember reading that they were referring to the 0z runs of the euro.

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