psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Nam races the stj wave off and leaves the NS behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 3k has a better look at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Sorry all, had the composite reflectivity radar open when looking at the 00z NAM... my bad. I will be quiet now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Nam races the stj wave off and leaves the NS behind. Nam has a wrong bias after 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, LP08 said: 3k has a better look at 48 And runs it out ahead as well...not the most auspicious start to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 the key of this storm is how early the phase. if it phases and does it close to where GFS was doing it(Tenn Valley), we can overcome the ULL in Maine... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: the key of this storm is how early the phase. if it phases and does it close to where GFS was doing it(Tenn Valley), we can overcome the ULL in Maine... That seems to be the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Dear AmWx, Given the the uncertainty about the status of this storm, I’m becoming really concerned. As a parent of two children in a neighborhood filled with kids, I don’t know quite what to think about this. Will it hit or won’t it? With all the talk of bomb cyclones and thundersnow, my anxiety levels have risen to the point that I’ve had to self-medicate with alcohol this entire week. Please tell me that the local school systems will at least close their doors so that we concerned parents can sleep easy knowing that our children will be warm and safe on Monday. It will do us all (and my liver) so much good. Sincerely, - Thinking of The Children in Burke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That seems to be the difference. I'm wondering if the GFS is the only one picking up on what correct the timing of the waves is gonna be... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, mattie g said: Dear AmWx, Given the the uncertainty about the status of this storm, I’m becoming really concerned. As a parent of two children in a neighborhood filled with kids, I don’t know quite what to think about this. Will it hit or won’t it? With all the talk of bomb cyclones and thundersnow, my anxiety levels have risen to the point that I’ve had to self-medicate with alcohol this entire week. Please tell me that the local school systems will at least close their doors so that we concerned parents can sleep easy knowing that our children will be warm and safe on Monday. It will do us all (and my liver) so much good. Sincerely - Thinking of The Children in Burke Let us all pray...for your children, for your liver, and for the GFS to show us the way. Dilly Dilly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 We made 2 steps forward at 18z....ready for 3 steps backwards now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Rgem seems better in sync with the streams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Rgem seems better in sync with the streamsExcept the ss is more strung out than gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Cut way back on the precip over OK at 39hrs. Partial cave in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Going to be a mauling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Placement is similar at 48. Better synced up with NS still. But...the southern system is significantly weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Looks better at 54 to me. Has more room to come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 1000 mb SLP over NSH at 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Placement is similar at 48. Better synced up with NS still. But...the southern system is significantly weaker. It recovered at 54...guess it got energized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Yes. 50/50 placement farther north. Better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 50 50 not as dominant suppressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 998mb SLP at 66 in extreme S KY and NE TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Looks REAL good at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Better 500mb pattern, but it was southeast and later with the suspect low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 About to go boom at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 This is gonna be a good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Just now, Ji said: 50 50 not as dominant suppressive Still enough lead time to get 1-2" qpf but it might be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2018 Share Posted March 9, 2018 Wow this looks better loooooool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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