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March 11-12 Potential Storm


stormtracker

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10 minutes ago, Ji said:

im starting to the think the euro is trash. Its such an outlier..its hard to be taken seriously...how many times have you seen the GFS just lose a huge storm in the 72 hour window

It's been trash since the upgrade. I'm not kidding. It jumps all over and is wrong a lot with major amplified big ticket storms. If I was a forecaster it would be almost useless to me. Many times all its done is add noise. That's not to say it can't be right this time. But it's not useful because it's so inconsistent there is no way to know. It's been over amped a lot. Then a couple other times it was too suppressive. Imo they broke it for our purposes of tracking specific discreet threats from a IMBY pov. 

Btw how did we become the cheerleaders in here all of a sudden?  

I'm still skeptical but I've not changed much today. I'm not writing this off at 72 hours out and a system only 100 miles south of us on most guidance. 

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