anotherman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I really like where you all stand right now... a little nervous up here. I would like to see more "north misses" to balance out the south ones... way too many that nail DC but have a right northern gradient that hurts northern MD. And it can happen...there have been southern sliders where northern VA and DC get a foot of snow and little or nothing falls up here. There I worried about getting "fringed" so this thread is officially christened. After today, we are going to have PTSD about being fringed forevermore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I really like where you all stand right now... a little nervous up here. I would like to see more "north misses" to balance out the south ones... way too many that nail DC but have a right northern gradient that hurts northern MD. And it can happen...there have been southern sliders where northern VA and DC get a foot of snow and little or nothing falls up here. There I worried about getting "fringed" so this thread is officially christened. Yes but you get crushed with Miller b while i see sprinkles. No location is perfect in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I really like where you all stand right now... a little nervous up here. I would like to see more "north misses" to balance out the south ones... way too many that nail DC but have a right northern gradient that hurts northern MD. And it can happen...there have been southern sliders where northern VA and DC get a foot of snow and little or nothing falls up here. There I worried about getting "fringed" so this thread is officially christened. Yes but you get crushed with Miller b while i see sprinkles. No location is perfect in our area Yea I got crushed with a whole inch from this miller b lol My comment was specific to THIS storm not winter as a whole lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 45 minutes ago, frd said: May you guide us to the promise land :-) @stormtrackeris my Moses. Now make it snow for 40 days and 40 nights in this snow desert we live in. The Matzah is as dry as a Keebler Elf’s Townhouse cracker. We need divine intervention...and you’re just the man for the job. Get help from the big guy. It’s fine. Bring the QPF and let’s make a loaf of WHITE bread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I really like where you all stand right now... a little nervous up here. I would like to see more "north misses" to balance out the south ones... way too many that nail DC but have a right northern gradient that hurts northern MD. And it can happen...there have been southern sliders where northern VA and DC get a foot of snow and little or nothing falls up here. There I worried about getting "fringed" so this thread is officially christened. Now it's officially a Mid-Atlantic snowstorm. Superband guys are worried about getting nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 19 minutes ago, dallen7908 said: 12 UT EPS gives most of the forum one chance in 10 of >12", one chance in 5 of > 6", one chance in 3 of > 3", and one chance in 2 of > 1". How does this compare to last night's eps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Chris78 said: How does this compare to last night's eps? Its probably skewed NE of DC. 0z EPS had the 2" snow mean for last night's event just in NE DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 53 minutes ago, NovaTarHeel said: A thread already??? Feels too soon 28 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Lol, yes..a thread 4 days before potential is too soon. Given the history of this board, this thread is LATE. Thought this was great timing. I could just feel Ji's itchy trigger finger ready to pull the trigger on starting this thread. What is he now, 3 for 3, 4 for 4 on starting threads that the storms went into the tank? Let's keep his bad mojo off of this storm. eta: Sorry Ji, not picking on you but you have to admit you haven't had an exactly stellar record so far this year with starting threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Thought this was great timing. I could just feel Ji's itchy trigger finger ready to pull the trigger on starting this thread. What is he now, 3 for 3, 4 for 4 on starting threads that the storms went into the tank? Let's keep his bad mojo off of this storm. eta: Sorry Ji, not picking on you but you have to admit you haven't had an exactly stellar record so far this year with starting threads. you need to tell me who has had success creating storm threads the past 2 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I really like where you all stand right now... a little nervous up here. I would like to see more "north misses" to balance out the south ones... way too many that nail DC but have a right northern gradient that hurts northern MD. And it can happen...there have been southern sliders where northern VA and DC get a foot of snow and little or nothing falls up here. There I worried about getting "fringed" so this thread is officially christened. Been worried up here as well for the last couple of days. Could see very well where north of Baltimore sits this one out. Today's runs helped ease that fear somewhat especially the Euro. Still not even close to a lock up here whatsoever but if I lived DC south and west I would be feeling very comfortable at this moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I admit I am peeking glances at the h5 level of the 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Ji said: you need to tell me who has had success creating storm threads the past 2 years I'm two for two. Started threads that were on storms that were all but dead that I still had faith in and they ended up being the biggest storms of the winter for sections of our region. So there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 How much did the 12z UKMET drop on the region generally speaking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Climate175 said: How much did the 12z UKMET drop on the region generally speaking? 3 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: 2" of precip @ DCA UK most of that is new... NE maryland starts with .4" from today... dca less then .1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 9 minutes ago, yoda said: I admit I am peeking glances at the h5 level of the 18z NAM Anything interesting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Anything interesting? Its only out to 45 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Wow, 2" out here on the UKIE...and since that includes the 0 from today, that's a full 2". That would be something if it verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Its only out to 45 so far Looks like less dig and farther east with the energy driving down from Canada in the west at 48 hrs. For whatever that is worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Deep Thunder Model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Climate175 said: Deep Thunder Model looks nice. where do you find that model, haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Climate175 said: Deep Thunder Model I have seen that model a lot by Ventrice on social media during the last three months. Looks great, but what is the verification ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Climate175 said: Deep Thunder Model 973 off the tidewater and precip barely reaches DC? Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mordecai Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 20 minutes ago, Ji said: you need to tell me who has had success creating storm threads the past 2 years Deck pick created the first Jan 2016 blizzard thread a week in advance. @stormtracker made the following 3 threads for storm mode. So I trust him here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Wow, 2" out here on the UKIE...and since that includes the 0 from today, that's a full 2". That would be something if it verified. We both know 0 chance Stephen's City records 2'' liquid in a tropical system let alone a winter storm. You live in a micro desert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, ryanconway63 said: looks nice. where do you find that model, haha I got it from Tony Pann's tweet. He is a TV Met in Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Subtropics said: We both know 0 chance Stephen's City records 2'' liquid in a tropical system let alone a winter storm. You live in a micro desert. Truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: 973 off the tidewater and precip barely reaches DC? Haha Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, Climate175 said: Deep Thunder Model @psuhoffman Fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 11 minutes ago, Climate175 said: Deep Thunder Model Wish we could have the 12 hr image before this one to see what direction it is headed in and where it was before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 9 minutes ago, Climate175 said: I got it from Tony Pann's tweet. He is a TV Met in Baltimore. Tony Pann must get a commission for talking about Deep Thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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