Jebman Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Just now, SnowGolfBro said: Time for a comeback. By happy hour tomorrow we will back to a crushjob. Models are just working out the kinks. Lots of moving parts THAT'S the spirit! Tracker's right! We will fight for this! We shall WILL it in! We will never ever give up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 I am sorry but did someone say my name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 I am sorry but did someone say my name?Very fitting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 41 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: You better not mean those NYC bastards or the chowderheads from SNE. Easy there I heard that...I'm pulling for my southern friends hopefully this pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Just one of those winters ... it happens. If we're on the edge, follow the trend, which this season has been 'Nope' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 boxing day blizzard The global American and European weather models encountered exceptional difficulty in portraying the path of the storm. The main issue that the models were trying to resolve was whether or not the upper-level low pressure system from Central Canada was going to phase in time with the southern stream energy, thereby revealing if the resulting storm would come up the Eastern Seaboard or simply continue to move east out to sea in the Atlantic Ocean. The latter solution would have only caused the storm to affect the Mid-Atlantic states of Virginia and North Carolina with a modest winter storm instead of the entire Eastern coastline up to Atlantic Canada. As such, it was only 24 hours prior to the storm's arrival in the Northeastern states when all the European and American models were in agreement that the storm would turn up the entire coastline. The National Weather Service's Hydrometeorological Prediction Center and many other private forecasters were skeptical of the storm impacting the Northeastern states until about 24 hours of the storm's arrival as well; although, some models depicted the storm delivering a full-blown blizzard to the New York City metropolitan area as early as a week in advance. The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center even issued a statement on Christmas Eve, 48 hours prior to the storm, that they suspected the American models of having model initialization errors; thus, they believed these errors may have forced the storm to be erroneously modeled to come up the Northeastern coast.[27] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 2 hours ago, clskinsfan said: I live NW of Winchester. But I could be confusing it with another storm. They all seem to blend together the older I get I got 6" in Front Royal, where I lived at the time (1-30-10). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2018 Author Share Posted March 8, 2018 41 minutes ago, PennQuakerGirl said: Are you gonna do it all official-Washington D.C. politician-like? (Lots of "mistakes were made", "there were...complications", non-apologies, etc.) Nope, it's going to be straight up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 The 12z EPS is comical. Seriously. If you’re looking for a good laugh take a look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 I remember they said GFS has initialization issues BDB 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 6 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: The 12z EPS is comical. Seriously. If you’re looking for a good laugh take a look. There are still 2 hits lol yea most don't even have a storm at all lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, WeathermanB said: Lol what does it look like? the other half are just as bad. 2 hits total. Most aren't close. EPS squashed the wave way south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 It appears the stratosphere and the -NAO did bring the eastcoast a KU event. It was yesterday, hope yall enjoyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Here go again... another cancel? No snowstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 The Euro is so consistent - Miami To DC then back to Miami in 48 hours. It's as jumpy as they make em, and the ensembles just follow the op all over the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 1 minute ago, WeathermanB said: Here go again... another cancel? No snowstorm? No snowstorm, but a big snowhole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, WeathermanB said: Here go again... another cancel? No snowstorm? yup. shut 'er down. its over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Its gonna come back. Models have hiccups. This is only a temporary hiccup. The storm will come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 My favorite and most reliable map seems to think this storm will be taking a different track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 EPS shows numerous chances for snow during the 10-15 day time frame ... at least for far northern MD. However, for the storm of interest only 6% of the ensembles gives DC as much as one inch. However, 2/3 of that subset gives DC >6"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, Jebman said: Its gonna come back. You might miss someone posting the CRAS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, Amped said: It appears the stratosphere and the -NAO did bring the eastcoast a KU event. It was yesterday, hope yall enjoyed. It was in the back of my mind as I was watching reports in NJ that this wasn't good...how many major amplifications are likely in a small period of time. We already missed two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 NAM flow seems even flatter through 39 if that's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 In an odd twist. It is dumping big huge snowflakes out here right now.....Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It was in the back of my mind as I was watching reports in NJ that this wasn't good...how many major amplifications are likely in a small period of time. We already missed two. i was always thinking but never mentioned it...how rare would it be to have 3 noreasters between March 1 and March 10 smh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 There is nothing to suppress this it may take its own self out to sea because if upper air patterns but not via suppression. Over a foot last night and 12 hours later almost zip, show all the solutions as usual. in fact come crunch time I think temperatures will be more challenging and not a suppressive miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, eurojosh said: NAM flow seems even flatter through 39 if that's possible. Did a compare at 42hrs. Not flatter, but still probably not a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 NAM at 48 has the ULL north of ME further North...NEVER Surrender! (Probably won't matter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2018 Author Share Posted March 8, 2018 9 minutes ago, eurojosh said: NAM flow seems even flatter through 39 if that's possible. It's definitely not flatter. Nonetheless, still not ideal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: In an odd twist. It is dumping big huge snowflakes out here right now.....Go figure. Snowing here as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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