WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: Wasn't boxing day dead in water like this 96 hours out and made a miraculous come back for the northeast? See you at 18z lol.. yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, NovaTarHeel said: So, game over? I’d pull the plug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 You know it was a bad run when even Ji seems like an optimistic person. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 DT ain't giving up on this. He wants his Richmond snow bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Ron Paul has been sitting in that room for 2 years now. Someday I’ll ask him to make a glorious comeback to the mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 At this point I’m just waiting for a @Bob Chill or @psuhoffman rant. That will suffice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Analogs turned snowier again. Mar 2009! http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=SE&fhr=F084&rundt=2018030812&map=thbCOOP72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Man, i truly feel for you guys. I dont EVER remember a winter where there were so many chances and so many epic looking patterns for a single region only to have the rug pulled out over and over and over and over. I wouldnt stick a fork in it yet but sheesh, whatever could go wrong this winter truly has. I empathize with every single one of you :-( I am sure everyone here appreciates your condolences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 See you guys in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Just now, feloniousq said: See you guys in November. See you in 2065. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 1 minute ago, feloniousq said: See you guys in November. 1 minute ago, Vice-Regent said: See you in 2065. bye! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Just now, ers-wxman1 said: Cool. Somebody teach me how to use the esnembles” Never received training in them. They perform as bad as they are spelled. Aren't we at the point when ensembles should be weighted less too? Let's face it. The Euro has showed no snow for the DC area 6 runs consecutively now. It may just be one model, but most other ensemble suites and JV models (except the ICON) show a miss to the south. The writing is on the wall with this one most likely. I hope I'll be eating my words in 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 16 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said: 12z Euro looks to be the worst run yet through 72 hours. Western ridge is further east, trough looks sheared, positive tilt and south. 50/50 holding in strong. Suppressed and Weaker system. Love your analysis and it's always spot on just wish it was positive more often lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 How the hell can the supposed best two weather models in the world be so far apart at such a short lead time from an event? I mean they are almost identical at 500 at 48 hours. And they just completely diverge from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 For some reason I still feel like sticking with this one all the way through...not sure why, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 No need to read model play by play, this is all you need to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 The icon is 2 days behind. Give it till Friday to fold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohwxguy Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 19 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said: I’d pull the plug. Too bad. I was hoping for one last nor'easter before I leave the East Coast and move to Chicago this spring. Of course I'm likely to get more snow there each winter, but I'll miss the fun of nor'easters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 whats this at 168 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 What will be really funny is if 18z were to come north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 whats this at 168 ? Archambault take 2 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: What will be really funny is if 18z were to come north Congrats Fredericksburg if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Me after the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2018 Author Share Posted March 8, 2018 Troops, Even though large tracts of the Mid Atlantic and many old and famous States have fallen or may fall into the grip of the Gestapo and all the odious apparatus of Snow Nazi rule, we shall not flag or fail. We shall go on to the end, we shall fight in DC, we shall fight on the seas and oceans, we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our region, whatever the cost may be, we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender, and even if, which I do not for a moment believe, this region or a large part of it were subjugated and starving, then our Snow Empire beyond the seas, armed and guarded by the Weenie Fleet, would carry on the struggle, until, in God’s good time, the New World, with all its power and might, steps forth to the rescue us from snow starvation and the liberation of the old. Do not give up. Soldier on until the first flake falls. Or doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Fozz said: Congrats Fredericksburg if that happens. I meant the 18z GFS...we'd be back in it via GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Troops, Even though large tracts of the Mid Atlantic and many old and famous States have fallen or may fall into the grip of the Gestapo and all the odious apparatus of Snow Nazi rule, we shall not flag or fail. We shall go on to the end, we shall fight in DC, we shall fight on the seas and oceans, we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our region, whatever the cost may be, we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender, and even if, which I do not for a moment believe, this region or a large part of it were subjugated and starving, then our Snow Empire beyond the seas, armed and guarded by the Weenie Fleet, would carry on the struggle, until, in God’s good time, the New World, with all its power and might, steps forth to the rescue us from snow starvation and the liberation of the old. Do not give up. Soldier on until the first flake falls. Or doesn't. I'm with ya Beethoven! Besides, what have we got to lose at this point? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Weenie handbook play #97, start a new thread to exercise the demons of this one.....Sorry StormTracker....desperate times..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 22 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Aren't we at the point when ensembles should be weighted less too? Let's face it. The Euro has showed no snow for the DC area 6 runs consecutively now. It may just be one model, but most other ensemble suites and JV models (except the ICON) show a miss to the south. The writing is on the wall with this one most likely. I hope I'll be eating my words in 48 hours Yeah, it's not looking good, but we're still 3+ days out. Regarding ensembles, the GFS / GGEM start outperforming their ensembles at about 48-72 hours out. The GFS closer to 48 and GGEM closer to 72. I generally stop paying much attention to the global ensembles once the RGEM ensemble comes into range. 18 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: How the hell can the supposed best two weather models in the world be so far apart at such a short lead time from an event? I mean they are almost identical at 500 at 48 hours. And they just completely diverge from there. There is a large gap in skill between the Euro and GFS. I know sometimes it seems like they're competing for the crown, but it's not really close. By most measures, the Euro and the UKMET are the best two models in the world, and even there the competition isn't really close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 This thread is amazing. If evening models come back, I am bumping trolling you weenies who jumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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