psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 There are some things I don't hate about the nam run. Loop the h5 at the end of the run. The flow is banking and heights rising at the perfect time. It's not hostile to amplifying a storm in the east. But there is nothing to work with because the stj wave is down in Florida. If that wave was up in northern Georgia even we might be able to work with that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:16 AM, psuhoffman said: There are some things I don't hate about the nam run. Loop the h5 at the end of the run. The flow is banking and heights rising at the perfect time. It's not hostile to amplifying a storm in the east. But there is nothing to work with because the stj wave is down in Florida. If that wave was up in northern Georgia even we might be able to work with that look. Expand Well...you'd think we could rule out an stj wave in Florida, so...perhaps the run has a little promise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:16 AM, Ji said: i mean this dosent look that bad right? Normally we would be thrilled with this...lol Expand Absolutely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:16 AM, Ji said: i mean this dosent look that bad right? Normally we would be thrilled with this...lol Expand The gefs wasn't the problem. Everything else was. (Except ukmet ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:16 AM, Ji said: i mean this dosent look that bad right? Normally we would be thrilled with this...lol Expand Let's simplify this. The gefs and EPS had two clear camps today. If the northern camp is right we snow. If the south camp is right we cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 I know we joke about this but this is probably the most important run of our lives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 While we wait for the GFS, through 60, ICON is coming in with slightly higher heights in the east. SLP in N TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:29 AM, Ji said: I know we joke about this but this is probably the most important run of our lives Expand See ya in the fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:28 AM, psuhoffman said: Let's simplify this. The gefs and EPS had two clear camps today. If the northern camp is right we snow. If the south camp is right we cry. Unfortunately your leaning south camp which makes me very nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:30 AM, Ian said: See ya in the fall At least i can start to focus again on your trump tweets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:35 AM, Ji said: On 3/8/2018 at 3:30 AM, Ian said: See ya in the fall Expand At least i can start to focus again on your trump tweets Expand I know the panic has been somewhat lower intensity with these snow threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 The suspense is killing me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 ICON is south of it's 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:31 AM, Ji said: On 3/8/2018 at 3:28 AM, psuhoffman said: Let's simplify this. The gefs and EPS had two clear camps today. If the northern camp is right we snow. If the south camp is right we cry. Expand Unfortunately your leaning south camp which makes me very nervous Expand Just hope the gfs comes in at least 1 mile north of 18z. If it goes further south I wont be staying up for the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 South at 54h (Kidding... don't kill me) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2018 Author Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:39 AM, Bob Chill said: Just hope the gfs comes in at least 1 mile north of 18z. If it goes further south I wont be staying up for the euro Expand I'm with you. I probably won't be staying up regardless. If it's bad, nobody should panic..let's all hang in there until at least 12z tomorrow before we even entertain the thought of moving to the ledge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:44 AM, stormtracker said: I'm with you. I probably won't be staying up regardless. If it's bad, nobody should panic..let's all hang in there until at least 12z tomorrow before we even entertain the thought of moving to the ledge Peak ledge todaySent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 What I'm not liking is the early evolution has been pretty consistent last few runs with the low in Texas now at 60h. It's not a great start to the setup, as the best runs previously had the low in Oklahoma at the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Looks a tick further south at 60, but a bit more room to come north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 A hair north at 66h. C'mon.... calling my Louisiana friends to face North and blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 17 miles more north:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 75 1004mb SLP S ARK 78 1002mb SLP NW MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Better heights in this run through 72... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2018 Author Share Posted March 8, 2018 I mean, at worst, it'll probably hold. Which isn't great for us still...but it'll keep the fire burning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 I don't think it will be worse than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 I think the early evolution is locked in now, which has big implications for the later evolution of the threat. It starts off more southerly, so if it is going to gain latitude, it has its work cut out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:44 AM, supernovasky said: South at 54h (Kidding... don't kill me) Expand Personal foul...roughing the psyche!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Southern branch seems a bit stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2018 Author Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:49 AM, Ji said: I don't think it will be worse than 18z Expand See my post above yours. Worst case is that it'll hold I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 On 3/8/2018 at 3:49 AM, stormtracker said: I mean, at worst, it'll probably hold. Which isn't great for us still...but it'll keep the fire burning Expand Hold is a win right? We just need to stop the bleeding at this point.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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