MillvilleWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I'm hoping 00z EPS looks like 12z didSame. That was literally one of the most incredibly bad runs for a potential storm I have ever seen. I mean... there was just nothing to look at. Total death. Closest precip at one point was in Tampa lol. I’m not worried or anything like that, but my goodness. What a zany run. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: There wasn’t even a storm at all. First sign of a low was off the east coast of FL lol. It was a comedy of fail on that run. EPS will tell a different story. That was truly a master piece of awful. . Just ordered my seed potatoes. Goodbye frozen turn 2017/18. On to spring severe season fail. Then my corn will be 8' and we'll get severe lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 14 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: There wasn’t even a storm at all. First sign of a low was off the east coast of FL lol. It was a comedy of fail on that run. EPS will tell a different story. That was truly a master piece of awful. . Wait wha?? How you just gonna lose a storm altogether like that? So there was never any evolution of any kind that showed up? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 For anyone curious of QPF, this is the 0z Panasonic at 12z Monday . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 For anyone curious of QPF, this is the 0z Panasonic at 12z Monday .The SANYO and MAGNAVOX runs were dry too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Geps looks amazing. Eps isn't bad i guess all things considering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Ji said: Geps looks amazing. Eps isn't bad i guess all things considering Yea not terrible considering the horrid OP but a step back from 12z. Mean is south and east of 12z and less amped, tucked solutions. Mean snowfall is 2” for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Yea not terrible considering the horrid OP but a step back from 12z. Mean is south and east of 12z and less amped, tucked solutions. Mean snowfall is 2” for DC. What was mean snowfall in dc at 12z...didnt look like too much more than 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: 7 minutes ago, nj2va said: Yea not terrible considering the horrid OP but a step back from 12z. Mean is south and east of 12z and less amped, tucked solutions. Mean snowfall is 2” for DC. What was mean snowfall in dc at 12z...didnt look like too much more than 2 1.5” but it’s a step down for n/w of dc and the mean distribution has a signature favoring southern solutions compared to 12z which makes sense given the mslp maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Needless to say but 6z GFS will look nothing like the 00z euro. 995 in western ky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 At this point i want gfs as north as possible haha. The euro at 00z....no words Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Snow breaking out in CHO early Sunday afternoon. 994 in central Ky. Transfer should start soon based on isobar bends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Gfs is only 96 hours from the storm developing. Its been rock solid so far. Can't imagine it would just disappear lol but it is dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Considering what euro showed...this is a big win lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: Gfs is only 96 hours from the storm developing. Its been rock solid so far. Can't imagine it would just disappear lol but it is dc I feel like gfs has had a better winter overall but I’m pulling that logic from page 12 of the weenie handbook. I don’t even know what to think about the euro honestly. It certainly doesn’t leave me feeling good since it was such a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I feel like gfs has had a better winter overall but I’m pulling that logic from page 12 of the weenie handbook. I don’t even know what to think about the euro honestly. It certainly doesn’t leave me feeling good since it was such a disaster Until 12z euro runs...there will be a dark cloud. If the gfs is gonna show fail today 12z is where it will happen. Today is the most important modeling day. We need to survive today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Icon made a big step towards gfshttps://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018030606&fh=120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Looks like we may have temp issues, ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Looks like we may have temp issues, ugh. Let’s get the precip here first then worry about r/s line. Considering it’s march, best to go with climo....I’m anticipating mixing here in a gfs like solution whereas favored spots would stay snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Let’s get the precip here first then worry about r/s line. Considering it’s march, best to go with climo....I’m anticipating mixing here in a gfs like solution whereas favored spots would stay snow. The problem with the 6z seems to be in the transfer. The Ohio River valley low hangs around the same place and even retrogrades a little for about 12 hours. Thats gonna produce a SE flow over our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Did the overnight EPS still have Lows off the coast? I only heard that the GEFS was great and EPS was “OK”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 This morning's Gfs run is gorgeous. I don' know what happened with the Euro last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I chose to not look at the Euro disaster. 6z GFS still looks fine. Storm is there. We get hit. Can’t worry about temps, r/s line, etc yet. QPF looks decent. Plenty of time ahead to get a juicy NAMing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 6z GEFS might be the best run so far. 6 inch line closing in on the beltway. Lots of big hits in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 The ECMWF dropped the 2nd storm that was around March 12 or so... but the storms usually re-appear around 3 or so days out, wouldn't be surprised if the snowstorm for the Mid-Atlantic is back again. Waiting for spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 0z EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 18 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: 6z GEFS might be the best run so far. 6 inch line closing in on the beltway. Lots of big hits in there. ive seen the GEFS collapse too...in one run so we are not out of the woods. Today is the most important day for this storm in my opinion. If we can get to 00z tonight and still have a storm...i think we will be in decent shape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ji said: ive seen the GEFS collapse too...in one run so we are not out of the woods. Today is the most important day for this storm in my opinion. If we can get to 00z tonight and still have a storm...i think we will be in decent shape It’s going to be another one of those crossroads kind of days. Need to get steps forward. What could possibly go wrong? That’s rhetorical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just glancing at the latest GEFS run and I think we could call E4 a season saver for the DC/Balt region and in a big way no less. Would top season averages for most of the the forum in just a 7/8 day stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I thought EPS was a disaster too. It's only ok if your comparing it to the op. But the vast majority of the EPS are misses south and a lot are way south. That doesn't mean it's right. Gefs and geps look great. EPS can have a bad run. But as of now we lost the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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