Fozz Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: that dosent really work for me. I hope its the GFS dry bias. That should of been a 2 inch plus qpf If it isn't as impressive as March 1958, it's a fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Fozz said: If it isn't as impressive as March 1958, it's a fail i mean i didnt wait two years to get a 1.00 qpf storm in mid march with a severe -NAO...go big or go home. a 4-8 inch storm would be really pathetic imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: i mean i didnt wait two years to get a 1.00 qpf storm in mid march with a severe -NAO...go big or go home. a 4-8 inch storm would be really pathetic imo If your going to downplay a great run at least get the math right. It's 1.25" all snow in your yard. Sorry for your loss though. Not talking about snow with the loss. It's the marbles rolling all over the floor that is troubling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ji said: i mean i didnt wait two years to get a 1.00 qpf storm in mid march with a severe -NAO...go big or go home. a 4-8 inch storm would be really pathetic imo To a degree...I can understand that...Yet, in light of these last two years, we gotta be thankful if we get enough to shovel and plow at all (but again, if there is big potential, I totally get wanting to go all-in!!) P.S. Ya never messaged me, brother! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: i mean i didnt wait two years to get a 1.00 qpf storm in mid march with a severe -NAO...go big or go home. a 4-8 inch storm would be really pathetic imo I have to agree with you. I do think we can ramp up the juice as we get closer though. I’m betting the Euro mauls us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: To a degree...I can understand that...Yet, in light of these last two years, we gotta be thankful if we get enough to shovel and plow at all (but again, if there is big potential, I totally get wanting to go all-in!!) P.S. Ya never messaged me, brother! I mostly agree with Ji, but I'm not that worried about QPF yet. Globals obviously aren't going to nail that 6 days away and it's already not that bad. I'm hoping we get a big one. Haven't had one in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: If your going to downplay a great run at least get the math right. It's 1.25" all snow in your yard. Sorry for your loss though. Not talking about snow with the loss. It's the marbles rolling all over the floor that is troubling We went through this nonsense with him yesterday. I'm not even bothering this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Looks like the GFS is setting up for day 10...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Ok now the state is set for the grand finale on the 16th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: I have to agree with you. I do think we can ramp up the juice as we get closer though. I’m betting the Euro mauls us. Gfs under does the ccb all the time. Even close in. From range it's really bad. Don't worry about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Fozz said: I mostly agree with Ji, but I'm not that worried about QPF yet. Globals obviously aren't going to nail that 6 days away and it's already not that bad. I'm hoping we get a big one. Haven't had one in years. I can't relate with verbatim op runs at long leads. Amped up long duration event with a good track. The gfs run was a big one. We need less movie watching and more intellectual thinking around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Looks like the GFS is setting up for day 10...lol 1 minute ago, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said: Ok now the state is set for the grand finale on the 16th Ha the trend has been to hold the blocking longer. The 12th storm becomes a 50/50 and we do it all again. Perhaps with some real anomalous cold showing up around that time too. What if the 12th turns out to be an appetizer lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 would be amazing. GFS has been modeling something even more monstrous than the 12th, it spans pretty much the entire country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 LOL about to lose resolution but this look interesting for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 We went through this nonsense with him yesterday. I'm not even bothering this time. I thought about what you said today about jan 2005. Icon and to some extent ggem trying to turn this into a miller b? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Ha the trend has been to hold the blocking longer. The 12th storm becomes a 50/50 and we do it all again. Perhaps with some real anomalous cold showing up around that time too. What if the 12th turns out to be an appetizer lol. Isn't it normal for the pattern to take longer to break down than what's originally modeled? Usually it's the other way around with the better pattern stuck at day 15...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Ok just because I say this doesn't mean I'm in any way not excited about the 12th...I am...but that day 10 setup (and it was on the euro too) is intriguing if only from a wow crazy way. The AK vortex dumps wholly into the west but the blocking holds and the 50/50 vortex pinwheels all the North American cold and slingshots it down into the Conus. So we get the power play of power plays as the trough off the Pacific with all that moisture slams into the cold blocked in being forced south. Just wow type stuff. No idea how that plays out it's just interesting imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Whoa! Happy St. Paddy’s Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 The storm after the storm. Might be a fun 2 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I can't relate with verbatim op runs at long leads. Amped up long duration event with a good track. The gfs run was a big one. We need less movie watching and more intellectual thinking around here. I just want dark blue dude. To me the maps excite me as much as the actual event:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ji said: 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: We went through this nonsense with him yesterday. I'm not even bothering this time. I thought about what you said today about jan 2005. Icon and to some extent ggem trying to turn this into a miller b? They've been doing that for days though. As long as the varsity sticks with the stj wave being dominant we're ok. If we start to see the gfs or euro trend toward a NS dominant storm then ill worry about that some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 The run was fine lol...it just seemed so juiced and amped but the qpf was a let down. I like seeing maps ha. Im fine. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Any word on the UKIE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Nice GEPS run. Good uptick for March 7, and big jump in snow mean for the 12th. Still a lot of misses, but some big hits. Below are couple of the better members. This is all from the 2nd system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 0z Euro = Unmitigated disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 0z Euro = Unmitigated disaster Not on a site where you can see precip panels...what happened exactly? Wait a minute...did it just lose the storm entirely?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 0z Euro = Unmitigated disaster That H5 evolution was so bad, I actually admired its awfulness. Best precip was south of Savannah lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: That H5 evolution was so bad, I actually admired its awfulness. Best precip was south of Savannah lol . So suppressed then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: That H5 evolution was so bad, I actually admired its awfulness. Best precip was south of Savannah lol . I'm hoping 00z EPS looks like 12z did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 So suppressed then?There wasn’t even a storm at all. First sign of a low was off the east coast of FL lol. It was a comedy of fail on that run. EPS will tell a different story. That was truly a master piece of awful. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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