Jandurin Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 snow map is updated at least damn ninjaed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 TT is much like our winter. Got to the good part and then skipped 18 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 That's a straight up flush hit. EXACTLY what we want to see. I find zero wrong with this run. Perfecto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: Wow what a run and it probably could even get slightly better with just a bit more phasing. Yeah my question would be how quickly the low shoots out after 12 hours. How do we get that sucker to stay put longer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 114 is such a beautiful panel. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: Wow what a run and it probably could even get slightly better with just a bit more phasing. Shut your mouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: Man that is a textbook SECS'y look right there. Maybe even better than that. wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: That's a straight up flush hit. EXACTLY what we want to see. I find zero wrong with this run. Perfecto. Not one person here should find anything wrong with it. I just need another model to match it. Hell, I'd even take the CMC at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 What a flsuh hit. I mean, could we ask for a better track? If euro still shows nothing today, I think we are in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 18 minutes ago, Ji said: GFS has alot more southern branch energy than the other models This is a bit strange as GFS at this range usually underdoes southern energy in situations like this. Not sure what to think. Hopefully Euro climbs aboard the storm train as it is now Euro wheelhouse time. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Surface is above freezing at onset then crashes. Kuchera is a good representation of ground truth. BOOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Well well well...CMC just misses the phase but took a huge step towards the GFS....#America! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: Man that is a textbook SECS'y look right there. Maybe even better than that. wow. I'd say mecs for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Shut your mouth. Hey I’m fully comfortable with this solution. Just pointing out this isn’t max potential. It’s probably like 75-90% of max though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Wow what a run and it probably could even get slightly better with just a bit more phasing. each run since 00z has gotten much better with the phasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Would rather not be in the bullseye with still so much time to go but no other complaints about this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Gee, wonder if WBAL is going to start mentioning this storm now. They have been downplaying any possibility of a storm on Sunday/Mon. There graphics only showed 20% chance of precipitation this morning, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 989 mb positioned at the Bay and pouring snow. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Not one person here should find anything wrong with it. I just need another model to match it. Hell, I'd even take the CMC at this point. This is pretty close to the GFS all things considered. We're really in the game this time dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 That was a fantastic run, and it even leaves room for some slight improvement at 500 MB. 500 MB was a very nice trend toward more consolidated less strung out energy. Let's just hope some of the other globals start to buy into this idea... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 CMC is slower with the northern vort and thus misses the phase. But it’s way closer than its 0z idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: This is pretty close to the GFS all things considered. We're really in the game this time dude. It actually had some semblence of the southern Vort that seems to be missing on other guidance. It was close to doing the exact same thing as the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: This is pretty close to the GFS all things considered. We're really in the game this time dude. Ok, yes..that is more than i was expecting and a nod to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Nice Run, the Euro run will be very very interesting.....The GFS has been the best model all year, no doubt. Right now I think the GFS has the right idea however I think the Low placement may actually end up being a bit southeast of its current GFS track. Lets see what ensembles and the Euro show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 As long as DT gets rain, we are golden up here. That is my benchmark on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Euro will prob start coming back at 12z. GFS has been quite steady lately. I believe but it is March so we will have some potential issues in the low lands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: Nice Run, the Euro run will be very very interesting.....The GFS has been the best model all year, no doubt. Right now I think the GFS has the right idea however I think the Low placement may actually end up being a bit southeast of its current GFS track. Lets see what ensembles and the Euro show. The thing about the euro op is it doesn't line up well with the EPS. EPS has numerous solutions similar to what the GFS just did. IMHO- its just a matter of time before the op comes out swinging for the fences. Still have to survive 48 hours before locking anything in though. Going to be a rough couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Went from shred to phase in 2 runs. NS digging earlier and further west made a difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Bob Chill, any concerns for temps with the storm so close to the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Look at that band of snow! I know it's 114 hours out, but that's impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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