yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: If I was in Baltimore-north I'd be pumped as heck That 1 inch line is so close to us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 13 minutes ago, Porsche said: ENS They look slightly west or NW of the OP... which is good, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, yoda said: They look slightly west of the OP... which is good, no? It'd be great if we could get that cluster down to ocean city on the 00z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Yea mappy is gonna jackpot.Warrior Bigfoot up in Cecil in a good spot too. I’m heading up that way on Wednesday. I’m off, so I’m chasing this thing. I’m thinking Advisory for Baltimore county in general with Northern Baltimore in line for warning upgrade. I like Warning for Harford and Cecil. Definitely another catch people off guard type storm. Not sure anyone throwing up decent numbers on the news outlets. Could be wrong. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: It'd be great if we could get that cluster down to ocean city on the 00z runs. That's like 50 miles SW... not that far off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Warrior Bigfoot up in Cecil in a good spot too. I’m heading up that way on Wednesday. I’m off, so I’m chasing this thing. I’m thinking Advisory for Baltimore county in general with Northern Baltimore in line for warning upgrade. I like Warning for Harford and Cecil. Definitely another catch people off guard type storm. Not sure anyone throwing up decent numbers on the news outlets. Could be wrong. . I'm thinking advisory for Carroll and southern Baltimore/Harford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bravesfan Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 As much as I'd like to jackpot here in Havre de Grace - we are still getting thing back together after that wind storm...that was much worse here than during Sandy a few years ago. They are still cleaning up Harford County - I can see a bunch of heavy wet snow causing havoc up here with the already weakened trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 11 minutes ago, yoda said: They look slightly west of the OP... which is good, no? What is even more encouraging is that that many/most our clustered on the west side of the mean. Good chance that means we see a further adjustment west of the track on the 00z op. Which would be not so good for those on the eastern shore but maybe good for us as we see the precip field adjust west as well/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I'm thinking advisory for Carroll and southern Baltimore/Harford. Harford is another one of those split counties. I think you’re right actually. I’d put Harford in same boat as Northern Baltimore Co. Places like Norrisville will have a better shot at Warning criteria than say Bel Air. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 17 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Getting pumped for a Naming in about an hour. Your gut saying happy hour NAMing is forthcoming? You and I are right on the cusp of something decent. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Scraff said: Your gut saying happy hour NAMing is forthcoming? You and I are right on the cusp of something decent. Fingers crossed. Hopeful but just saw the 15z SREFs and they weren't any different than 9z and still not impressive and it generally seems to predict what the NAM will do, so we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Snow chase to Horseshoe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 30 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: EPS has 35-45% chance of 6”+ for mappy and Harford county. 24 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Yea mappy is gonna jackpot. you guys are getting me too excited. Unrelated, State College snow map is funny. If you are on the east side of 83 in York, you get 6" the west side gets 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Not a lot of change through 22 on the 18z NAM. A little more interaction with the ULL and lower heights out front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 30 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Warrior Bigfoot up in Cecil in a good spot too. I’m heading up that way on Wednesday. I’m off, so I’m chasing this thing. I’m thinking Advisory for Baltimore county in general with Northern Baltimore in line for warning upgrade. I like Warning for Harford and Cecil. Definitely another catch people off guard type storm. Not sure anyone throwing up decent numbers on the news outlets. Could be wrong. . PS, Warrior Bigfoot is now @T. August and yes, he looks to do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Winter Storm Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon for MDZ006-507. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 18z NAM is little east of 12z through 36. Coastal a little slower in getting its act together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0002.180307T0900Z-180307T2100Z/ Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford- 311 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Significant wet snow possible. There is the potential for 5 inches or more. * WHERE...Northern Baltimore and Northwest Harford. * WHEN...From late Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There is the possibility of difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Significant reductions in visibility are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 PS, Warrior Bigfoot is now [mention=10342]T. August[/mention] and yes, he looks to do well. Ohhhhhhhhh. Well, that explains a lot. Pardon me for being out of the loop on that one. Thanks!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 WEaker heights in front at 35 but that may not matter. Looks as if we are getting quicker interaction between the primary and the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, showmethesnow said: WEaker heights in front at 35 but that may not matter. Looks as if we are getting quicker interaction between the primary and the coastal. at 39 its east and not as strong of 12z. I think the initial height drop did us no favors in getting the coastal going sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 There's the watch: Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford Quote ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Significant wet snow possible. There is the potential for 5 inches or more. * WHERE...Northern Baltimore and Northwest Harford. * WHEN...From late Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There is the possibility of difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Significant reductions in visibility are possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 WTF is up with the permanent precip hole on the 12k NAM over HoCo? Shows on TT maps at least. Odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: at 39 its east and not as strong of 12z. I think the initial height drop did us no favors in getting the coastal going sooner. Better tilt in the trough might try the late save for or NE MD peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 WTF is up with the permanent precip hole on the 12k NAM over HoCo? Shows on TT maps at least. Odd.It’s doing the same thing for Cecil county too. Weird glitch . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 So thats my first watch of the year. the early december snow was only an advisory even though i picked up 6" I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 At 48, CCB Northern Baltimore into SE PA. Not quite as tucked as 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Really starting to see everything come together between hrs 39-45. Jet streak entering Mid Atlantic with strong ascent through left exit region. Precip will likely explode over NE MD to SE PA. Going to be another solid hit for that area. Some snow trying to breakout to SW as well with the 500 evolution. Got started slightly later, but should still yield a pretty good hit for NE crew. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: Better tilt in the trough might try the late save for or NE MD peeps. I think we are going to see that farther off the coast as it swings through. Was just going to type the above and then the model updated to 45 hr. Might have your save. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Is that right? 1-2" on the TT maps for N VA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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