WxUSAF Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: Maybe it's dumb to put so much stock in HRRR, but it's ticking east with each run and we lose the deform band tomorrow. Maybe it's wrong but is it too early to say bust? Euro might be about to get schooled. It would also be a bit reassuring if it wasn't raining right now. It was supposed to be raining now. If the euro is schooled, it won’t by the hrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I have a bad feeling. The hrrr sucks so it's probably just being nervous. But being honest I have a bad feeling the 0z runs are gonna shift east after I finally let myself think it would snow lol. Would serve me right. You will know in about 15 minutes with the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I have a bad feeling. The hrrr sucks so it's probably just being nervous. But being honest I have a bad feeling the 0z runs are gonna shift east after I finally let myself think it would snow lol. Would serve me right. All I'm going to say is only the heaviest runs showed snow at all over me by 9pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I have a bad feeling. The hrrr sucks so it's probably just being nervous. But being honest I have a bad feeling the 0z runs are gonna shift east after I finally let myself think it would snow lol. Would serve me right. Haven't the two biggest northeast storms of the winter shifted east at the last minute? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I have a bad feeling. The hrrr sucks so it's probably just being nervous. But being honest I have a bad feeling the 0z runs are gonna shift east after I finally let myself think it would snow lol. Would serve me right. Its all wet snow here now. Nothing shocking as it was in the forecast. I am surprised at how impressive the radar returns are though. Was thinking light to moderate stuff tonight, then warming aloft here tomorrow morning with rain, while you get clobbered with the deform band lol. Probably still on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 LOL hoffman suspects he will get fringed. Folks we have a storm! Remember, hoffman frets over getting fringed right before a HECS too, when the models show him getting only 16-20 versus 24-30 to his south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golly Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Lumpy white rain with occasional real flakes in Queenstown...temp drop to 36F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhode Islander in Balto Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Was all rain at 8:30pm in Parkville. Now a RASN mix, with temps dropping. 36.9 / 32 currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 NAM looks slower and closer to the coast at 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 33 with heavy wet snow in Easton accumulating on everything but pavement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Coating on the grass. Big, fat, flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Coating on the grass. Big, fat, flakes. Same here. 34.8/32. Coming down at a pretty good rate. eta: Just looked outside again. Flakes are smaller now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Heights do not look as good on the H5 at 9... at least to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Nam coming in southeast of 18z and colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golly Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 All snow now in Queenstown 34.7F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said: 33 with heavy wet snow in Easton accumulating on everything but pavement. Pretty impressive temperature falls. Was 44 not long ago, now 35 here with heavy wet snow. Slushy light accumulation on the deck. Tonight is our chance to get a light accumulation, so hopefully we can keep up the good rates for a while before temps warm aloft when the coastal gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Light sleet here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Coating on the grass. Big, fat, flakes. Bring it here! Still mostly rain. But temp down to 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I've switched back and forth a few times. I didn't even think it was supposed to rain here much less snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Straight up rain in Fairfax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Believed models took into no account the remains of our whirling dervish windstorm covering about 1/3 of the Atlantic. The counterclockwise is tugging the precip shield further east if the 6pm portrayed 15" around Philadelphia and 5" around Baltimore turn out zip and zip then perhaps a few model huggwrs will finally concede that this "science" needs some serious fixing. Right now it's too warm even with the 850/925 hanging below freezing plus the shield has less north component than it will need. Unlike the 1-3" quick blast that I was on board for the parameters for this one were never good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Cecil and Harford county get NAM'd this run. SO close for Baltimore. EDIT NAM has the FGEN max right over central Baltimore county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 NAM intensifying that inverted band coming through the EPH of WV. I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 12K NAM is colder with the low a bit further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 PSU fears were true... NAM with east and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 lol poor westminster on this run. nam'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Tenman Johnson said: Believed models took into no account the remains of our whirling dervish windstorm covering about 1/3 of the Atlantic. The counterclockwise is tugging the precip shield further east if the 6pm portrayed 15" around Philadelphia and 5" around Baltimore turn out zip and zip then perhaps a few model huggwrs will finally concede that this "science" needs some serious fixing. Right now it's too warm even with the 850/925 hanging below freezing plus the shield has less north component than it will need. Unlike the 1-3" quick blast that I was on board for the parameters for this one were never good Northeast md should still be in the game. This isn’t a good storm to use the radar with. The precip will probably pivot at some point in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 36 with flakes mixing in. I thought I wouldn't see any kind of frozen. I'l take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 10 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said: 33 with heavy wet snow in Easton accumulating on everything but pavement. Yeah man, quite the surprise! I went inside about about 7:30 and it was raining pretty good, then come out just now to lock the shop and the cars are topped! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.