WxUSAF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said: RGEM sides with the nam on these matters. not suprisingly. Not today really. RGEM much warmer and lighter on precip this evening but then really cranks the CCB (more like yesterday’s NAM) and pounds northern MD tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: I am mobile - can someone kindly post the NAM map so I can see how the area fared? Even though I acknowledge it is the NAM etc. etc. etc. The NAM/RGEM looks good just North of Baltimore City... Where in the City are you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I work downtown, I live in the Roland Park/Hampden area. I will figure it is around a slushy inch then, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: What do you think would happen if we went down in the MA thread and said we hope Richmond/DC/Balt etc gets screwed? Why would you do this? We have separate subforums for a reason, please take your negativity back to your own. I'm confused. Aren't I in the MA subforum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: I am mobile - can someone kindly post the NAM map so I can see how the area fared? Even though I acknowledge it is the NAM etc. etc. etc. 10:1 ratios, which won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, North Balti Zen said: I work downtown, I live in the Roland Park/Hampden area. I will figure it is around a slushy inch then, thanks. Yeah I think you are going to get screwed by the heat island effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Hmmm. Just saw the RGEM. It has a nice band over the Shenandoah Valley tomorrow morning. Wants to give us a couple of inches out this way. I have to ride it. It is my only hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Thanks Katie and others, much appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Jandurin said: I'm confused. Aren't I in the MA subforum? Yup, my mistake, got my tabs mixed up. Oops. This is why I don't post often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, CoolHandMike said: Yup, my mistake, got my tabs mixed up. Oops. This is why I don't post often. LOL you almost started WW3 dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Let’s get back on track. Weenie maps. A cheer for weenie maps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, mappy said: LOL you almost started WW3 dude. Man I just want a good snow this winter, and our sub is usually pretty quiet, so I like to come here for all the weenie maps etc. This one has me hyped though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, CoolHandMike said: Man I just want a good snow this winter, and our sub is usually pretty quiet, so I like to come here for all the weenie maps etc. This one has me hyped though. I wish you luck in your snow yearning fulfillment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 52 minutes ago, Amped said: Okay so the I95 storm is now Gettysburg to Burlington? Pretty big screwup by all models if that's right. I was gonna post earlier about how the nws imo is missing what might happen further west in PA up. Saw trends last night that the upper low was going to be more energetic and phase in vs initially just play off each other. That's what I wanted a few days ago. Then the precip with the upper low develops and becomes part of the ccb with a much further west fully phased system. But it's happening a little too far north for D.C. to get crushed. But I'm starting to think central PA will get decent snow as the upper low and old primary pass across. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 12z GFS has a better WAA push by 6z Wednesday. It temps cooperate, that could be a little surprise for some in MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I was gonna post earlier about how the nws imo is missing what might happen further west in PA up. Saw trends last night that the upper low was going to be more energetic and phase in vs initially just play off each other. That's what I wanted a few days ago. Then the precip with the upper low develops and becomes part of the ccb with a much further west fully phased system. But it's happening a little too far north for D.C. to get crushed. But I'm starting to think central PA will get decent snow as the upper low and old primary pass across. 12z GFS has that push into central PA as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 lol for a low being right on top of us but no precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, LP08 said: 12z GFS has a better WAA push by 6z Wednesday. It temps cooperate, that could be a little surprise for some in MD. Yup. I like seeing that. Heavier precip will help temps cool. NAM and gfs both show that now. Giddy up and fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah, looks a touch better thus far. I'm in chips fall mode at this point. Just thinking anything is model noise at this point. Of course, I want to get NAM'ed right at gametime. When do we fire up the dewpoint/temp/cloudcover watching obs thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: When do we fire up the dewpoint/temp/cloudcover watching obs thread? You’re in it and I like seeing temps staying below guidance thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I finally remembered which storm this reminds me of a lot. Feb 5 2001. Also a Nina year. Also a late developing coastal system. Similar h5 track. I know it's not perfect. No 2 storms are exact but this is close imo. H5 and surface were pretty close this storm looks more amplified a bit and radar... the WAA precip in front then the ccb develops the results...north of Baltimore would be happy with a repeat. It was 7" here according to local coop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I finally remembered which storm this reminds me of a lot. Feb 5 2001. Also a Nina year. Also a late developing coastal system. Similar h5 track. I know it's not perfect. No 2 storms are exact but this is close imo. H5 and surface were pretty close this storm looks more amplified a bit and radar... the WAA precip in front then the ccb develops the results...north of Baltimore would be happy with a repeat. It was 7" here according to local coop. that was one of several miller B's..that screwed us. We had our redemption chance in March 2001....um...not a good winter but very active.......always tracking. Dec 30,2000 the same winter geez...i hate this hobby and my life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I think LWX has to go with just WWA...I know we see these pretty snow maps... if you cut the totals in half... we do not make the criteria but in a very few select areas for a WSW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 GFS has the western band as well. Starting to get a little interesting for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 GFS has pretty good agreement with the 3k NAM as far as precip totals and distributions. Nice 12z suite so far for central and northern MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: GFS has pretty good agreement with the 3k NAM as far as precip totals and distributions. Nice 12z suite so far for central and northern MD. Yeah saw that. It is comforting. Nice last minute shift for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 again 10:1 ratios (not happening). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 GFS says all WSW along I95 will bust. The 6" snow depth change is like 50 miles NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah, looks a touch better thus far. I'm in chips fall mode at this point. Just thinking anything is model noise at this point. Of course, I want to get NAM'ed right at gametime. Don't take this as picking on you. I do it too. But I lol at the "chips fall" line because whenever we start seeing that phrase a lot I know we're in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 18 minutes ago, Ji said: lol for a low being right on top of us but no precip A tucked sub 1000 LP and we can barely get a pity rain shower. Double Damn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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