RevWarReenactor Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, mattie g said: The NAM is absolute junk, which is why you can always count on it to throw weenies a bone. Terrible model for March snowstorms. In the past it has print out 20 inches of snow for an area and what fell was white rain. This has happened on numerous occasions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Can we get some WXUSAF or bob chill in here? This weenie banter is not working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Still having convective feedback problems. Jumps the low east and then brings it back closer to the coast. Not sure if that is impacting how far west its getting some of the snows or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, PDIII said: I want to know who here in this forum.. who is from Baltimore.. thinks that are getting any more than an inch or two? Depends on which side of the beltway you're on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said: the nam has been so bad this year. the GFS is really the only decent model. Not true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I've got my eye on the ULL coming out of Canada. It is trying to dive with a N to S tilt. We just need the transfer 100 miles south of current projections to get the forum a little action before focusing on next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, mattie g said: The NAM is absolute junk, which is why you can always count on it to throw weenies a bone. 12km NAM is junk. 3km NAM is much better and very much worthy of attention. Hoffman gonna be hugging it too. Gets the CCB rocking over his backyard. 3km NAM looks nice for the WAA precip for all of central MD. Colder and heavier precip (which are linked in this setup). Conditions in the vertical column also look better for dendrite growth than I’ve seen yet for tonight’s round. Would be nice to get something rhis evening and then let chips fall for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3k similar to 12k at 23. Should be good for our NE MD friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3km has snow over me by 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: I've got my eye on the ULL coming out of Canada. It is trying to dive with a N to S tilt. We just need the transfer 100 miles south of current projections to get the forum a little action before focusing on next week. LOL only 100 miles in the next 24 hours for a little action? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 lol 10:1 snow map has me near 10" per 3km. i'll take half of that and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Im gonna this for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I either use the weenie handbook and keep tracking this Miller B or I give up on it. Not ready to give up on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3K Closes off H5 over the delmarva at 12z compared to NJ (or just off the coast) at 6z. That's how the CCB starts cranking further south and tugs the SLP closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 lol what if the hrrr validated. It did validate back in Dec 2013, i know that. Everyone wrote it off as crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Im gonna this for now Ha, that's what I was referring to earlier. 4-6 in the city, 6-8 just west, and then some 12-18 across the northeast tier. 10-1 and long range HRRR and HRRR, so, yeah. I thought 3K wasn't that good for most. Seemed to have lighter rates over us and just threw the heavy returns way west. Even Philly and to some degree NYC seemed to see the heavy rates get pushed well to their west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Ha, that's what I was referring to earlier. 4-6 in the city, 6-8 just west, and then some 12-18 across the northeast tier. 10-1 and long range HRRR and HRRR, so, yeah. I thought 3K wasn't that good for most. Seemed to have lighter rates over us and just threw the heavy returns way west. Even Philly and to some degree NYC seemed to see the heavy rates get pushed well to their west. Look at H5. It closes off inland and basically runs over NYC, that's part of the reason they dry slot and it pushed the ccb further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mordecai Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I’m hugging the 12k NAM for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Man that euro sucks for DC. Thanks though @C.A.P.E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Okay so the I95 storm is now Gettysburg to Burlington? Pretty big screwup by all models if that's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Will the WAA be a mix in DC this evening or just plain rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, peribonca said: Will the WAA be a mix in DC this evening or just plain rain? Probably all of the above, white rain most likely since surface temps are pretty rough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, peribonca said: Will the WAA be a mix in DC this evening or just plain rain? It is my understanding that everyone starts as rain, even tonight isn't going to be that big of a deal. Its when the low gets cracking and the rates pickup, that it will change over. Although DC might be out of it by then, hope not! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I guess that this point it is nowcasting time... models are not going to pinpoint exactly where the bands are going to setup... so it is a waiting game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 16 minutes ago, Amped said: Okay so the I95 storm is now Gettysburg to Burlington? Pretty big screwup by all models if that's right. i really hope NYC/philly/Boston etc get screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 13 minutes ago, Ji said: i really hope NYC/philly/Boston etc get screwed Do you ever think your hate towards other region might the karma that is screwing you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: Do you ever think your hate towards other region might the karma that is screwing you? no..weather will do what weather to do and my hate hasnt stopped any of those cities from having epic winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 RGEM sides with the nam on these matters. not suprisingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 33 minutes ago, Ji said: i really hope NYC/philly/Boston etc get screwed What do you think would happen if we went down in the MA thread and said we hope Richmond/DC/Balt etc gets screwed? Why would you do this? We have separate subforums for a reason, please take your negativity back to your own. Oops, wrong tab. Apologies, Ji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I am mobile - can someone kindly post the NAM map so I can see how the area fared? Even though I acknowledge it is the NAM etc. etc. etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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