Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, The Iceman said: yeah that is the warmest panel that I found during the storm. the one before and after are cooler than that. Thanks! You might have under done your totals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Violentweatherfan said: Thanks! You might have under done your totals... we shall see..march snowstorms always make me nervous. I'd rather bust too low honestly. ratio's won't be good but the sheer amount of precip is good for us. unfortunately with precip going up i forsee even more power outages incoming. a foot of heavy wet snow can do some damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Chances are for a good show tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, The Iceman said: we shall see..march snowstorms always make me nervous. I'd rather bust too low honestly. ratio's won't be good but the sheer amount of precip is good for us. unfortunately with precip going up i forsee even more power outages incoming. a foot of heavy wet snow can do some damage. This looks to be a dynamic storm, I would like to see some wind. I have to quote "crankywx" from twitter, he said the storm will carpet bomb us lol. Now I know crankywx is in the New England area but it looks like we should cash in on the dynamics as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Guys don't worry about njwx85's hand drawn map jeez let's make our own for them i think it was an attempted joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, RedSky said: Guys don't worry about njwx85's hand drawn map jeez let's make our own for them i think it was an attempted joke Yanks fan is definitely lol worthy I just breeze by his posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 What are the start times? West to east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Mt. Holly have to bump up totals for lower bucks, to like 8"-10". We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Guys don't worry about njwx85's hand drawn map jeez let's make our own for them i think it was an attempted joke I've updated my 2nd call... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 16 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Got to be careful with that forum for sure, there maybe 5 posters in that forum I kind of trust. metfan and yanksfan are really good posters in that forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Akeem the African Dream said: metfan and yanksfan are really good posters in that forum Watch out for those southwest winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Akeem the African Dream said: metfan and yanksfan are really good posters in that forum You should bulls eye tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 NJ Gov issued a state of emergency effective 8PM tonight http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ssf/2018/03/phil_murphy_declares_state_of_emergency.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Eric Horst's map is out. Tremendous met from Millersville University. He was the first and loudest to bang last March that the mix line would extend WAY north and west of where virtually every model had it. As usual...he was spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 9 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: You should bulls eye tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: Eric Horst's map is out. Tremendous met from Millersville University. He was the first and loudest to bang last March that the mix line would extend WAY north and west of where virtually every model had it. As usual...he was spot on. Don't know the guy, but hope he fails big time this time around. That R/S mix line is about 20 miles too NW for my liking (solely from a imby aspect, not met perspective) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, shemATC said: Don't know the guy, but hope he fails big time this time around. That R/S mix line is about 20 miles too NW for my liking (solely from a imby aspect, not met perspective) It’s pretty much the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I've gone through many storms where heavy wet snow is forecasted but a drier snow actually fell. If you get under the CCB with tremendous snow growth, the ratios will be much higher. Now for the most part I agree that this will be heavy and wet, but any stronger bands will raise the ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smitty97 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 totals increased again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, Newman said: I've gone through many storms where heavy wet snow is forecasted but a drier snow actually fell. If you get under the CCB with tremendous snow growth, the ratios will be much higher. Now for the most part I agree that this will be heavy and wet, but any stronger bands will raise the ratios. Yep just look at last Friday. Up towards doyelstown there was blowing and drifting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 12 minutes ago, Smitty97 said: totals increased again Good map! my only tweak would be to bring the 12" + line down into NW Montco, Most of Berks and NW Chester County...but they may be concerned about mixing for a while to cut down on totals in those areas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 18z NAM locks er in for SE PA 8-16" region wide...thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, The Iceman said: 18z NAM locks er in for SE PA 8-16" region wide...thing of beauty. Im confused... how did 18z end up colder than 12z if it was further West. Weird.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue sky Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 hour ago, DiehardFF said: Mt. Holly have to bump up totals for lower bucks, to like 8"-10". We shall see. Kudos to Mount Holly for explaining that they missed the bombing bringing more cold air in earlier than they thought for the first storm. The senior met there also said that there were probably areas that had blizzard conditions on the last storm. Inquirer article. In central lower montco...we did. They are confident about this storm and I am confident in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Im confused... how did 18z end up colder than 12z if it was further West. Weird.... my guess is even though it was west we got heavier rates which kept us all snow.. thermally it may be picking up on colder than anticipated temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 23 minutes ago, Smitty97 said: totals increased again Increased for some, came down for SE Chester Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 This gradient is going to suck. 40 miles and you go from 2" to 17". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Found this on twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Anybody have NAM 3k snow map for 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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