The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 euro through 18h...looks really good for front end snow tn...good rates being shown...looks like 3-4 inches from chester to mercer at sunrise tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, ChescoPaWxman said: Thought I would share my non-professional quality snow forecast for your viewing pleasure I think this is very good based on what we have seen from guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 euro east like the ukmet but west from 00z spot. going to be a huge hit for all of se pa and interior nj. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Oh wow, my temps dropped from 52 to 42 in just over an hour. Wasn't expecting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 More snow for the west folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1.50-1.75" qpf blob over the meat of this region. Also an area of 1.75-2.0" a little west and SW of Kamu like the earlier NAM runs had he could be near the bulls eye. Coldest model of the suite as well with snow east of I95. ECM usually isn't overly wet it's an awesome run I expect a Mt Washington size snow pile from Kamu or i will be disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 EURO showing 1.5QPF+ throughout most of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, DiehardFF said: EURO showing 1.5QPF+ throughout most of the area. Thermals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Get bread and milk if you need it before the vast hordes fill Wal Mart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Winter Wizard said: Thermals? alll snow from 295 west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Winter Wizard said: Thermals? Look good to me. Some QPF is due to light snowfall tonight, so it may not stick that well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Interesting to read posts from the NYC forum about temps along I-95, opposite of what is being posted here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 weenie.us map... thing of beauty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Almost the same as 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Interesting to read posts from the NYC forum about temps along I-95, opposite of what is being posted here. Because I-95 is much closer to the ocean and its effect up in NYC area. They still do well, and not sure what they are complaining about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Violentweatherfan said: Interesting to read posts from the NYC forum about temps along I-95, opposite of what is being posted here. unless there is a sneaky warm layer i don't know about then i'm not sure where they are seeing that. 850 and 925 are below freezing for everyone west of 295. surface temps are 32-34 but we already knew that. this is a heavy wet snow bomb for se pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Is there any consensus to changeover time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 CMC/EURO/NAM give us over 1"QPF and GFS is just about there. I think PHL north will do well with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, B Dawk 20 said: Is there any consensus to changeover time? should be quick...precip arrives by 11 pm, changeover by 1 am. HRRR has been harping 2-4" overnight for several runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, hazwoper said: Because I-95 is much closer to the ocean and its effect up in NYC area The post had concern for the Philadelphia area, mentioning the precip field moved west. I get it that I-95 in NNJ and NYC is closer to the ocean, intrigued with the run here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: unless there is a sneaky warm layer i don't know about then i'm not sure where they are seeing that. 850 and 925 are below freezing for everyone west of 295. surface temps are 32-34 but we already knew that. this is a heavy wet snow bomb for se pa. Got to be careful with that forum for sure, there maybe 5 posters in that forum I kind of trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Definitely looks like a day off for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Violentweatherfan said: The post had concern for the Philadelphia area, mentioning the precip field moved west. I get it that I-95 in NNJ and NYC is closer to the ocean, intrigued with the run here. this is during the warmest part of the storm... phl doesn't really come close to changing over. now it will be 7 or 8:1 ratio snow but i do not see rain on this run at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: should be quick...precip arrives by 11 pm, changeover by 1 am. HRRR has been harping 2-4" overnight for several runs now. Tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, The Iceman said: this is during the warmest part of the storm... phl doesn't really come close to changing over. now it will be 7 or 8:1 ratio snow but i do not see rain on this run at all. That's for the entire run right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Violentweatherfan said: Tonight? yep we should be snowing moderately by 6z(1 am). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Violentweatherfan said: That's for the entire run right? yeah that is the warmest panel that I found during the storm. the one before and after are cooler than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 12 minutes ago, The Iceman said: alll snow from 295 west Wow, lock that in please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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