The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, DiehardFF said: Ya but we get more QPF with the CMC ha ha. Who knows. Its amazing the amount of snow difference from KDYL to KTTN area. more qpf honestly would be better for thermals...more qpf=heavier rates. i don't trust the gfs or cmc on thermals at all after the last storm. this one is similar but we are much cooler to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, The Iceman said: more qpf honestly would be better for thermals...more qpf=heavier rates. i don't trust the gfs or cmc on thermals at all after the last storm. this one is similar but we are much cooler to start. Honestly the HRDPS makes me less worried. It did well with the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 projecting the hrrr out on the latest run looks like there could be 4-6 inches already on the ground by sun rise from chester to mercer county. it really keeps looking better and better every run for se pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: projecting the hrrr out on the latest run looks like there could be 4-6 inches already on the ground by sun rise from chester to mercer county. it really keeps looking better and better every run for se pa. This also looks good and also performed well with the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 12z ukmet looks good...looks to get about 20 miles off the coast of s nj the heads ne...pretty sure all of se pa and interior nj stay mostly snow... very great run for all imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 10 minutes ago, The Iceman said: 12z ukmet looks good...looks to get about 20 miles off the coast of s nj the heads ne...pretty sure all of se pa and interior nj stay mostly snow... very great run for all imo Do you by any chance have the total precip map for the Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 41 minutes ago, Newman said: Even though it seems I locked in for 10+", I'm still really really hesitant. So many things could go wrong. Exactly, won't take much of a shift on that western edge to leave us Lancaster, Berks people high and dry. Miller b's are traditionally non producers in our areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 33 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: This also looks good and also performed well with the last storm. Would love for this to be true! Good for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Exactly, won't take much of a shift on that western edge to leave us Lancaster, Berks people high and dry. Miller b's are traditionally non producers in our areas.That western edge of heavy snow is now well past Harrisburg on many models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Looking good for 8-12” in the Lehigh Valley, 12-18” in the Poconos...feels good to be in the jackpot zone with pretty much everything this winter. Unlike previous winters where we were always on the wrong side of the cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Who has the UKMET total precip/snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Looking good for 8-12” in the Lehigh Valley, 12-18” in the Poconos...feels good to be in the jackpot zone with pretty much everything this winter. Unlike previous winters where we were always on the wrong side of the cutoff. Would agree, looking like should be a good event. Up here at 1200' just west of Saylorsburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: Who has the UKMET total precip/snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, The Iceman said: Juicy, thanks brotha. Is there a just snow one as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Blizzard-on-GFS said: Juicy, thanks brotha. Is there a just snow one as well? unfortunately no snow map that i have access to...however ukmet meteogram for PHL looks like all or mostly snow imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Most of that I assume would be snow since it’s further east right? ETA I see it posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, The Iceman said: If I'm reading this right, that's about 1" to 1.5" QPF for virtually all of SEPA. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 @The Iceman where can I find your forecast map that you posted earlier. I’m curious of your opinion for SEPA. Thanks in advance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreenVoodooWX Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Longtime lurker, first time poster! I appreciate all incite and information I read! Thank you all very much! @Newman and @PennDotGuy, I am a Berks guy as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: unfortunately no snow map that i have access to...however ukmet meteogram for PHL looks like all or mostly snow imo Awesome, so i’m assuming it pretty much matches the 0z EURO which was best case ontario for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I like the look of the clouds moving in from the SW. On another note, would have been really nice if the ma people could have joined in this storm. Maybe they get theirs next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Philadelphia Snow said: @The Iceman where can I find your forecast map that you posted earlier. I’m curious of your opinion for SEPA. Thanks in advance! here you go...i wouldn't change a thing still except maybe moving the 10-16 a bit further nw. 2 hours ago, The Iceman said: here is my 2nd call...possibly final call as I am not anticipating many more significant changes that would alter this map. If a final call map is warranted it will be after 18z tonight. sorry for the amateur level map this is philly centric btw so new york area and baltimore areas I could be off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, wkd said: I like the look of the clouds moving in from the SW. On another note, would have been really nice if the ma people could have joined in this storm. Maybe they get theirs next week. if the HRRR is to believe baltimore and surround area may get in on the action tonight...even dc may get an inch or two...not a secs but wouldnt be a total whiff. I'm rooting for them to get something out of this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, The Iceman said: if the HRRR is to believe baltimore and surround area may get in on the action tonight...even dc may get an inch or two...not a secs but wouldnt be a total whiff. I'm rooting for them to get something out of this.. They been kicked in the gut while down over and over again this winter really a bad one for those guys i would rather a winter like 2012, 2017 then go through that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Is someone going to start a separate obs thread for the storm? I think we will have a record number of posts. I know I'm going to go berserk if the rates come close to varifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 meh I like keeping everything in one thread. makes it fun to go back and read the lead up then the observation and post storm thoughts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 ECM time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 14 minutes ago, The Iceman said: meh I like keeping everything in one thread. makes it fun to go back and read the lead up then the observation and post storm thoughts... Sounds good to me. Glad you cheered up from earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Thought I would share my non-professional quality snow forecast for your viewing pleasure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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