NycStormChaser Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The people on NY1 news are really clueless. They are going with 3 to 6 inches for the city even though they mention the NWS is going with 10-14 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 20 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Just had a burst of huge parachutes it’s here!!! It feels like we have two observation threads, both threads should be combined. It switched to all snow here around 11:45 AM temp dropped 2 degrees and skies got really dark! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 39 minutes ago, NYCGreg said: They keep upping snow totals. They did so big time for northwestern areas. Moderately so for NYC immediate area (see NJWX) - from 4-8 to 7-11 to 8-12. Hopefully they bust low. Yes they did... My p&c now shows 16-24" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Most recent HRRR I saw (15z) shows heavy snow starting around 2-3pm area wide, and snow continuing until maybe 10-11pm. About an inch liquid falls in the city/LI as snow. The peak could be a few inches per hour especially around 4-6pm. Looking forward to some 3"/hr rates and thundersnow, great afternoon snow should be perfect for photo ops! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, seanick said: Latest HRRR has cut back on totals by 3 or 4 inches around the city. I assume a lot what fell as rain already the HRRR thought was snow? Well, that's not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Most recent HRRR I saw (15z) shows heavy snow starting around 2-3pm area wide, and snow continuing until maybe 10-11pm. About an inch liquid falls in the city/LI as snow. The peak could be a few inches per hour especially around 4-6pm. It's continuing to show that wild looking 50 dbz convective CCB approaching Long Beach later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 13 minutes ago, nzucker said: Discussing radar trends isn't banter. Replying to the 1/27 reference, the cooling is dynamically driven so expect snow in heavier bands and rain in lighter bands. The 850s are plenty cold at -5C, but the surface is quite warm. That will be minimized as the higher rates move in. 1/27 also had a good bit of thundersnow, which we are expecting today. The convective look on radar is similar, although surface temps are probably a hair warmer due to time of year. That one also occurred mainly at night. But the difference in the time of year is a big deal regardless. 12/03 and 1/27/11 had quite a bit in common, this is a late season version of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: It's continuing to show that wild looking 50 dbz convective CCB approaching Long Beach later. It's already all snow here and coming down hard- what rates are we looking at with that in SW Nassau? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Paragon said: It's already all snow here and coming down hard- what rates are we looking at with that in SW Nassau? 2-3"/hour. The radar looks crazy especially around dusk. And the HRRR is showing lower amounts generally because it expects a couple of hours initially to be rain/snow, and the axis of heaviest precip shifted a little east. To me, everything's on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Still raining and 36 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: 2-3"/hour. The radar looks crazy especially around dusk. And the HRRR is showing lower amounts generally because it expects a couple of hours initially to be rain/snow, and the axis of heaviest precip shifted a little east. To me, everything's on track. Yep our only concern is getting all this to stick during prime heating hours but at those rates, it should do so easily. I saw a crazy 12-18" prediction this morning dont know if that will verify though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 LYNBROOK in western Nassau Mod snow sticking 33 degrees, it's here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Had 2 Loud rumbles of thunder here under heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 9 minutes ago, Paragon said: Yep our only concern is getting all this to stick during prime heating hours but at those rates, it should do so easily. I saw a crazy 12-18" prediction this morning dont know if that will verify though. I highly doubt that but 6" or so looks like a good bet, maybe 8". Have to expect 7 or 8-1 ratios. It'll paste like crazy to the trees/power lines, so outages may be going up pretty substantially later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I highly doubt that but 6" or so looks like a good bet, maybe 8". Have to expect 7 or 8-1 ratios. It'll paste like crazy to the trees/power lines, so outages may be going up pretty substantially later today. I see they're getting thundersnow in Manhattan, Queens, Staten Island and Brooklyn, I wonder when that gets here. There's also thunder and lightning down the Jersey Shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Ripping heavy snow in port Elizabeth NJ. Reports of thunder snow in mountainside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kborne Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 32/32 here inCNJ 0.58 in the bucket about 1.5 on the ground been hvy wet snow since 11:45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 ain't seen nothin yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.I.Pete Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Moderate snow in Upton now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Hudson-Eastern Union-Eastern Essex-Western Bergen-Western Union-Western Essex-Eastern Bergen-Eastern Passaic-Northern Nassau-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Southern Queens-Bronx-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Richmond (Staten Is.)-Southern Nassau- 1249 PM EST WED MAR 7 2018 ...HEAVY SNOW DEVELOPING OVER HUDSON...UNION...BERGEN... EASTERN ESSEX...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...QUEENS...RICHMOND...BRONX... KINGS...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) AND CENTRAL NASSAU COUNTIES... At 1242 PM EST, Rain will change to heavy snow across the region through 2pm. Isolated lightning strikes are expected. Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected to develop through mid to late afternoon. Visibilities will drop to one quarter mile or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 17 minutes ago, tempestatis014 said: I'm getting marble size hail in Toms River Is that even possible with a snowstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kborne Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 8 minutes ago, tempestatis014 said: Well, I call it hail. 1/4 inch sleet is a bit crazy We had hail in the Jan 27, 2011 storm too and there was even rotation reported off the south shore (a snownado?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 9 minutes ago, TriPol said: Is that even possible with a snowstorm? Convective snowstorm, sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Finally saw flash/boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 hour ago, larrye said: I dunno. Up here in Tarrytown, it's 34 degrees and not sticking. I would have expected an inch or two at least already based on the forecasts that I heard. But let's see if the column cools down and we see an accumulating snow this afternoon. Theoretically, with 2" per hour ... even if the accums start at 1PM, we could see 10"-12". You guys would know much better than I how to interpret the radar and whether it will fill in. And just like I predicted it's currently puking snow here, accumulating at the rate of 2-3" per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The Christmas 2000 storm started out as rain, then we had a thunderstorm come through with hail, to the size marbles, followed by a rapid change to heavy snow all in a matter of ten minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 NWS P&C for Harlem. Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 35. Wind chill values between 20 and 25. Breezy, with a north wind 18 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: And just like I predicted it's currently puking snow here, accumulating at the rate of 2-3" per hour. Here, not so much. But looking at the radar, NJ seems to be set up underneath a band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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