Brasiluvsnow Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Icon looks like the GFS. Tucked. Tucked = tight to the coast or something else ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Just now, Brasiluvsnow said: Tucked = tight to the coast or something else ? Correct. Close to NJ and LI coasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Too warm for coastal sections? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 40 minutes ago, USCG RS said: That tucked would create issues for alot of this subforum... Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk My rule on March storms....based solely on history...is that while possible to get them, there are so many ways for them to not deliver much snow that I no longer get excited until the storm is underway and we are under heavy bands, and they are accumulating. It snowed nicely here the other day, but did not accumulate, even though it flipped to all snow early in the day. I'd say we're too far out to do anything but fantasize at this time, and while , like most here, I'd love to see it happen, if I were a betting man ( and I'm not ) I'd bet this finds a way to miss or mix. But I'll be here watching and hoping with you all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: I can't remember another March with 3 such intense March storms in the first 12 days. I guess we should start calling this Stratmegeddon. Hopefully not missed opportunitiesmegeddon!! have you seen the waves today? I just got back from Vermont and going to take pics at jones beach right now. Apparently they are incredible!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 16 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Too warm for coastal sections? Still gives 3 to 6 for coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 4, 2018 Author Share Posted March 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Hopefully not missed opportunitiesmegeddon!! have you seen the waves today? I just got back from Vermont and going to take pics at jones beach right now. Apparently they are incredible!!! Massive erosion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Hopefully not missed opportunitiesmegeddon!! have you seen the waves today? I just got back from Vermont and going to take pics at jones beach right now. Apparently they are incredible!!! The swells have been locking great on the local surf cams. I had two high tides in a row here on the GSB with moderate flooding. https://thesurfersview.com/live-cams/new-york/long-beach-cam-and-surf-report https://waterdata.usgs.gov/ny/nwis/uv?site_no=01309225 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 11 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Hopefully not missed opportunitiesmegeddon!! have you seen the waves today? I just got back from Vermont and going to take pics at jones beach right now. Apparently they are incredible!!! So put on the wet suit dude.....any maniacs surf fishing yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: The swells have been locking great on the local surf cams. I had two high tides in a row here on the GSB with moderate flooding. https://thesurfersview.com/live-cams/new-york/long-beach-cam-and-surf-report https://waterdata.usgs.gov/ny/nwis/uv?site_no=01309225 I misread that as surf clams and couldn't figure what you meant.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 20 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Hopefully not missed opportunitiesmegeddon!! have you seen the waves today? I just got back from Vermont and going to take pics at jones beach right now. Apparently they are incredible!!! ..i went down to Pikes Beach in Westhampton Dunes..waves were incredible..no washovers but high tide marks were right up to the dunes..on the bay side flooding was def. an issue for some homes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I’m in ft Lauderdale. Water spilled onto A1A in some spots during the morning high tide . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 hours ago, bluewave said: I can't remember another March with 3 such intense March storms in the first 12 days. I guess we should start calling this Stratmegeddon. The 500 mb map Brooklyn posted away last week was a 5 days prior to 15 inch NYC storm map that overlayed nicely with snowmageddon Thats why I believed this to be a multi event 10 day period. There are 2 major systems the first one is of the 6 to 12 type of system , the second has real 12 to 24 type potential. ( that doesn't mean everyone , but for someone ) . Now where they intersect ( I believe it will for someone ) it will considered the best week of winter. Lets line Wed up first , I would like that to focus on I 95 , but think N and W will do well and probably LI as this really tightens out towards the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, PB COLTS NECK NJ said: The 500 mb map Brooklyn posted away last week was a 5 days prior to 15 inch NYC storm map that overlayed nicely with snowmageddon Thats why I believed this to be a multi event 10 days There are 2 major systems the first one is of the 6 to 12 type of system , the second has real 12 to 24 type potential. ( that doesn't mean everyone , but for someone ) . Now where they intersect ( I believe it will for someone ) it will considered the best week of winter. Lets line Wed up first , I would like that to focus on I 95 , but think N and W will do well and probably LI as this really tightens out towards the BM Might just be a very snowy March; that second storm, when is the timeframe for that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 18 minutes ago, sferic said: Might just be a very snowy March; that second storm, when is the timeframe for that one? Day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 LOL..I could be wrong here but I think this storm will last longer then 6-8 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 29 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: LOL..I could be wrong here but I think this storm will last longer then 6-8 hours. He’s been alot like snowman19 lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, dmillz25 said: He’s been alot like snowman19 lately Even the NWS on Facebook posted this will be a 12-18 hour storm just not as strong as what we experienced on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 SREF have a 4-7 inch storm for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 What's the nam looking like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: What's the nam looking like? It's currently running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 7 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: What's the nam looking like? I only have it out to 48 on tidbits, but just looking at it leads me to believe it may be further west... stronger ridging out ahead of the trough, s/w trying to swing around the base of the ULL in the Midwest earlier and earlier interaction with the Canadian s/w. Need to see how it plays out, however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Yea guys, NAM is ready with her rocket fuel this run. @57 she is getting ready to go kaboom. Closed contour on the outer banks showing up, with a ton of moisture streaming up from the southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Gonna be a close call for coastal folk with this run methinks... system stronger earlier, but also warmer air intruding further NW through 60... 850 0c is through central Delaware instead of far southern MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I don’t even know if the models know how to handle 2 vort maxes coming together like that....never seen that for this area before. This might sound like fantasy talk, but they could form a superstorm together, if they line up right. Looks like GFS is still crapping the bed, thank goodness we have the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 All of eastern PA and all of jersey away from the beaches destroyed with a foot or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 0z NAM... WOW that is all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Philly and Eastern PA crushed, decent front-end snows to about the Nassau-Suffolk border verbatim if you go by snowmaps... haven't looked at soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, snywx said: 0z NAM... WOW that is all amped up!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Thermonuclear run is good and all but it going neutral/negative and bombing too soon means a west track and warm air intrusion for the city/coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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