bluewave Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The 3km NAM maxes out at 5.6"per hour snowfall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: The 3km NAM maxes out at 5.6"per hour snowfall rates. Nah. Models are all wrong. Im old and ive seen crappy radars before, this wont fill in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Nah. Models are all wrong. Im old and ive seen crappy radars before, this wont fill in. And the fire fighter throws gas on the fire. I cannot wait for it to start ripping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Nah. Models are all wrong. Im old and ive seen crappy radars before, this wont fill in. Haha..these mid-level lapse rates look more like what we would see with a summer EML. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, bluewave said: Haha..these mid-level lapse rates look more like what we would see with a summer EML. This is a lie - we never see steep lapse rates in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Current radar depiction is classic for developing cyclone and strong CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Perfect perfect perfect radar. Lapse rates even show up with the convective look! Yum yum yum yum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Rgem has 12-18 inches for NYC west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The weenie suicides in the early goings of a storm never fail to amuse me. The radar is juicy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, SnowDemon said: The weenie suicides in the early goings of a storm never fail to amuse me. The radar is juicy! Wouldn’t be a part of this experience without them! Also, have some people here at work who are calling it a dud. Trying to convince them otherwise but prob won’t happen until they actually see heavy snow accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Urban heat island FTL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 8 minutes ago, Dino said: RGEM rolling - for NYC and east, good stuff comes at 6PM - 10PM. Its quite a few hours earlier than that. The rgem has the best dynamics from around 12-1 through 6 or 7, and basically gone by 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 25 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: This is a lie - we never see steep lapse rates in the summer. Tell me about it. Our cold season mid-level lapse rates have been consistently better than the summers recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, hooralph said: Urban heat island FTL... I’m right in the middle of that green blob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Rgem cut back for areas South and west, or it thinks 6" has already fallen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 My spirit animal for this storm is 12/9/05 in Boston. We had a front-end dump of a few inches in the morning then a dull lull all morning through lunch - was in the mid 30s and drizzling. Doubted the banding that was supposed to develop. Then - cracks of thunder and some wind-driven sleet heralded the most intense 3 hours of snow of my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 17 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Its quite a few hours earlier than that. The rgem has the best dynamics from around 12-1 through 6 or 7, and basically gone by 9. hmm, thought that would be mostly rain in that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 1053 AM EST Wed Mar 7 2018 NJZ004-103-105-NYZ068>070-080000- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180308T0900Z/ Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-Western Essex-Putnam-Rockland- Northern Westchester- 1053 AM EST Wed Mar 7 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 15 to 20 inches are expected. Snowfall rates of 1 to 3 inches per hour this afternoon into early evening. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible, including during the evening commute. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. Power outages due to heavy snow weighing down trees or their limbs will be likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Upton 8-12 for NYC CMC and HRDPS crushes the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
husky0101 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 16 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 1053 AM EST Wed Mar 7 2018 NJZ004-103-105-NYZ068>070-080000- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180308T0900Z/ Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-Western Essex-Putnam-Rockland- Northern Westchester- 1053 AM EST Wed Mar 7 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 15 to 20 inches are expected. Snowfall rates of 1 to 3 inches per hour this afternoon into early evening. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible, including during the evening commute. Be prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times. Power outages due to heavy snow weighing down trees or their limbs will be likely. Did I read that right? 15-20 inches??! O.o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, husky0101 said: Did I read that right? 15-20 inches??! O.o Yeah and I got bumped from 8-14 to 10-15". Crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 They keep upping snow totals. They did so big time for northwestern areas. Moderately so for NYC immediate area (see NJWX) - from 4-8 to 7-11 to 8-12. Hopefully they bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 This is looking like February 2006. It started with a drizzle that lasted hours and we thought the storm was a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs has a huge snowstorm on Monday it was closer to that full phase i mentioned yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Route 1 corridor snowhole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just had a burst of huge parachutes it’s here!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 this honestly reminds me a lot of a plains or denver blizzard: summery lapse rates, elevated convection feeding the ccb, rapid strengthening and occlusion. i would not be surprised to see thunderstorms drag the whole system slightly farther east of what's currently being modeled. otherwise, i have increasing confidence this will verify as a blizzard in parts of jersey, long island (bk/qns included) and the rest of southern new england. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lovewinter Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 15 minutes ago, husky0101 said: Did I read that right? 15-20 inches??! O.o I’d believe it. I just looked outside and it’s finally sticking on driveway and street, even though it’s been snowing since midnight. (Far northwest Sussex County) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 You guys are hilarious. This is playing out so far exactly as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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