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March 7th 2018 Coastal Storm thread (not obs)


Rjay

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1 minute ago, ScottB said:

If the mayor closes school due to only one run of the NAM... lol. Highly doubt it. If he has anyone reasonably informed of the situation he wont make a call until the middle of the night. 

Does DSNY still use the word of Mitchel Volk? Wonder if deBlasio asked him to chime in.

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7 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

If other guidance holds serve, expect NWS to go back to 6-12 as they had earlier. 

We'll see. Let the runs play out.

 

5 minutes ago, keno19 said:

For craps and giggles, 3pm 1 hour snowfall rates.   wouldn't that be awesome.  But it's the NAM or (the crazy uncle) hehe

hires_snow_1h_nyc_21.png

By far the most ridiculous map I've ever seen. That's the hour with convection everywhere.

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4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

We'll see. Let' the runs 

 

By far the most ridiculous map I've ever seen. That's the hour with convection everywhere.

The March Blizzard last year (if you were lucky) had rates similar to this. As have other major storms. Boxing Day?

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Just now, Ericjcrash said:

I'd rather South than east. Already had the most QPF pretty far east.

Well that's the thing... east is fine, but you're right in that we want it "south" in that it doesn't gain enough latitude to dry slot and/or flood the region with warmth before it gets kicked east.

Unfortunately, it's hard to extrapolate at 24 hour intervals to see the exact track

 

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10 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

We'll see. Let the runs play out.

 

By far the most ridiculous map I've ever seen. That's the hour with convection everywhere.

would be amazing for sure - looking at the current radar...that is one JUICED up storm and its not even started yet...

also would like to note, my friend in Annapolis,MD reports dusting of snow and its 38deg there....sign of whats to come? 

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2 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

According to the New England thread it’s coming in 30 miles or so SE of it’s last run. Not sure what to make of all this. Miracle incoming for the coast? 

It definitely shifted a bit SE, but does not look to made a big change in temps. Low is more consolidated and the precipitation is much more organized however.

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