Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 That was a pretty massive shift for this late in the game. It's nice to be reminded the NAM is still the NAM, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Looks like the NYC metro area is back to looking good for double digit snowfall amounts if this is correct. Very nice run of the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The 3k Nam is coming in with the Low much further SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: 8-10 inches on the Nam for NYC Well Rutgers has canceled. My district just called out. Thought the NYC statement left them wiggle room. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: Obviously a much better run. Snow maps don't look much better for anyone FWIW... The snow maps don't look much better but the upper and mid levels look great in terms of orientation and placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 the 3k might legit be going back to its HECS-y run of last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Don’t pay attention to snow maps, look at soundings and the 700/850 low tracks. They definitely look better so it’s an improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Wow, that even keeps me from mixing much. This is the exact track we need for a blockbuster essentially forum wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: Obviously a much better run. Snow maps don't look much better for anyone FWIW... Look at Philly and South Jersey. Went from 2 to 10" in spots. I know that doesn't help our cause up here but who knows if the snow maps can be trusted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 8-10 inches on the Nam for NYC Honestly should'v been more. Clown maps actually looks low for once. That CCB is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 That was a pretty massive shift for this late in the game. It's nice to be reminded the NAM is still the NAM, I guess.Imho, it's not the NAM being the NAM, there have been subtle shifts throughout the day in regards to real world observations that the NAM is likely picking up on. That being said, still wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I am looking at the kuchera snowfall for the NAM 3k and it shows NYC getting 12 inches as of 7 PM, up from 4 inches before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Hi res is insane for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Hi res is insane for the area HR20 there are convective cells throughout the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Up to 10PM thursday: 13 inches snow Kuchera Ratio for KNYC, 21.8 inches at 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 it is a known bias of US modeling to over-correct NW 24-36h ahead of an event. haven't seen it as much this winter, but it sure looks like it'll apply to this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 12 + on the 3k Nam for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, ThatHurricane said: Up to 10PM thursday: 13 inches snow Kuchera Ratio for KNYC, 21.8 inches at 10:1 Maps for entertainment please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: 12 + on the 3k Nam for NYC Seems low. 2"+ QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Will any of this convince the NYC mayor to close schools for tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I believe south shore of nassau and suffolk will get 2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, keno19 said: The top frame is from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, sferic said: Will any of this convince the NYC mayor to close schools for tomorrow? It's just a NAM run. Good start to the suite though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, sferic said: Will any of this convince the NYC mayor to close schools for tomorrow? If the mayor closes school due to only one run of the NAM... lol. Highly doubt it. If he has anyone reasonably informed of the situation he wont make a call until the middle of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Here is the snow map you asked for in Kuchera ratios: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, ThatHurricane said: Here is the snow map you asked for in Kuchera ratios: That's 10:1 not kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 oops thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: It's just a NAM run. Good start to the suite though... If other guidance holds serve, expect NWS to go back to 6-12 as they had earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Just now, Stormlover74 said: That's 10:1 not kuchera And 12k. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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