jm1220 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: Most here should still be okay on that given how tightly wound the low is. Would like to see it close off at 500 south of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, jm1220 said: Most here should still be okay on that given how tightly wound the low is. Would like to see it close off at 500 south of LI. It literally matches the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Tornadocane said: .2" an hour is equivalent to 2" inches of snow per hour. But given the dynamics, it could be 2-3" of snow. I remember insane rates Boxing Day and again Jan 19 2011, which also mixed and changed to rain for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, Berlin1926 said: It's 4 to 6 mm per hour according to the legend? 8-10+mm/hr on GGEM and RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: 8-10+mm/hr on GGEM and RGEM. I remember seeing one of the products on weatherbell showed one of the NAM runs today/tonight with 4-5" per hour rates at KNYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 The Ukie is about 25 miles west of the 12z run. I probably got caught up looking at the stupid L. (Thanks Doug) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Rjay said: I remember seeing one of the products on weatherbell showed one of the NAM runs today/tonight with 4-5" per hour rates at KNYC Yep, 00z 3k at HR 46 has Queens and Nassau at ~12-14mm/hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Rjay said: Wonder how much of that is snow vs rain at the coast. Only indicator is the 540 line, which won't be the best indicator or r/s line in this situation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, weatherbear5 said: Wonder how much of that is snow vs rain at the coast. Only indicator is the 540 line, which won't be the best indicator or r/s line in this situation Yea it will always be hard to tell on the Ukie in marginal situations. Even the meteogram gives you limited info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 A foot of wet snow in the trees after we just had 3 inches of rain here in Westchester and trees weak already from the winds and rain. Add 20-30 mile per hour winds with gusts up to 40 there could be worse damage than the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Tornadocane said: Dude/duddete I'm having weenie-gasm just thinking about it. God. My call for Colonia, NJ is gonna be 11" of west snow. Sorry I just don't think your in the G I mean S-Spot. lol Not sure what to make of all that, but I see you're in Hollywood Fl, so I make allowances:) My late folks owned a place on Atlantic St for over 20 years, I visited maybe twice, hate FL with a passion....way too hot, bugs and lizards that get in your house, giant cockroaches, invasive species. ugh. Only saving grace is the fishing isn't bad. Check out the Sea Legs in Dania, nice party boat, been in the family for generations. Ask the mate for the good bait, not the tourist stuff.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Hi res RGEM joins the extreme snow party. 2" QPF thru 48, still going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, Rjay said: The Ukie is about 25 miles west of the 12z run. I probably got caught up looking at the stupid L. (Thanks Doug) I was just gonna post that,,lol,,,yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Gem-lam! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 I'm pretty anti snow map but geez lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 So according to the snow maps the goalposts IMBY remain between 0-20 inches. cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: I'm pretty anti snow map but geez lol Hi-res are all on the same page, pretty much to the T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadocane Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: Not sure what to make of all that, but I see you're in Hollywood Fl, so I make allowances:) My late folks owned a place on Atlantic St for over 20 years, I visited maybe twice, hate FL with a passion....way too hot, bugs and lizards that get in your house, giant cockroaches, invasive species. ugh. Only saving grace is the fishing isn't bad. Check out the Sea Legs in Dania, nice party boat, been in the family for generations. Ask the mate for the good bait, not the tourist stuff.... Make of it what your want. I lived in Paramus NJ for 23 years of my life. I have no dog in this fight as the only thing I can hope for in regards to exciting weather from this system is a brief thunderstorm and 35 MPH winds. yawn. I've been through tropical waves with 6 hours of constant thunderstorms and 40+ MPH winds and a couple of TS/Hurridances. During the last event I went low. This even I'm going high. The next even I'm going high. The pattern came together people. You guys are going to get it. The GFS is out to lunch in regards to Temperature and Precipitation. I see a primary in the Great Lakes providing some nice front-end snow and pulling a coastal low and accompanying heavy subtropical moisture into NYC Metro/SNE, and then the coastal low pulling ENE as a result of influence from the West Atlantic low that hit the area last Thursday. It doesn't get much better. And if it got alot better it would be a BECs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Hi-res are all on the same page, pretty much to the T. Except it's still snowing hard with 20"+ already on the ground on the gem-lam. It usually doesn't go this bonkers. It went bonkers with the last storm too. It didn't account for the boundary layer correctly in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 I'd like to see the secret extended version of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Rjay said: Except it's still snowing hard with 20"+ already on the ground on the gem-lam. It usually doesn't go this bonkers. It went bonkers with the last storm too. It didn't account for the boundary layer correctly in my area. Well it actually has less QPF thru 48 than 3k NAM and RGEM. Thankfully rates like this make the BL pretty irrelevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I'd like to see the secret extended version of that. RGEM will do you. Not much different, as to be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 The surface at NYC on the Ukie is a bit warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I'd like to see the secret extended version of that. Lol. It actually is quite useful inside 24 hours. At least it used to be. Not sure if an upgrade turned it into the Canadian version of the 3k NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Lol. It actually is quite useful inside 24 hours. At least it used to be. Not sure if an upgrade turned it into the Canadian version of the 3k NAM.🤣🤣Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 20 minutes ago, Rjay said: Gem-lam! worried about that dry slot that comes in at 44-45-46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: The surface at NYC on the Ukie is a bit warm. Thickness, 850s, and wind orientation are pretty good though. But yeah, quite toasty on the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, Rjay said: The surface at NYC on the Ukie is a bit warm. I have my doubts it gets to 36-37 under heavy precipitation and a strong NNE wind. we shall see though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Dino said: worried about that dry slot that comes in at 44-45-46 Eh, that's when she scoots east. I'm more worried about the mid levels and how far N she comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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