MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Gfs is virtually unchanged Ticked east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 5, 2018 Author Share Posted March 5, 2018 Rgem is ~54mm as snow at NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Rgem has close to 20 inches of snow for the NYC area wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, Paragon said: see Millenium storm, it tracked over Suffolk County but southern Nassau stayed all snow. It was further east off NJ I think, which kept warmer air from coming further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Rgem has close to 20 inches of snow for the NYC area wow Probually more like 14 7:1 ratios not 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Probually more like 14 7:1 ratios not 10:1 still double digits which is nice to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Rgem has close to 20 inches of snow for the NYC area wow It’s usually overdone at this range. I’m guessing it comes east somewhat and also drier over the next day or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Cut those #s in half and it's still a big snowfall for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike1984 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Think RGEM is way overdone with snow. Also think banding sets up just west of NYC. Where banding sets up will be over a foot. Doubt we see wide spread 12” totals..but I’m just an amateur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: That’s 3-4” hour type snows right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Anybody know if the hurricane hunter is flying in today to sample...or just tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 18Z GFS is a razors edge for Suffolk. 925 is the only problematic layer that I see, but it's not by much on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 5, 2018 Author Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: That’s 3-4” hour type snows right there. While JM rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 This is an 18 hour event on the rgem. Light stuff gets in before midnight, heavy after 9 am through til about 5 pm, so those totals are doable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 First Guess Pink - Snow Possible Light Blue - Snow Likely/Significant Snow Possible Dark Blue - Significant Snow Likely Red - Greatest Potential to exceed 12" locally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Still potential for thundersnow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: This is an 18 hour event on the rgem. Light stuff gets in before midnight, heavy after 9 am through til about 5 pm, so those totals are doable RGEM is usually pretty good at this range am I wrong ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, Brasiluvsnow said: RGEM is usually pretty good at this range am I wrong ? It is at the very end of its range.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: RGEM is usually pretty good at this range am I wrong ? I don't think it's in its deadly range yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, mikem81 said: It is at the very end of its range.... I believe u are mistaken beginning of its range maybe not end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 It really only runs to 48 or 54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: First Guess Pink - Snow Possible Light Blue - Snow Likely/Significant Snow Possible Dark Blue - Significant Snow Likely Red - Greatest Potential to exceed 12" locally Not a bad map. Though I think the light blue should be more south. But nice job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 NAM 3km accuracy at this range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I really like a solid 8-12" snowfall for most of the area right now w/locally higher amounts possible. I think most areas will be on the higher end of that range so probably alot of double digit reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I'm surprised Upton went 2-6 inches of snow in Suffolk and 4-7 in Nassau despite the Euro and NAM coming in hot like that. It could very well verify, but I would have imagined they'd have waited for tonight's runs to make big changes to totals like that personally, I'm feeling more bullish, particularly for western Suffolk and Nassau counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 15 minutes ago, Rjay said: While JM rains No effin way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: No effin way If that happens I'll personally finance that a wall be built to keep the ocean air out. I wonder how tall it would have to be? It'll help in the summer too to keep that annoying sea breeze away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Paragon said: If that happens I'll personally finance that a wall be built to keep the ocean air out. I wonder how tall it would have to be? It'll help in the summer too to keep that annoying sea breeze away. It’s happened before and it will again. Barrier island blues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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