ag3 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Euro and Ukmet are nearly identical. Very good sign for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Blend the NAM and Euro and its perfect. #whatcouldgowrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, ag3 said: Euro and Ukmet are nearly identical. Very good sign for the coast. Euro hammers the area with heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, friedmators said: Blend the NAM and Euro and its perfect. #whatcouldgowrong Or no blend and just use the 2 best models we have, the Ukmet+Euro, which are nearly identical today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, friedmators said: Blend the NAM and Euro and its perfect. #whatcouldgowrong #Marchsnowstorm in all honesty though I am optimistic for a pretty good thump even at the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 What does the EURO have for QPF, around 1"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Looks like the mid level tracks are perfect on the Euro for big time snow around the city and coast, and NW areas do very well also. Hopefully this is settling on consensus and the NAM can tick east a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Zelocita Weather said: What does the EURO have for QPF, around 1"? .9" - 1.4" N to S in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Euro correcting west as expected. I’m thinking it’ll come down to what happens with the low once it gets to between Cape May and ACY. Does it keep going north or head NE? Where do the 500 and 700 lows track? You want them to go east of you as well. Still a bm track.. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 euro is 6-12” lollis to 14” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 how are the temp profiles? any mix concerns for NYC area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Euro QPF, much better for everyone. Keep in mind that the Euro is still on the Eastern edge of the guidance envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Looks like the mid level tracks are perfect on the Euro for big time snow around the city and coast, and NW areas do very well also. Hopefully this is settling on consensus and the NAM can tick east a bit. Yeh the euro is a major snowfall for the area. Now the question is this done trending west ? The American models have clearly led the way . At 18z I want to see the nam shift 50-75 miles east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: Still a bm track.. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Was a major west shift from 0z. That's his point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Looks like the mid level tracks are perfect on the Euro for big time snow around the city and coast, and NW areas do very well also. Hopefully this is settling on consensus and the NAM can tick east a bit. Yes. This is an absolutely perfect track for the metro area Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Euro QPF, much better for everyone. Keep in mind that the Euro is still on the Eastern edge of the guidance envelope. Jersey is crushed; 10-15”. That’s the CMC, Ukie, and Euro all in agreement. Goofus is lost and the NAM is amping this thing up to the high heavens. Seems about right. I like my chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Was a major west shift from 0z. That's his point.Yeah brother... Read the conversation he and I have been having. I said earlier, the writing may be on the wall for LI. But, if the NAM moves a bit East, and the Euro holds only coming this far west (bm) this may be a good track for the metro area. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Can anyone argue in favor of a blizzard warning anywhere in this storm's path? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 5, 2018 Author Share Posted March 5, 2018 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 5, 2018 Author Share Posted March 5, 2018 50mm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 EURO still has the heaviest snow/precip axis from S NJ, C LI, E NE...probably a little too far east. NAM/GFS probably a little too far west, somewhere in the middle would be the way to go at this point. I-95 and just to the west look really good at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 59 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: According to my previously having contacted Meteocentre, the pages have not been formally published. The extended RGEM is for research purposes. Gotcha - thanks again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 22 minutes ago, Rjay said: The rgem was 50mm of snow for NYC lol per the meteogram I was just looking at all the purty colors....isn't green rain and yellow sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: 50mm That's 20" using standard 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: 50mm looks like 55mm on the graph to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 In the past the Euro track would be a lock, but the Euro's been a lot more shaky lately. However there's a very good consensus this time around. I'd still be a lot more comfortable N&W of the city though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 5, 2018 Author Share Posted March 5, 2018 7 minutes ago, weatherlogix said: Gotcha - thanks again. just follow my instructions and it works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: In the past the Euro track would be a lock, but the Euro's been a lot more shaky lately. However there's a very good consensus this time around. I'd still be a lot more comfortable N&W of the city though. I don't know the technical details, I wonder why the NAM is suddenly much better and the Euro much worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, Dino said: looks like 55mm on the graph to me W.e. the result is the same, a crippler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 5, 2018 Author Share Posted March 5, 2018 7 minutes ago, Dino said: looks like 55mm on the graph to me You're right. I failed 1st grade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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