weatherpruf Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: The GFS would be great for 95% of us, except far eastern LI and they probably even get hit good. 1"+ liquid as snow for just about everyone. And the thermals are too warm-with every layer except the surface below freezing, it would be snow. haven't we seen the rain/snow line with the rain arriving faster and more widespread a lot of times? This is March after all, I'm thinking last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, weatherpruf said: haven't we seen the rain/snow line with the rain arriving faster and more widespread a lot of times? This is March after all, I'm thinking last year This tightly wound of a system would have cold air pressed in close to the center. The airmass in general is colder this time than the last storm. You'd likely be snow where 850s are below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 or [mention=904]Typhoon Tip[/mention]Thank you Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 14 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Would be tough with a tightly wound system like this to hit everybody. Exactly. Either someone is sniffing cirrus on one side or tainting on the other Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 The 12z GGEM is probably the best case scenario for everyone to get some snow out of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, snywx said: Exactly. Either someone is sniffing cirrus on one side or tainting on the other I'm pretty sure the people who got slammed Friday and don't have power back yet would be ok with no more snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Looks like the 12z UKMET came West 12z 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Looks like the 12z UKMET came West 12z 00z Not what I wanted to see for NYC/LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I'm pretty sure the people who got slammed Friday and don't have power back yet would be ok with no more snow Speak for yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, mikem81 said: Not what I wanted to see for NYC/LI Looks to be about where the GFS is. Might not be terrible but yeah, definitely want it to stop trending west from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Not what I wanted to see for NYC/LI That's not necessarily a bad track. Still east of the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 12z Euro in a couple of hours should be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I'm pretty sure the people who got slammed Friday and don't have power back yet would be ok with no more snow Not weenies like us.. See post below lol. 3 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Speak for yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 The close up view of the UKMET makes me feel better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 40 minutes ago, qg_omega said: RGEM looks like a HECS? For those who are looking for it, the RGEM map is below: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Definitely a much better run for the interior on the 12z UKMET. 12z 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 15 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The 12z GGEM is probably the best case scenario for everyone to get some snow out of this GGEM has been doing some serious west trending in the last 24 hrs. Im sure its not done yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 40 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The GFS snow maps look awful for the coast because it thinks it’s 34 degrees the entire time Coastal CT and Westchester get 6 to 10. Agreed on coastal LI and NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, snywx said: Not weenies like us.. See post below lol. I should have said the sane people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 All in all, I think we're coming to better agreement today. One of the Eastern outliers, (00z UKMET) has corrected back West. The 00z Euro is now truly an Eastern outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: I should have said the sane people I think it's more the wind that people could do without. It's a disaster zone in a lot of places, especially to the Southwest of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Definitely a much better run for the interior on the 12z UKMET. 12z 00z It's better for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, Stormlover74 said: I should have said the sane people I was fortunate enough to only be without power for 12 hrs. Some areas a few miles to my west are still in the dark 3 days later. Its still a dire situation in Pike & Monroe counties in PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Coastal CT and Westchester get 6 to 10. Agreed on coastal LI and NJ He never said anything about amounts lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 CMC ensemble mean looks similar to the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 If the UK is all snow for NYC, which it may be....oh boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 9 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: For those who are looking for it, the RGEM map is below: Very impressive for NE NJ into Westchester. Looks like 15+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 hour ago, purduewx80 said: RGEM goes to 84 and is similar to NAM w/ its track but appears to dynamically cool things enough for 12+ citywide. Where do you get that from? I am on the Meteocenter site and I see 48 hours on the RGEM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, snywx said: GGEM has been doing some serious west trending in the last 24 hrs. Im sure its not done yet It's moving towards consensus. NAM is the west outlier and Euro the east outlier. I'd be pretty shocked if the Euro doesn't bump west today or tonight. The other question is when the east hook begins. A sooner closing off may help it start jogging east earlier. The hug up to around Cape May looks real-what happens after that is what'll make or break it around NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, snywx said: I was fortunate enough to only be without power for 12 hrs. Some areas a few miles to my west are still in the dark 3 days later. Its still a dire situation in Pike & Monroe counties in PA Yeah I lost it for 20 hours from wind damage, no snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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