NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Close to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I know the main interest is with snow, but winds could be a problem again if the tucked in track verifies. Not as strong as Friday, but still noteworthy. 40-60kts at 925mb is no joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Solid few inches on the gfs for NYC CMC is a big hit for coastal sections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: Solid few inches on the gfs for NYC CMC is a big hit for coastal sections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgriffin56 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 What is the timing of this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Can someone post the gfs snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Solid few inches on the gfs for NYC CMC is a big hit for coastal sections I believe CMC was euro like during its last run, would be surprised if the euro didn’t come west at least somewhat at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 9 minutes ago, BxEngine said: @ORH_wxman might be able to help, i think hes discussed this in the past. or @Typhoon Tip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, snow1 said: Can someone post the gfs snow map It's not great for the coast or central nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Yup, the GGEM kicks the storm more ESE instead of Northeastward. While it gives more precip to the coast, it still gets the 1"+ QPF contour back to the PA/NJ border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, kgriffin56 said: What is the timing of this event? Early morning hours on Wednesday through Wednesday night, ending sometime after Sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: Closed off right over Southern NJ in a beautiful spot. This doesn't getting any better for the interior. A track like this is what we've been missing for the last several years. We will be measuring in feet if the 12z NAM actually happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 41 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: End of 12z RGEM RGEM looks tucked as well. So far the hi res models favor a hugger. Could be a March to remember for the interior.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 RGEM looks like a HECS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 11 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Yup, the GGEM kicks the storm more ESE instead of Northeastward. While it gives more precip to the coast, it still gets the 1"+ QPF contour back to the PA/NJ border. I'm confused a bit. If the storm is a coastal hugger as some are suggesting, then it should mean that places like mine, SI, Brooklyn, should not be expecting much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, snywx said: RGEM looks tucked as well. So far the hi res models favor a hugger. Could be a March to remember for the interior.. The meteograms show a decent amount of snow for the coast on the rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 GFS actually looked pretty good for most, and hasn't been tucking in like crazy. Hopefully the NAM is just being the NAM and going too far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, weatherpruf said: I'm confused a bit. If the storm is a coastal hugger as some are suggesting, then it should mean that places like mine, SI, Brooklyn, should not be expecting much. It depends where the low closes off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, qg_omega said: RGEM looks like a HECS? Looks like rain and sleet to me for more than half of NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: It depends where the low closes off. ok. Impossible to say at this point then, I would imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 The GFS snow maps look awful for the coast because it thinks it’s 34 degrees the entire time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 CMC has 12 inches for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: It depends where the low closes off. The 500 low closing off over S NJ would only be good for interior areas. We would likely see a couple or few inches if lucky that would be washed away, then dryslot. Luckily, most other models have it closing off south of Long Island, which would be much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 7 minutes ago, snywx said: RGEM looks tucked as well. So far the hi res models favor a hugger. Could be a March to remember for the interior.. 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: The meteograms show a decent amount of snow for the coast on the rgem I meant it will be the 2nd big time snow event for the interior in March and its only the beginning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Where would this have to track for NYC/LI, Mahwah, Middletown NY and Colonia all get nailed with heavy snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, sferic said: Where would this have to track for NYC/LI, Mahwah, Middletown NY and Colonia all get nailed with heavy snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, sferic said: Where would this have to track for NYC/LI, Mahwah, Middletown NY and Colonia all get nailed with heavy snow? Would be tough with a tightly wound system like this to hit everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, sferic said: Where would this have to track for NYC/LI, Mahwah, Middletown NY and Colonia all get nailed with heavy snow? Is that even possible/:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Looking at the the placement of the 1036 in southern Quebec, along with the remnants of Friday's storm lingering in the N.Atl on the RGem, what effects to storm track and intensity can be inferred? My thoughts are for a more robust storm, near or slightly inside the bench mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Would be tough with a tightly wound system like this to hit everybody. The GFS would be great for 95% of us, except far eastern LI and they probably even get hit good. 1"+ liquid as snow for just about everyone. And the thermals are too warm-with every layer except the surface below freezing, it would be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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