nzucker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 7:58 PM, stockmanjr said: What's going on with NWS P&C? Seeing this for Harlem right now. Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 35. Wind chill values between 20 and 25. Breezy, with a north wind 18 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible. Expand Because the radar presentation is AMAZING. You have low-level SE flow off the ocean combining with the heavy mid-level deformation axis and that convergence is setting up right over NYC. Should rip for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I've never EVER heard thunder like I'm hearing it now in a snowstorm. I've heard one or two quiet rumbles before, but this is going on for hours! This is insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 8:04 PM, nzucker said: Because the radar presentation is AMAZING. You have low-level SE flow off the ocean combining with the heavy mid-level deformation axis and that convergence is setting up right over NYC. Should rip for a while. Expand Gotcha was just surprised by that. Going to reword my post as I don't want to sound like a troll that is doubting we're getting a nice snowfall was just surprised they upped the totals again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 8:04 PM, nzucker said: Because the radar presentation is AMAZING. You have low-level SE flow off the ocean combining with the heavy mid-level deformation axis and that convergence is setting up right over NYC. Should rip for a while. Expand Yep, and stop around 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 8:06 PM, stockmanjr said: Gotcha was just surprised by that. Going to reword my post as I don't want to sound like a troll that is doubting we're getting a nice snowfall was just surprised they upped the totals again. Expand I think I would have held at 8-12"...I think a likely total for Central Park is actually around 8-9", not 14"+. The radar does look pretty nice but it's clear the best banding has been inland over NNJ and Rockland County. Surface temperatures in the mid 30s have also hampered accumulations in the more urban areas, at least under lighter echoes. There's no arctic high in place, and it's March 7th, not January 7th, so that obviously has an effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadowsintherain Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 8:15 PM, Ericjcrash said: Yep, and stop around 6.Around 6? Are we looking at the same radar? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 H5 closing off around SNJ/DE. H7 closed off a little while ago. North and and West of this about to be rocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 8:38 PM, shadowsintherain said: Around 6? Are we looking at the same radar? . Expand Yeah, the one with the back edge advancing east. That one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDXer75 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 8:45 PM, USCG RS said: H5 closing off around SNJ/DE. H7 closed off a little while ago. North and and West of this about to be rocked Expand Thanks for this and helpful info you gave earlier. With all the bickering in here, it’s cool to get some good insight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The 700mb low will hopefully make some east progress soon, or the dryslot may make it onto Long Island. It's still making some headway north though it might be slowing down. Drier air is wrapping around to the east of it. The 500mb low closing off may slow the storm down some, but it's still embedded in the jet stream and will keep progressing east. Cutting off doesn't mean closing off. I'm sure there will be plenty more to come where I am, but unless that banding over NJ makes some good headway east, I'm struggling to see how my area and much of NYC will make warning criteria for amounts (although for impact during rush hour it's probably worth it). I have maybe an inch now. Either way, no complaints for March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 RGEM drops another 6 to 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:31 PM, EastonSN+ said: RGEM drops another 6 to 10.At 2-3"/hr all you need is 2-3 hrs for that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:34 PM, USCG RS said: On 3/7/2018 at 9:31 PM, EastonSN+ said: RGEM drops another 6 to 10. Expand At 2-3"/hr all you need is 2-3 hrs for that to happen. Expand It is absolutely dumping here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Have a serious question. Why are temps not dropping with a northerly wind and sun going down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:31 PM, EastonSN+ said: RGEM drops another 6 to 10. Expand ill bet the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 lol at this map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:40 PM, tempestatis014 said: I had the same question here too. It is actually drizzling rain here now Expand Its weird especially with the heavy snow. Anyone have an idea why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
husky0101 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:41 PM, weatherlogix said: lol at this map Expand that was initialized at 1pm right? So it's probably factoring in snowfall amounts from 1pm-4pm I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:44 PM, husky0101 said: that was initialized at 1pm right? So it's probably factoring in snowfall amounts from 1pm-4pm I think Expand Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Damn there's a power line hitting a huge pine tree and it's catching fire, and now the power just went Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:45 PM, BxEngine said: Correct. Expand But the model isn't. Lol, dry slot headed toward the jackpot on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:50 PM, Stormlover74 said: Damn there's a power line hitting a huge pine tree and it's catching fire, and now the power just went Expand Total snowmageddon in Piscataway. Assume you are under the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:54 PM, Will - Rutgers said: Total snowmageddon in Piscataway. Assume you are under the same? Expand Yeah I doubled my 2.5 since 330 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:50 PM, Stormlover74 said: Damn there's a power line hitting a huge pine tree and it's catching fire, and now the power just wentOn a serious note. DO NOT go near that tree. The ground is likely energized and just because the power is out dies not mean the power is not flowing through the wire. Again, DO NOT GO NEAR THE TREE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:53 PM, Ericjcrash said: But the model isn't. Lol, dry slot headed toward the jackpot on it. Expand Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 9:44 PM, husky0101 said: that was initialized at 1pm right? So it's probably factoring in snowfall amounts from 1pm-4pm I think Expand between 1-4 i received 0" of snw...im in that green area in nassau Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 10:06 PM, seanick said: Expand a few hours ago that clown model had me getting 16" of snow...I have 1" of slop and not expecting much more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 3/7/2018 at 10:07 PM, weatherlogix said: a few hours ago that clown model had me getting 16" of snow...I have 1" of slop and not expecting much more Expand You're on a roll, and correct. People need to take off the snow goggles, Queens even getting dry slotted now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Honestly, not much utility IMO in the short range models so far. None of them had a dryslot invading into Long Island today and a megaband parking over central NJ. They had an axis of much heavier precip down here. I think snow will redevelop from the city east as the pivot looks to finally be happening, but the band looks to be weakening a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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