Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[Baroclinic Zone]

Lotta talk about elongation and pulling out.  Make you you always carry a jimmy hat for safety.

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

I may have been too low on my 12-24", locally 30" jack call. Could see a large swath in the 24-30" range...

Where, NH ME?

[Cyclone-68]

Yay! Go to blazes “see text” in June LOL

[DomNH]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

I may have been too low on my 12-24", locally 30" jack call. Could see a large swath in the 24-30" range...

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

I may have been too low on my 12-24", locally 30" jack call. Could see a large swath in the 24-30" range...

Start at 30”. GL man this should be an all timer for you.

[Sugarloaf1989]

14 minutes ago, dryslot said:

 

No water table or reservoir shortages down there.

Give it a month without rain then we'll be drought stricken.

[WintersComing]

Americans vs. The Rest of the Globe

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

East of the Ukie up here, Track over DE Maine instead of IZG.

Yea, but across the BM it looks UKish. regardless, big snows for majority. 

[CoastalWx]

Pope Gon Wild.

[WxBlue]

4 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

I may have been too low on my 12-24", locally 30" jack call. Could see a large swath in the 24-30" range...

Yeah... I think 15" is our floor here at this point. RIP my PR for single-storm snowfall.

That range is 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Pope Gon Wild.

Just up it to 4 feet...might as well go all in.

[jbenedet]

 If we average 2" LE and 12:1 both of which are conservative, right there is 24"....

 

And we snow at at least lightly for at least 24 hrs...

[dryslot]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea, but across the BM it looks UKish. regardless, big snows for majority. 

Sure does, But once it gets here, I would rather be NW of it then NE of the slp here.....................

[TalcottWx]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

You're still basically on the line...I would expect mostly rain there TBH.

F that 

[jbenedet]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Pope Gon Wild.

Naked snow angels.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea, but across the BM it looks UKish. regardless, big snows for majority. 

How we looking West of the River on the Euro Runnaway? 

[dryslot]

Just now, jbenedet said:

 If we average 2" LE and 12:1 both of which are conservative, right there is 24"....

More like 10:1 i think

[WintersComing]

Any dry slotting with the Euro?

[eyewall]

I am thinking around 5 inches for BTV unless after the shadow we do get enough CPV convergence and blocked flow.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, jbenedet said:

 If we average 2" LE and 12:1 both of which are conservative, right there is 24"....

I don't think either number is conservative.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

s

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Sure does, But once it gets here, I would rather be NW of it then NE of the slp here.....................

Oh I feel ya man. Trust, you in great spot for Pope’s numbers.

[moneypitmike]

29 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18"+

 

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I'm locking it in.

 

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

East of the Ukie up here, Track over DE Maine instead of IZG.

I think that seals my decision to head up to Pit2.  If that jinxes me (and you) and ends up helping Hippy, so be it.

 

Good luck to all.

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

Elongation

Stop describing your weenie during euro

[78Blizzard]

[DomNH]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

I don't think either number is conservative.

General 1-2' is reasonable for this area but I agree, I wouldn't bank on 2'' of QPF or 12:1 ratios. I don't see lollis to 30'' here but I wouldn't be shocked if some towns pull off a couple feet. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

s

Oh I feel ya man. Trust, you in great spot for Pope’s numbers.

SV looks like 1.5" plus here but weatherbell dragging its feet...............

[mahk_webstah]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Just up it to 4 feet...might as well go all in.

Only in lollies ;)...I gave my rationale today and yesterday as to why this is a 30 lollie storm

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

 If we average 2" LE and 12:1 both of which are conservative, right there is 24"....

12:1 will be tough if it winds up paste. Better hope to rot around 31-32F overnight.

[Hoth]

Euro just loves that CT QPF screwgie. Hope it's wrong.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I don't think either number is conservative.

Yea...some off the deep end.

Most amounts will be under 20".