Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, dryslot said:

Its starts with denial, Then when they still don't want to believe it, Its gets moved to the nowcast radar hallucinations.

I hear denial is beautiful this time of year. I'm in Margaritaville. .

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Scooter killjoy

 

It’s why he gets paid the big monies. Called it days ago like he saw it.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Nice secondary max in EMA on UK. That should be mostly frozen esp around Ray’s hood.

[Dan]

1 hour ago, MarkO said:

I'm not disputing it won't start as snow. But the meat and potatoes will be rain on the coastal plain. The gradient is 495/ASH

I'm with you on this.  This system has that feel to it.  Maybe we are wrong, but right now this represents what I think will happen up this way.

[Ginx snewx]

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s why he gets paid the big monies. Called it days ago like he saw it.

Folks don't like hearing that shat.

[TalcottWx]

10 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Your triggering him by raining on his parade.

I'M TRIGGEREDDDDDD. 

Hey, Mr interior, how about you be quiet back there 

[dryslot]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

6 hrs up shortly Ukie QPF

18"+

[JC-CT]

Flood watch for the south shore

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, dryslot said:

18"+

2-3" here.  Of rain.  Lawn is greening up nicely.

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Flood watch for the south shore

Triggered

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

I'M TRIGGEREDDDDDD. 

Hey, Mr interior, how about you be quiet back there 

[Hazey]

I'M TRIGGEREDDDDDD.

[dryslot]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

2-3" here.  Of rain.  Lawn is greening up nicely.

Don't fert yet it will end up in the catch basin.

[1985 Polar Bear]

24 minutes ago, tunafish said:

GYX largely holding firm from the early AM update.  I'm not convinced inside 95/295 doesn't run into serious p-type issues, though.

 

I think it's been said that the midday graphic update doesn't really reflect the most recent model runs...

[Whineminster]

16 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Its starts with denial, Then when they still don't want to believe it, Its gets moved to the nowcast radar hallucinations.

just like in the last storm, when we all though it was going to flip "at any moment"...even though deep down everyone here knew we were toast. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Whineminster said:

just like in the last storm, when we all though it was going to flip "at any moment"...even though deep down everyone here knew we were toast. 

That one was an albatross, I was out of that a few days back and had already moved to this one while everyone's focus was still on that one.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, dryslot said:

Don't fert yet it will end up in the catch basin.

Gonna be approaching 20" QPF since January 1st after this next event.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

just like in the last storm, when we all though it was going to flip "at any moment"...even though deep down everyone here knew we were toast. 

You guys who are at the very least going to get a great front end thump, are the biggest biatches. 

[dryslot]

Euro is running now out to hr 12

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Whineminster said:

just like in the last storm, when we all though it was going to flip "at any moment"...even though deep down everyone here knew we were toast. 

The psychoanlysis is getting old. euro running, buckle up.

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

Euro is running now out hr 12

heights a little higher than the gfs in the east out ahead of it

[Buddy1987]

The UKIE track is by far the most ideal track for most folks on the board. I have to admit too I am completely cracking up reading some of these responses to one another. Oye!!

[dryslot]

 

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Gonna be approaching 20" QPF since January 1st after this next event.

No water table or reservoir shortages down there.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

heights a little higher than the gfs in the east out ahead of it

tic, tic, looks like its going to move with the other guidance today.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

You guys who are at the very least going to get a great front end thump, are the biggest biatches. 

Jack fetishers are the worst.

[TalcottWx]

[dryslot]

Euro looks a tic or two west of 0z

[ORH_wxman]

Euro coming NW...it's not going to be a huge amount it doesn't look like, but enough that it will matter for those on the line in southeast.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, sbos_wx said:

^