Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Compromise.  Near ACK to near the east point of the Elbow or a little east of there, is my call as it has sort of looked for a few days.

The main thing though is the trajectory it is taking when it passes those areas IMO.

Its not going to move very much, That you know, I can see a tic or two west or hold serve.

[Ginx snewx]

I don't get the Mets who tweet things about dry slots and snow rain lines before the entire 12Z suite is in . The rash  every model run tweets seems a new way of communicating, first to the scene stuff. Maybe its just me 

[WintersComing]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Congrats on the dry slot?

Lol....I'm just pulling all kinds of stuff out

[JC-CT]

Ukie goes over nantucket but then goes like due north from there.

[dendrite]

23 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Brian,  these sounding pages are great.  I can understand them better than Skew T's.  What site do you use?

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/myo/fx/raobfx.html

[JC-CT]

Just now, WintersComing said:

Lol....I'm just pulling all kinds of stuff out

There are russian, australian and korean models too, you know.

[powderfreak]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

I don't get the Mets who tweet things about dry slots and snow rain lines before the entire 12Z suite is in . The rash  every model run tweets seems a new way of communicating, first to the scene stuff. Maybe its just me 

Agree... its crazy.  Talk about confusing information.  It's one thing in a forum situation like this to talk about it but when known and followed Mets are calling the storm off for some while jackpotting others with every single run, its no surprise so many people are left with their eyes crossed not sure what's going on.

 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

There are russian, australian and korean models too, you know.

All hot, I prefer Swiss but that Australian twang.....

[Logan11]

10 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Compromise.  Near ACK to near the east point of the Elbow or a little east of there, is my call as it has sort of looked for a few days.

The main thing though is the trajectory it is taking when it passes those areas IMO.

For me what matter is how it gets there.  The 0z Euro was essentially due east fro ACY... lousy for ENY. I'm obviously rooting for the models that hug it up the NJ coast further. After that it can release east to the Cape and  I'm fine with it.

[SnowGoose69]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

There are russian, australian and korean models too, you know.

 

[dendrite]

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

 

It always shows a torch here.

[powderfreak]

Just now, Logan11 said:

For me what matter is how it gets there.  The 0z was essentially due east fro ACY... lousy for ENY. I'm obviously rooting for the models that hug it up the NJ coast further. After that it can release east to the Cape and  I'm fine with it.

I always think if its moving due north you get a better chance of a north-south mid-level fronto band stalling and pivoting.  When the storm goes due east its taking that band with it and it ends up being a more transient band of snow swinging through east to west.  Maybe I'm just envisioning it wrong.  

[dryslot]

12z Ukie

 

 

 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Agree... its crazy.  Talk about confusing information.  It's one thing in a forum situation like this to talk about it but when known and followed Mets are calling the storm off for some while jackpotting others with every single run, its no surprise so many people are left with their eyes crossed not sure what's going on.

 

let me tell you an example. The NWS in NYC tweeted out amounts and what they see as evolution, a minute later Boston tweeted out about moving rain snow lines way west and people at 33/34 only accumulating on grassy surfaces, then other mets follow with dry slots and cut backs. Meanwhile staff here are seeing all of it and have emailed me or called me because we have a full slate of groups and visitors here tomorrow saying WTF is going on. I told them all sit tight don't make any rash decisions and wait until later today until it all shakes out.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

It always shows a torch here.

It tends to nuke out lows way too much.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Fun and interesting battle this close in. Gotta love the roller coaster big events can create. 

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

 

When that one nukes, it really nukes!

[JC-CT]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It tends to nuke out lows way too much.

It is most reliable during [nuclear] winter months.

[dendrite]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It tends to nuke out lows way too much.

Lots of bomb cyclones that never materialize.

[JC-CT]

haha remember that time everyone pretended that south korea was north korea

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Blizz said:

Yesterdays.

You wouldn't know...pretty steady. Just inside the benchmark to the outer cape.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, dendrite said:

Lots of bomb cyclones that never materialize.

 

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

It is most reliable during [nuclear] winter months.

 

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

When that one nukes, it really nukes!

 

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It tends to nuke out lows way too much.

Odd I think of hot babes and you guys think of war. Swiss Miss gives me about 8-10 snow , EMA not so good

[Henry's Weather]

What's ukie's snow LE for coastal plain?

[JC-CT]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Odd I think of hot babes and you guys think of war. Swiss Miss gives me about 8-10 snow , EMA not so good

0z was hotter

[JC-CT]

Just now, Henry's Weather said:

What's ukie's snow LE for coastal plain?

Doesn't give snow-specific accumulations

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, Blizz said:

Yesterdays.

That site is always late when it say its 06/12z, Its fixed, Not trying to steal your snow.

[ORH_wxman]

Here's updated ukie

 

 

[Briz600]

Looks like more rain for me 

[HoarfrostHubb]

5 minutes ago, Blizz said:

Yesterdays.

It's funny, because in the post he made I see the one from today (3/6)

 

Unless you are showing for comparison 

Nevermind... I see it was fixed

[SJonesWX]

57 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

I was planning on riding the Brookline and Hollis trails on Thursday....you're saying I shouldn't? 

Lets see:

-in a car? Nope, would get stuck in snow

-in a truck? Nope, would get stuck in mud and water bars

-on an ATV? Nope, would get stuck in snow, mud, and water bars

-on a sled? Nope, would get stuck in snow, mud, and water bars. Would also find every rock and stump that is just under that snow.

-on horseback? Bingo!