Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Euro looks like a crusher, deff east of gfs and cmc though. At d4, solid agreement of a BM track....now we just have to steer this to the promise land. 

Agree, dynamics are perfect,  don't need a wound up beast.

[WxBlue]

Sounds like good news. Just got to wait for weather.us maps to load up. 

Here we go again...

[WxBlue]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Thumper the dumper for you

Lol don't make me hope too hard.

[ice1972]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Euro looks like a crusher, deff east of gfs and cmc though. At d4, solid agreement of a BM track....now we just have to steer this to the promise land. 

Extend the CT snowboard season please!!!

[ice1972]

Too much time for **** to go wrong though 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, WxBlue said:

Lol don't make me hope too hard.

I could see lollies of 18 plus easy for CNNE

[ice1972]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

I could see lollies of 18 plus easy for CNNE

Glad we don’t live there.....

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, ice1972 said:

Glad we don’t live there.....

You will get smoked on that depiction.  Glad we ski there, glad you don't scrape there.

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

Too much time for **** to go wrong though 

Well it won't be to the east where an issue could be.

[WxBlue]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I could see lollies of 18 plus easy for CNNE

Keep speaking dirty to me. 

Gonna limit my hope until we get some consistency, but that Euro run was a good start. Not much else for me to add tonight.

[ice1972]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You will get smoked on that depiction.  Glad we ski there, glad you don't scrape there.

I’ll take it brother.....smoked is the goal every time

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Awesome, got a bunch of skiing in while you visited the beaus homeland. Home was great too, bunch of outside work done,  kind of rainy for a record torch that absolutely no one had

I definitely indicated that February would have some very warm stretches in the east.

This was my February passage.

"Prime KU season is unlikely to produce this year, as the month starts very benign, and perhaps downright balmy throughout the east, especially below the 40th parallel. The evolution of the polar stratosphere during mid winter, as well a the potential weakening of la nina will be key for the reemergence of blocking to set the stage for a potential final winter finale to remember".

Steve, you ok? You seem confused of late....maybe you can embrace TB with a big hug to cheer you up a little?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Yea, it is tamer on qpf on weather us. But we know how reliable euro is lately with its snow qpf. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I definitely indicated that February would have some very warm stretches in the east.

This was my February passage.

"Prime KU season is unlikely to produce this year, as the month starts very benign, and perhaps downright balmy throughout the east, especially below the 40th parallel. The evolution of the polar stratosphere during mid winter, as well a the potential weakening of la nina will be key for the reemergence of blocking to set the stage for a potential final winter finale to remember".

Steve, you ok? You seem confused of late....maybe you can embrace TB with a big hug to cheer you up a little?

Confused, nah I have seen enough  confusion  tonight.  Euro crushes then storm 2 oh boy. Some spring lovers will be pissed

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea, it is tamer on qpf on weather us. But we know how reliable euro is lately with its snow qpf. 

It looked to me like H5 didn't spin up quite as much....but its pretty much the same solution.

There will be some sick banding if H5 closes under us.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Confused, nah I have seen enough  confusion  tonight.  Euro crushes then storm 2 oh boy. Some spring lovers will be pissed

Yep.

Anyway, all good....I'll read more carefully next time.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It looked to me like H5 didn't spin up quite as much....but its pretty much the same solution.

There will be some sick banding if H5 closes under us.

Sick sick look for you. I mean sick

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Sick sick look for you. I mean sick

I agree......me to Jeff.

[40/70 Benchmark]

First post on this system...hopefully I do a little better this time

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/battered-southern-new-england-braces.html

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Euro def. got going a little later this run....really hurt sw areas.

Hopefully that trend ceases.

Kind of a late-bloomer Miller B-east deal.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Euro def. got going a little later this run....really hurt sw areas.

Hopefully that trend ceases.

No joke and OT, this Euro run, someone in Maine packs a 40 inside a weeks time.  Stemwinders

[Damage In Tolland]

Every run every model is 12+ for all. Oh boy oh boy oh boy 

[Buddy1987]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Every run every model is 12+ for all. Oh boy oh boy oh boy 

You look to be jackpot on 6z GFS as well and then on up into north central mass and northward. 

[moneypitmike]

The age-old question as to where I might get more:  Pit 1 or Pit 2?  The closer in solutions favor Pit 1 as we'll have the better qpf and I think favorable mid-level track (how do you like that to balance my qpf woes!!!)  That instance may taint Pit2 a bit.

I think the EC depicts a better solution for Pit2 for the very same reasons.  Pit2 also gets wind on seagull farts.

Congrats Ray up through New Ipswich though--crushers.

[moneypitmike]

Sorry for your respective losses, Jeff and Jerry.

 

I'm not sure I've seen POP so high this far out:

Wednesday

Snow, mainly after 7am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 30. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

 

Wednesday Night

Snow. Low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

 

Thursday

A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

[CoastalWx]

I see the weenie jackpot fetishes are out. Good luck this far out. 

[powderfreak]

4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Euro def. got going a little later this run....really hurt sw areas.

Hopefully that trend ceases.

Kind of a late-bloomer Miller B-east deal.

Yeah decent difference even down into CT through NYC on the EURO with the later development... not that snow maps are the holy grail but its a good one-shot look at the trend.

You can see the difference S/SW of ORH in the two runs.  That'll be something to watch, when it really gets cranking.

00z today:

12z yesterday:

 

 

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah decent difference even down into CT on the EURO with the later development... not that snow maps are the holy grail but its a good one-shot look at the trend.

Definitely cut back S/SW of ORH.

00z today:

12z yesterday:

 

 

Well that would seal the deal where I'll be should things move toward that solution.

Congrats Baxter of the 2'.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Thanks for the play by play and entertainment last night.  Good to wake up and see promising model runs that are somewhat consistent.  The last storm has more deflations than a Patriots ball sack.

Timing sucks for personal reasons, but any snow is good snow.

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Freak always looking to shaft folks 

EPS is much farther sw