Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[wxsniss]

Interesting...
though it closes H5 later than 18z, blocking looks better and the trough is more compressed, so the closed H5 low stalls further south vs 18z

Pretty much a perfect compromise for SNE on this run

[dendrite]

Still in the GOM Thu night. LOL

[dryslot]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:39 AM, CoastalWx said:

Lol stalls east of cape. 

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Yeah, I didn't see any stall near the BM.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:33 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Here we go with the also ran snows in the W and naked snow angels in the E.  LOL   I'm not worried because mid-levels look decent but it will be difficult not to melt down if we are <10" which is certainly possibe if this moves at a decent pace and goes E of AKC.

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Drunk?

[dryslot]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:41 AM, dendrite said:

Still in the GOM Thu night. LOL

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An occluded POS by then.

[HoarfrostHubb]

2/3 NAM still gets me 14-16”...Not bad 

[Hoth]

I'm gonna have to see my doctor in four hours...

[weathafella]

Stopping to relieve myself on the Merritt en route to NJ.  NAM may be the NAM but holy crap!  Glad I’ll be home by dinner tomorrow!

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:41 AM, wxsniss said:

Interesting...
though it closes H5 later than 18z, blocking looks better and the trough is more compressed, so the closed H5 low stalls further south vs 18z

Pretty much a perfect compromise for SNE on this run

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Yeah the low gets elongated W to E orientation...and that really slows the low down from gaining latitude. Its a very good way to prolong the storm. Jan 2011 sort of did this, but to a less obviousextent than we see on some of these runs.

[tavwtby]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:42 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Drunk?

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Just wow!!

[JBinStoughton]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:40 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This run is def colder. Gradient is insane though. Like 18” in norton and a couple in East Taunton

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How realistic is that? And what would be a logical reason for that given a colder solution?

[mahk_webstah]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:41 AM, dendrite said:

Still in the GOM Thu night. LOL

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I think my moving company might cancel my move for Thursday 

a 2 footer is the consolation prize.

The capture and stall is the wildcard it seems between a MECS and a HECS.

[dendrite]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:43 AM, dryslot said:

An occluded POS by then.

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idk...there's some decent fluff for us during the day on Thu.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:42 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Drunk?

 

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Gun shy. 

Only 2 IPA's in.  lol

[moneypitmike]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:43 AM, dryslot said:

An occluded POS by then.

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Hopefully the rest of the runs won't take away from the Maine totals.

 

[dryslot]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:44 AM, dendrite said:

idk...there's some decent fluff for us during the day on Thu.

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Its the nam but i didn't care to much for that squeeze East at H5 when it got to the cape.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:45 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Gun shy. 

Only 2 IPA's in.  lol

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Only 19 on that run at 10 to 1 for you figure 24 easy now go pound one more lol

[tavwtby]

Tight gradient due to p-type issues??

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:43 AM, JBinStoughton said:

How realistic is that? And what would be a logical reason for that given a colder solution?

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With a low moving ene South of new england i would believe the rain/snow line would shift east as storm does

[Ginx snewx]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:46 AM, dryslot said:

Its the nam but i didn't care to much for that squeeze East at H5 when it got to the cape.

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Let the JP fetish wars begin 

[JBinStoughton]

Is this an east trend? Can we get another 30 miles or so?

[TalcottWx]

Horrific run for Duxbury. Their seawall is collapsing 

[Hoth]

Great start to the 0z suite. Let's keep it rolling!

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:43 AM, JBinStoughton said:

How realistic is that? And what would be a logical reason for that given a colder solution?

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Not sure.... the gradient will be somewhere. A tick colder on this run though, that is a positive.

925 at its warmest gets to like Middleboro giving it a quick look.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Hippy, thats a sweet mid level track man. I mean, if you cant reach 16 with that look then it might be a good time to put the house on the market.

[dryslot]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:49 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Let the JP fetish wars begin 

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I don't like one run and now its a jackpot thing?

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:48 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

With a low moving ene South of new england i would believe the rain/snow line would shift east as storm does

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It also fails to gain latitude further west as other runs, so it can't turn the flow in the boundary layer (like 900-950) as much out of the E or even ESE as before...it stays more ENE and NE which is colder obviously...during the height at BOS, 900mb is out of like 060-070 direction instead of 080-090 like on some previous runs.

[moneypitmike]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:51 AM, dryslot said:

I don't like one run and now its a jackpot thing?

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It's always a jp war--don't let anyone make you think otherwise. 

Hopefully the more reliable models will continue to show some Maine juju.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:51 AM, ORH_wxman said:

It also fails to gain latitude further west as other runs, so it can't turn the flow in the boundary layer (like 900-950) as much out of the E or even ESE as before...it stays more ENE and NE which is colder obviously...during the height at BOS, 900mb is out of like 060-070 direction instead of 080-090 like on some previous runs.

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I thought that run was a lot better for maybe local. Looks like I may be just west of a potential CF with that look too.

[tavwtby]

  On 3/6/2018 at 2:49 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Let the JP fetish wars begin 

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I like where I'm at, but think the ORH hills jack