Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We can shake hands on that solution....we take.

Ya. The initial surge hugs the NJ coast then the block forces it east. I mean, thats ideal here. Then you want to stall it over the cape or therabouts, by all means.....I’m down. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Hoth said:

I'm feeling a Jan '11 type track for this thing. Just want to keep the dry slot east of us.

Was thinking same thing earlier. Lets go!

[jbenedet]

0z GFS snows for 36 hrs imby. 

[dryslot]

I guess i will just have to accept being in the CCB.

[Buddy1987]

FWIW, 0z JMA is a bomb as well. 989 south of Long Island. Looking pretty wound up. Love the trends tonight

[40/70 Benchmark]

I still think reality will be a bit east of the 00z GFS, but we'll see what the euro says.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

The gfs shifting slightly east is About the only positive I see from the 00z runs so far... as far as PVD to Boston is concerned. Everything else is pretty amped

[dryslot]

0z GGEM back from its break at 12z, Still a little east, Hits the SE areas and up here, But was pretty much a whiff at 12z.

[mreaves]

Where is pickles? Still stuck in a snowbank in the Catskills?

[DavisStraight]

3 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Where is pickles? Still stuck in a snowbank in the Catskills?

Been busy last couple of days, did he find a good spot and post some good pictures?

[Logan11]

The Euro just isn't what it used to be. I'm not talking about this storm per se...just in general. I'm not sure what happened to the king.

14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I still think reality will be a bit east of the 00z GFS, but we'll see what the euro says.

 

[SnowGoose69]

Just now, Logan11 said:

The Euro just isn't what it used to be. I'm not talking about this storm per se...just in general. I'm not sure what happened to the king.

 

The most recent upgrade focused less on US parameters I believe.  They fully dedicated the upgrade to the Europe sector 

[Logan11]

Not much has melted. Settled several inches, but 35 yesterday and 31 today with only partial sun has been good.

10 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Where is pickles? Still stuck in a snowbank in the Catskills?

 

[Hoth]

Daddy likey what the GFS is cooking up day 8. Gotta be one of the weeniest runs since '15.

[dryslot]

0z Reggie

 

[OceanStWx]

I just love building my snowpack in March...

This one will at least keep my stretch of midnights interesting.

[tavwtby]

OT but man it's legit SN+ right now... thought it would be some showery SN, but about a half inch so far

[STILL N OF PIKE]

51 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Been busy last couple of days, did he find a good spot and lost  some good pictures?

I did. Stayed at Hunter inn. Garth and maybe Steve posted a few photos. I Put a couple up on F.B.

30" inches at the inn, 0 inches 5 miles east Just outside at Catskills 

If this goes Tucky And capture S ,i may Return to hunter for some epic depths.

[WinterWolf]

26 minutes ago, dryslot said:

0z Reggie

 

I’ll take that in a heartbeat...that’s a beaut! 

[JC-CT]

Could live with this.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Could live with this.

That would work for most. Assuming it travels NE from that point, prob goes just east of the elbow 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That would work for most. Assuming it travels NE from that point, prob goes just east of the elbow 

Yea, agree.

No qualms.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, agree.

No qualms.

If the euro stays somewhat east... I feel confident the gfs is probably to far west at this point.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

If the euro stays somewhat east... I feel confident the gfs is probably to far west at this point.

My guess it may nudge a bit west, but not like the GFS...probably track just off of the cape.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

My guess it may nudge a bit west, but not like the GFS...probably track just off of the cape.

Agree. That would work for everyone west of the canal I think.

Looking at the CMC... basically seems like a toned down version of the 12z euro. Maine gets clobbered as the storm just slows down and hangs out off the coast 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Actually, pretty dead nuts on....just outside of ACK.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Wow.... looks basically the same... maybe a touch west... but essentially negligible. That is a fantastic look for many on this run.

id lock that.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Looks like captures a hair later again....no shock with the trend.

PWM gets nearly 2'.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Not a great trend for sw folks....pretty pedestrian there now.

[OceanStWx]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Looks like captures a hair later again....no shock with the trend.

PWM gets nearly 2'.

Between 18-00z it really starts cranking out the forcing.