Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[wxsniss]

Trough is almost neutral at 54hrs compared to slightly positive on prior runs... I'd expect this to tuck closer in

[Buddy1987]

5h is an absolute thing of beauty at hr60!

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, wxsniss said:

Trough is almost neutral at 54hrs compared to slightly positive on prior runs... I'd expect this to tuck closer in

Its probably going to initially look worse than it will end up being...probably will bend eastward under sne.

[#NoPoles]

I love how this thread has the hot tag with 659 replies, and so does the inverted trough thread with only 59 replies

[Buddy1987]

Eastern PA getting annihilated at 66.

[Buddy1987]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its probably going to initially look worse than it will end up being...probably will bend eastward under sne.

Looks like you were right brother. @72 low is just due south of Long Island. This is going to be a snowfall weenie map for sure when it comes out.

[wxsniss]

This run is gonna continue the Superbowl 52 theme

[CoastalWx]

Looks tucky. Good for wrn peeps.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

Looks like you were right brother. @72 low is just due south of Long Island. This is going to be a snowfall weenie map for sure when it comes out.

The initial tuck west will still hurt eastern areas, but not like how it could have without the block.

Cute, but I still sell this-

[wxsniss]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its probably going to initially look worse than it will end up being...probably will bend eastward under sne.

Agree I am not expecting a cutter

[CoastalWx]

That crushes BDL north.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

The block will prevent this from running up the Hudson. But man, the earlier phase is tastey.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Between the islands and over the elbow we go.

This is the western goal post imho.

[wxsniss]

3 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

This run is gonna continue the Superbowl 52 theme

Philly 18-24, Boston 1-3 on this run?

(this is not my forecast, just a fun read of a model run)

[WintersComing]

That wasn’t the best of runs


.

[CoastalWx]

That was a MPM special there. 

[dendrite]

Lock that in right now.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

The block will prevent this from running up the Hudson. But man, the earlier phase is tastey.

I still say the phase will trend later eventually...maybe last minute trend..

[weathafella]

NAM is Boxing Day with much less favorable antecedent airmass.

[dryslot]

Good thing it can't go west, It would have been a HV runner with that look at H5

[Buddy1987]

Western weenies rejoicing after seeing 12K NAM.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, weathafella said:

NAM is Boxing Day with much less favorable antecedent airmass.

Dec 2000.

[CoastalWx]

This is a setup that favors ern PA on north though. You have the initial shield of WAA snow, before the coastal takes over. That's primo there. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

12-18” IMBY on the 12k       I wish the NAM was reliable

[CoastalWx]

Clown RPM is like the NAM too. Pretty sweet inland even at ORH and TOL. Ray too. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Lock that in right now.

Just a ho hum 18-24"

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Eh... kind of continuing the 18z trend.

Im starting to think this isn’t just another cold rain here. Has that look.

[mostman]

It’s not done at 84 either. 

[wxeyeNH]

Wow on the NAM.  Lot of qpf.   Here's the map.  Precip not done from Mass Pike north at 84 so more to come.  Wasn't there a NAM rule in the past that you really have to cut the precip by about 1/3?

[ROOSTA]

Looking like the typical "Spring" type storm. i.e. Elevated locals cha-ching... wagons west.