TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Lock that euro in... 12-18” here. the tree damage driving through Easton is incredible... I saw like 8 big pines right next to each other all ripped down. Probably the most impressive wind damage I’ve seen. A paste blizzard on Wednesday wouldn’t be good for those without power still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 definitely an eastern lean today, i am sure the gfs is not correct...meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Thats 18-24" for BGR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not that anyone cares around here... but, that snow product for the Euro looks balkishly underdone for PHL-NYC ... ... Like, zero ? the storm is already east of the coast at 72 hours and with dynamic/deepening on that track their likely to get some deform bands subtended back SW of this thing for a few hours there. dumb I agree.. was thinking it looked way Under done down that way too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Total qpf. Another nail biter for me. Will it slip just to far east for the western folks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 3 relatively consistent Euro runs within 96 hr timeframe for a decent hit... that used to be a lock... can we get back the confidence of storms past? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: Pretty tame. Maybe 6-8" verbatim? I love how 6-8" is getting a whole bunch of "meh" this run, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 That Euro snow map has about a foot for me...I’ll gladly take that..not greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I will take it! Could this be one if the cases where the precip field gets wider as we get closer, or is this a definite tight system? It seems to tighten up as it goes to town but keep in mind that being on the qpf gradient is often not a bad spot...that's frequently where one of the good outer weenie bands sets up. Still a bit too early to determine that stuff but you're not in a bad spot right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Total qpf. Another nail biter for me. Will it slip just to far east for the western folks? I like that QPF look though for some interior mid-level magic. Often just on the gradient or just outside the gradient...maybe CT River Valley area or eastern VT down through western Mass. Probably too far east for me but good to see moderate QPF so far west. That's why it always seems to be a "surprise" because they often set up just outside the big QPF gradient so you aren't expecting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2018 Author Share Posted March 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I agree.. was thinking it looked way Under done down that way too. Well... to be fair, Will brought up a good point. I was assuming a fairer distribution of QPF when I made that statement, which ...yeah, that may be skimpy on QPF? If the fall rates are off and they get more actually anything falling from the sky it's probably going to be snow even there. But again, I didn't notice that QPF was barren. That's interesting why it's so low... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It seems to tighten up as it goes to town but keep in mind that being on the qpf gradient is often not a bad spot...that's frequently where one of the good outer weenie bands sets up. Still a bit too early to determine that stuff but you're not in a bad spot right now. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 To me H7-H5 lift and what not argued for good snows back to at least the river up NNE of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Well... to be fair, Will brought up a good point. I was assuming a fairer distribution of QPF when I made that statement, which ...yeah, that may be skimpy on QPF? If the fall rates are off and they get more actually anything falling from the sky it's probably going to be snow even there. But again, I didn't notice that QPF was barren. That's interesting why it's so low... The snow maps are often just QPF maps, but guess that's hard to tell if you can't see the QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Winds with this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it slow so bit as it approaches the gulf of Maine. That is a crippling page job for like Scooter and BOS. Your phone typing is as bad as mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Winds with this? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2018 Author Share Posted March 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The snow maps are often just QPF maps, but guess that's hard to tell if you can't see the QPF. Lol, for humans AND the model, that is true - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Your phone typing is as bad as mine. You want to be at pit2 for this one, That's 18" this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: To me H7-H5 lift and what not argued for good snows back to at least the river up NNE of there. Yea, I like Kev to hunch for deform love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The snow maps are often just PF maps, but guess that's hard to tell if you can't see the QPF. We need a GFS solution for VT and NY I suppose, but if it whiffs east so be it. I think the next one after that has hugger written on it..hopefully not insider runner. Caveat...Upslope etc. but still be prolific for the northern Greens even in a EC solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Yes. Meant to say what type of winds with this. Gusts to 40-50? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2018 Author Share Posted March 4, 2018 ...uh heh... who the hell really wants 18" of blue snow... Even in 1997, where the snow fell to some 24 and even 30", the temp went to 30F which sort of helped there...though still huge water content. but, if this were that critical 32 and felled 18" ... I guess good by to the grid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 The funny thing is the GFS by hour 102-108 is actually east of the Euro in SFC low track but spreading much heavier moisture back as far as NNY. Euro is much more compact with the moisture circulation as it tracks into Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 33 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Need a track inside the BM, the west deserves it. UK is too east. Why does the west deserve it now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Not buying the qpf and track. closer to the coast initially then it slips east before getting tugged into GOM. It went against every 0z eps member. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Just now, Greg said: Why does the west deserve it now? The east deserves it because we got shafted by the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I like Kev to hunch for deform love. Let’s get a nice heavy wet Sapling snapper Wednesday and I’d be ok if it ended Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Just now, powderfreak said: The funny thing is the GFS by hour 102-108 is actually east of the Euro in SFC low track but spreading much heavier moisture back as far as NNY. Euro is much more compact with the moisture circulation as it tracks into Maine. Look back in January 4th storm...that got a lot of precip way back west...more than what was thought...I think this will too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Logan11 said: We need a GFS solution for VT and NY I suppose, but if it whiffs east so be it. I think the next one after that has hugger written on it..hopefully not insider runner. Caveat...Upslope etc. but still be prolific for the northern Greens even in a EC solution. Like I just posted, there's definitely some differences if the scale of the moisture on the EURO and GFS. It's not all track driven. The EURO really gets compact south of SNE, while the GFS spreads the love much further out from its SFC track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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