Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[ORH_wxman]

That's pretty sweet for central and eastern zones. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

18 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

ALY going all in for my area and the Berks for this one...and the next one... I'm kinda liking west of the river for this one, as it stands now BL temps are better, upper levels are colder...stay the course!

[weathafella]

Big snows inside 495!

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

The GGEM being a complete whiff illustrates the uncertainty still.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weathafella said:

Big snows inside 495!

It looks less progressive.

[dryslot]

Thats a crushing on the 12z Euro, That slp in the GOM is almost stalled.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It looks less progressive.

Yeah it slows a bit as it approaches the gulf of Maine. That is a crippling paste job for like Scooter and BOS. 

[JBinStoughton]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The GGEM being a complete whiff illustrates the uncertainty still.

Rather see whiffing now than tucked in.  

[moneypitmike]

Just now, dryslot said:

Thats a crushing on the 12z Euro, That slp in the GOM is almost stalled.

I like the sound of that 

[CoastalWx]

That would be a complete and utter disaster for those with the recent damage. Wow.

[wxsniss]

Great hit east SNE, track just outside BM, slightly less progressive than prior Euro runs

This is a verbatim read of the run... I do think based on trough orientation and shortwave energy rounding base that this could tick further west, at least for further north 

[JBinStoughton]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Thats a crushing on the 12z Euro, That slp in the GOM is almost stalled.

With wraparound into EMA?

[powderfreak]

Man that's a crush job for eastern Mass.

[EastonSN+]

How does it look for western CT?

[weathafella]

We lock.

[8611Blizz]

At this time of year with the end drawing near I will advocate for my area at the expense of others! I' I'm sure it will help

[dryslot]

Just now, JBinStoughton said:

With wraparound into EMA?

eastern MA would do quite well on this run.

[dryslot]

Its parked in the GOM, Wow.

[powderfreak]

That gradient got tighter... increased QPF in coastal regions and slightly less back west.

That's a 12-18" for BOS that run.

[Cobalt]

10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

How does it look for western CT?

Enjoy

 

 

[mahk_webstah]

If it is a a little east of the BM does that meet it gets tugged back a bit into the GOM?

Quote

 

 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

How does it look for western CT?

You're west of the best forcing but still a decent system. Prob like a 4-7 type job there. 

[WinterWolf]

If you were to blend all the majors...most everybody in SNE does quite well.

[WxBlue]

We got absolutely crushed that run.

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

How does it look for western CT?

Pretty tame. Maybe 6-8" verbatim?

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

That gradient got tighter... increased QPF in coastal regions and slightly less back west.

That's a 12-18" for BOS that run.

Those south shore towns all without power near Scooter would be crippled. Trees down everywhere. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just saw the Euro.....

[Typhoon Tip]

Not that anyone cares around here... but, that snow product for the Euro looks balkishly underdone for PHL-NYC ... ...

Like, zero ? the storm is already east of the coast at 72 hours and with dynamic/deepening on that track their likely to get some deform bands subtended back SW of this thing for a few hours there.

dumb

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

You're west of the best forcing but still a decent system. Prob like a 4-7 type job there. 

I will take it! 

Could this be one if the cases where the precip field gets wider as we get closer, or is this a definite tight system?

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Not that anyone care around here... but, that snow product for the Euro looks balkishly underdone for PHL-NYC ... ...

Like, zero ? the storm is already east of the coast at 72 hours and with dynamic/deepening on that track their likely to get some deform bands subtended back SW of this thing for a few hours there.

dumb

It's pretty skimpy on the qpf SW of NYC. But I tend to agree that the western side would be somewhat underdone. These midlevel fronto bands tend to arc further to the west than the simple qpf maps often imply.