Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[weathafella]

OT but GFS says do it again Monday 

[WintersComing]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

No it was specifically referring to this storm. Sucka

hahaha...thought I had ya.  That is pretty crazy for the 12th though.

[butterfish55]

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Something to note. All of these meso models seem to be pretty cold and trending colder.

15z hrrr has warning snow for all of se mass now

And we don't have a watch, warning or even an advisory.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

28 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

wrong thread

oops

27 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

How much you expecting there?  12-14"?

12-18” if things break right top end could be reached. GL out there

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Some of it is CF enhanced. Slight temp/dewpoint difference there. But also, means temps off the deck are chilly.

Was 35 for a moment Now 33 rte1 By 114 N peabody

[NeonPeon]

2 minutes ago, butterfish55 said:

And we don't have a watch, warning or even an advisory.  

I think if the relevant period wasn't after the PM commute, and especially overnight, they might err on the side of caution, but as is they can wait and see what manifests.

[bobbutts]

16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's amazing how all of the biggies trend in favor of SNE in the past decade.

uh oh, I saw the lower qpf this morning.  NAM got sliced in half from those weenie runs yesterday. 

[WintersComing]

No one has started a nowcast thread yet?

[Buddy1987]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

oops

12-18” if things break right top end could be reached. GL out there

 

it's really gonna have to rip man. Somewhat unimpressed thus far.

[Damage In Tolland]

So naked .. so free

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

it's really gonna have to rip man. Somewhat unimpressed thus far.

On schedule. the meat was scheduled to move in after lunch hour.

[WintersComing]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

So naked .. so free

I figured it was you that Tolland PD was looking for

[WintersComing]

2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

it's really gonna have to rip man. Somewhat unimpressed thus far.

Huh?

[Dave5]

New Map

[Ginx snewx]

AGAKT

overall across much of the interior, expect a good amount of
snowfall with amounts  around 8-14 inches with higher amounts across
the Berks and Worcester Hills thanks to upslope flow from the
anomalous easterly jet. The CT Valley region will also see shadowing
from this effect and tried to show that in the forecast

[J Paul Gordon]

13 minutes ago, subdude said:

18-24" locally 30"

elevation is our friend. 

I'd pull the larger amounts futher down into Worcester and possibly southwestwards into NE CT. Another jack will be the  Berks. Don't see that there.

[Buddy1987]

1 minute ago, WintersComing said:

Huh?

Guess i'm just over anxious here. Wanting to see some wicked parachuters start falling.

[nutmegfriar]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So naked .. so free

Will you be riding your pet unicorn in the snow?

[weathafella]

It’s like the euro woke up and told all the other models “GTFO YOU IDIOTS”

[WintersComing]

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

Guess i'm just over anxious here. Wanting to see some wicked parachuters start falling.

Don't be like Kevin...try and keep your clothes on as long as possible.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

It’s like the euro woke up and told all the other models “GTFO YOU IDIOTS”

Euro is like the pitcher who got knocked around in the first couple innings but then got pissed off and mowed everyone down for the next 6 innings.

[Damage In Tolland]

[wxeyeNH]

27 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's amazing how all of the biggies trend in favor of SNE in the past decade.

Totally agree.   Nice run of the mill snowstorm for me.  Nothing memorable.  I'm hoping for 10" with some 30mph gusts, temps in the mid to upper 20's bit of drifting.  No big deal. Quick cleanup with the snowblower tomorrow PM.   Down in SNE another story.  Good Luck

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Anyone know where in Bethel Cantore is? I’m gonna try to go there and pawn my kid to get on TV

[40/70 Benchmark]

30 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It's amazing how all of the biggies trend in favor of SNE in the past decade.

Except 5 days ago.

[wxsniss]

15z HRRR even colder as commented

HRDPS does a loopy loop of meso-lows that prolongs the goods into eastern SNE in clown range... HRRR has that dual-low depiction too at the end of it's run too

BOX must have finger on the warning trigger for Boston

[rnaude241]

Harvey Leonard‏Verified account @HarveyWCVB 3m3 minutes ago

More

Boston and the I 95 corridor will change to all snow this evening and then heavy wet snow will fall deep into the night. Chances of Boston getting 4” or more are excellent, and 6” or more quite possible...heavy, wet snow with strong NE winds. #wcvb

[WintersComing]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I can't believe Ryan kept you out of the 12-18

[Greg]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Anyone know where in Bethel Cantore is? I’m gonna try to go with their and pawn my kid to get on TV

Near Danbury , CT.

[NeonPeon]

Can someone speak to how reliable the HRRR is compared to other meso models, and in general?  I'd love to believe it.