Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I have a feeling there is def going to be a swath of decent power outages. Not the extent of Halloween 2011 or anything, but maybe something a little more robust than 2/5/16

I think from downtown Boston out to rt 128 could be at greatest risk for power disruption.

[snowman21]

Light snow beginning here

[tavwtby]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

For the Western peeps Tandy Andy's cast

I'll take the 12-18"... although I was thinking 10-14 alk along with lollis

[Typhoon Tip]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I have a feeling there is def going to be a swath of decent power outages. Not the extent of Halloween 2011 or anything, but maybe something a little more robust than 2/5/16

I'm thinking similar to that second storm in the duple event of December 1996

[MarkO]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If I get 6" or less, I'll change my screen name to Mark O Jr.

Junior. forget your dreams, set your expectations low and live for the over producer.

Maybe you get in on the coastal front and and slant stick 7"

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I'm thinking similar to that second storm in the duple event of December 1996

No way.

I got like 2.5" and a flash to rain.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, MarkO said:

Junior. forget your dreams, set your expectations low and live for the over producer.

Maybe you get in on the coastal front and and slant stick 7"

Noted.

[CoastalWx]

Rgem pastes right to Boston practically.

[WintersComing]

Great hit on the Reggie

[ariof]

RGEM over the BM, keeps RA/SN line right over BOS? That's … different.

Really shanks the Greens.

[wx2fish]

RGEM definitely is well east, looks wide of ACK to me

[wxsniss]

5 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

The surface low ejecting off the coast looks way south and east to me on meso analysis but I'm not certain. 

 

Transitioning to the desktop. 

Unisys 3hr pres drop has it off mid NC coast

SPC meso wind direction put it around same

NAM does not look far off to me, but good pickup, this is gonna be fun tracking thru the night... I think the further south --> later capture --> further east track

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No way.

I got like 2.5" and a flash to rain.

He was talking about the power outage distribution nothing to do with snow totals dude

[powderfreak]

Just now, ariof said:

RGEM over the BM, keeps RA/SN line right over BOS? That's … different.

Really shanks the Greens.

No bueno.  Tossed ;).

Still a good banding look there but more over eastern VT.  Up here its all about getting into a deform band.

 

[EastonSN+]

In this image of the 0z RGEM, is CT getting thundersnow in the yellow or rain or sleet?

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

The NAM may just be being the NAM, but the RGEM has my attention. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Uh...rgem has like a Feb 13 type band. Just as expansive but more e/w orientated. Not saying 6” per hour but damn it looks sexy.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

He was talking about the power outage distribution nothing to do with snow totals dude

Oh, I'm sorry...my bad.

[powderfreak]

The MET students at Lyndon State College throwing their laptops out the window...

[WintersComing]

[Johnno]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Uh...rgem has like a Feb 13 type band. Just as expansive but more e/w orientated. Not saying 6” per hour but damn it looks sexy.

Just rippin

[wxsniss]

Both NAM and RGEM jumped southeast at least 50 miles...sizable jump for within 24-30 hours.

[moneypitmike]

Western CT ftw on the RGEM.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, wxsniss said:

Both NAM and RGEM jumped southeast at least 50 miles...sizable jump for within 24-30 hours.

We always see this just before go-time on Miller Bs.

[tavwtby]

3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

In this image of the 0z RGEM, is CT getting thundersnow in the yellow or rain or sleet?

Could be reminiscent of my avatar...the 2013 death band...

[EastonSN+]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Uh...rgem has like a Feb 13 type band. Just as expansive but more e/w orientated. Not saying 6” per hour but damn it looks sexy.

In this image is the bright banding over us heavy rain sleet or snow?

[EastonSN+]

Just now, tavwtby said:

Could be reminiscent of my avatar...the 2013 death band...

I honestly do not know what type of precip that is.

[ORH_wxman]

10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I'm thinking similar to that second storm in the duple event of December 1996

Weird random note about that storm....while I was thundersnowing my way to > 2 foot depths in ORH during that one...and most inside of 495 were raining, there was this very narrow zone of ZR....quite rare for that synoptic setup with a marginal airmass. But my cousins lived in Hopkinton at the time and they got about 5" of paste that flipped to marginal ZR at 31F and they just went to town fr hours with it. They must've had almost a half inch of ice from that on top of the paste already clinging to everything....knocked power out for basically the whole town ad some of the towns nearby in that small zone.

 

Anyways...

[snowdazed]

21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Depends where...I think the NW half of RI could be in for a huge paste job.

I work in Johnston, live in Coventry.  Basically, my commute is a straight shot down 295/95.

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

Some bridge jumpers in CNE and NNE if that played out like that.  I being one of them.