Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Not really huge differences now between NAM/RPM/Euro/Ukie....still some subtle differences that matter, but the goalposts are definitely tightening.

GFS making a goal line stand against the E MA offense..model sucks in the red zone, thankfully.

[TalcottWx]

22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

As Scooter said, this is a thundersnow sounding at BOS....look at that big MAUL above about 700mb.

 

 

Man. Paste. 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not really huge differences now between NAM/RPM/Euro/Ukie....still some subtle differences that matter, but the goalposts are definitely tightening.

 Which only means a bust elevates the PTSD to even more terrifying levels of apoplexy  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

AWBT ? lol. We head to a good comprimise. We both agreed far nw was overdone and UK was a good middle ground. Capture around CC was most likely spot. 

we both bang, so good game. 

Yea, totally just bustn' 'em.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not really huge differences now between NAM/RPM/Euro/Ukie....still some subtle differences that matter, but the goalposts are definitely tightening.

I am still baffled why NWS and area mets went all in on a GFS NAM combo before Ukie Euro came out then found ways to discount both. Very baffled ,

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

So PF I guess Im in a moat area between the low and the mid level banding?

Well if you call 1.3" of QPF in a lull?

I've got less QPF but I think the banding will be around here somewhere.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

For some reason your posts show up as a double post...   only yours...like an echo

 

 Yeah I noticed that I think of this phone

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, totally just bustn' 'em.

If you can take em up out here in your final call, I’ll truce it haha. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GFS making a goal line stand against the E MA offense..model sucks in the red zone, thankfully.

I think it will be about as competitive as the Colts run defense against Emmitt Smith behind the 1990s Cowboys offensive line.....

And just to clear it up, the GFS is the Colts defense.

[wxsniss]

Where is the warmth in KBOS to make rain? All I'm seeing is warmth 950 and below on plots hrs ...? With those rates, I'm calling snow.

Dry slot cuts us down a few inches but estimate on that run at least 4-8" in city proper, 6-10" in immediate western burbs.

Great start to 0z... agree with Coastal, want to see RGEM or GFS do the same... Euro gravitational pull delayed but not denied...?

[Semper911]

9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I don't understand it what the hell is that a Vin diagram

All those arrows are making me dizzy. Vino diagram, maybe lol.

[DomNH]

Just now, sbos_wx said:

Man. Paste. 

I'm not even sure that's a classic man paste sounding. I mean yeah, it's >0C from 950mb or so down, but I love me a good old fashioned 0C isothermal blue bomb sounding from like 850mb down.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

I am still baffled why NWS and area mets went all in on a GFS NAM combo before Ukie Euro came out then found ways to discount both. Very baffled ,

What I said earlier wrt Upton. Very shakey like nervous nelly weenies in control.

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

 Yeah I noticed that I think of this phone

If I hit the lottery I am going to buy you Ray and Jay smart phones. Its confusing me when people post asking for info because they are on mobile and can't see something. 

[WinterWolf]

Lol TWC immediately upped the snow totals after the NAM run...went from 8-12 in most of interior CT, to 12-18 immediately after the NAM!  

[moneypitmike]

A nice start to the 00z run. 

Looking to start out pre-dawn tomorrow, perhaps with a few flakes as I leave GC.  

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I am still baffled why NWS and area mets went all in on a GFS NAM combo before Ukie Euro came out then found ways to discount both. Very baffled ,

Head scratcher to be sure...

[Thunderblizzard]

RGEM looks a bit east on the black and white maps.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, Semper911 said:

All those arrows are making me dizzy. Vino diagram, maybe lol.

He enjoys making us cross eyed.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Semper911 said:

All those arrows are making me dizzy. Vino diagram, maybe lol.

 I get away with it in most events, the its the huge banded systems where I give myself an ice cream headache....

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

If I hit the lottery I am going to buy you Ray and Jay smart phones. It confusing me when people post asking for info because they are on mobile and can't see something. 

I have a galaxy 9.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

I am still baffled why NWS and area mets went all in on a GFS NAM combo before Ukie Euro came out then found ways to discount both. Very baffled ,

 Well I guess to be fair and objective nothings actually happened yet so we probably shouldn't foist any trophies.

That said… I agree.

I said this earlier today that the euro is simply not that bad of a model, people… I couldn't figure out what all this weird almost like self for filling prophecy to make this be a horse schit pie ... picking models till they found the right one that phuket Thailand  it up for everybody ha ha it's almost funny 

[ORH_wxman]

Reggie is definitely east.

[TalcottWx]

20 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah...lol. His forecast verified. Jay just has a lot of vitriol toward him.

He just takes the most pedestrian route until every other station ups their totals. Storm after storm. 

[WxBlue]

A little late to the party, but it's really nice to see NAM pushing that coastal gradient zone away from me. Bring it on!

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, sbos_wx said:

He just takes the most pedestrian route until every other station ups their totals. Storm after storm. 

Just watched your buddy Pete B start the back pedaling.  Said he's "really wrestling with where R/S line sets up".

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, WxBlue said:

A little late to the party, but it's really nice to see NAM pushing that coastal gradient zone away from me. Bring it on!

I think you'll be setting a new personal best tomorrow. Enjoy!

[WxBlue]

12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea...primitive.

I'll work on graphics for next year....that and specific temp anomalies for the seasonal.

Two changes.

May I suggest Paint.NET? Great and simple *FREE* program that was helpful back when I made snowfall graphics in NC.

[WxBlue]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

I think you'll be setting a new personal best tomorrow. Enjoy!

We will have at least an attempt at breaking that. Looking forward to see if we can break that 15" mark!

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, WxBlue said:

May I suggest Paint.NET? Great and simple *FREE* program that was helpful back when I made snowfall graphics in NC.

I will look into that....thank you.