Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[Baroclinic Zone]

Lotta talk about elongation and pulling out.  Make you you always carry a jimmy hat for safety.

[Hoth]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:03 PM, jbenedet said:

I may have been too low on my 12-24", locally 30" jack call. Could see a large swath in the 24-30" range...

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Where, NH ME?

[Cyclone-68]

Yay! Go to blazes “see text” in June LOL

[DomNH]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:03 PM, jbenedet said:

I may have been too low on my 12-24", locally 30" jack call. Could see a large swath in the 24-30" range...

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:03 PM, jbenedet said:

I may have been too low on my 12-24", locally 30" jack call. Could see a large swath in the 24-30" range...

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Start at 30”. GL man this should be an all timer for you.

[Sugarloaf1989]

  On 3/6/2018 at 5:49 PM, dryslot said:

 

No water table or reservoir shortages down there.

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Give it a month without rain then we'll be drought stricken.

[WintersComing]

Americans vs. The Rest of the Globe

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:04 PM, dryslot said:

East of the Ukie up here, Track over DE Maine instead of IZG.

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Yea, but across the BM it looks UKish. regardless, big snows for majority. 

[CoastalWx]

Pope Gon Wild.

[WxBlue]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:03 PM, jbenedet said:

I may have been too low on my 12-24", locally 30" jack call. Could see a large swath in the 24-30" range...

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Yeah... I think 15" is our floor here at this point. RIP my PR for single-storm snowfall.

That range is 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:06 PM, CoastalWx said:

Pope Gon Wild.

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Just up it to 4 feet...might as well go all in.

[jbenedet]

 If we average 2" LE and 12:1 both of which are conservative, right there is 24"....

 

And we snow at at least lightly for at least 24 hrs...

[dryslot]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:06 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea, but across the BM it looks UKish. regardless, big snows for majority. 

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Sure does, But once it gets here, I would rather be NW of it then NE of the slp here.....................

[TalcottWx]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:03 PM, ORH_wxman said:

You're still basically on the line...I would expect mostly rain there TBH.

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F that 

[jbenedet]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:06 PM, CoastalWx said:

Pope Gon Wild.

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Naked snow angels.

[WinterWolf]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:06 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea, but across the BM it looks UKish. regardless, big snows for majority. 

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How we looking West of the River on the Euro Runnaway? 

[dryslot]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:07 PM, jbenedet said:

 If we average 2" LE and 12:1 both of which are conservative, right there is 24"....

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More like 10:1 i think

[WintersComing]

Any dry slotting with the Euro?

[eyewall]

I am thinking around 5 inches for BTV unless after the shadow we do get enough CPV convergence and blocked flow.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:07 PM, jbenedet said:

 If we average 2" LE and 12:1 both of which are conservative, right there is 24"....

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I don't think either number is conservative.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

s

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:08 PM, dryslot said:

Sure does, But once it gets here, I would rather be NW of it then NE of the slp here.....................

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Oh I feel ya man. Trust, you in great spot for Pope’s numbers.

[moneypitmike]

  On 3/6/2018 at 5:39 PM, dryslot said:

18"+

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  On 3/6/2018 at 6:02 PM, dryslot said:

I'm locking it in.

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  On 3/6/2018 at 6:04 PM, dryslot said:

East of the Ukie up here, Track over DE Maine instead of IZG.

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I think that seals my decision to head up to Pit2.  If that jinxes me (and you) and ends up helping Hippy, so be it.

 

Good luck to all.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:02 PM, sbos_wx said:

Elongation

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Stop describing your weenie during euro

[78Blizzard]

[DomNH]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:09 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I don't think either number is conservative.

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General 1-2' is reasonable for this area but I agree, I wouldn't bank on 2'' of QPF or 12:1 ratios. I don't see lollis to 30'' here but I wouldn't be shocked if some towns pull off a couple feet. 

[dryslot]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:09 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

s

Oh I feel ya man. Trust, you in great spot for Pope’s numbers.

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SV looks like 1.5" plus here but weatherbell dragging its feet...............

[mahk_webstah]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:07 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Just up it to 4 feet...might as well go all in.

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Only in lollies ;)...I gave my rationale today and yesterday as to why this is a 30 lollie storm

[dendrite]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:07 PM, jbenedet said:

 If we average 2" LE and 12:1 both of which are conservative, right there is 24"....

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12:1 will be tough if it winds up paste. Better hope to rot around 31-32F overnight.

[Hoth]

Euro just loves that CT QPF screwgie. Hope it's wrong.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/6/2018 at 6:09 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I don't think either number is conservative.

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Yea...some off the deep end.

Most amounts will be under 20".