WintersComing Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:31 PM, CoastalWx said: So many EC members are snowy in ern areas. I would love for the EC to give the GFS one big massive steaming dump on the face.I’m betting the gfs comes back east at 12 z. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:31 PM, CoastalWx said: So many EC members are snowy in ern areas. I would love for the EC to give the GFS one big massive steaming dump on the face. Expand You just can’t get poop out of your mind. I’d weigh towards them, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:31 PM, CoastalWx said: So many EC members are snowy in ern areas. I would love for the EC to give the GFS one big massive steaming dump on the face. Expand That's hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 12:46 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll stick with the EPS/ Euro / Ukie/ Reggie suite thanks Expand i don't see a problem with this? Whats Ryan thinking? Bob went huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:18 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Holy moly, take em off! Expand If I somehow manage to not changeover at the height of this storm, this are could do extremely well. That hires rgem is incredible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 We are still cautiously optmistic for wct and wma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:41 PM, Spanks45 said: If I somehow manage to not changeover at the height of this storm, this are could do extremely well. That hires rgem is incredible! Expand I cannt see a scenario we rain but I can see sleet for a bit. That’s the worst case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:40 PM, Ginx snewx said: i don't see a problem with this? Whats Ryan thinking? Bob went huge Expand Man that’s nudity here if that verifies, we can go straight to Morch after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:12 PM, tamarack said: From GYX morning AFD: With mid level low tracks in this area...parts of Srn NH and coastal Wrn ME are favored for a potentially major snowfall. Increasingfrontogenesis will already be ramping up the forcing for ascent Wed afternoon...but as the mid level lows deepen deformation will be increasing along and NW of their path. This will likely lead to some intense banding for interior parts of New England. The best combination of Atlantic inflow...upper dynamics...andQPF favors Srn NH for the highest snowfall totals. 06 GFS pounds the ASH-PSM-SFM region with 2-2.5" qpf. 50 miles north and it's an inch less. (Still enough for double digits) Expand Yeah--a very different look for Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:45 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I cannt see a scenario we rain but I can see sleet for a bit. That’s the worst case. Expand I only have a few years experience in this area, but I have experienced a change over more times than not. I know every storm is different, but it just seems to warm here, even when a majority of models keep it all snow/frozen. My hometown of Lancaster PA is basically split on all guidance right now, almost split through the county. Many years of heartbreak living there in this type of storm tells me which way to lean.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 12z NAM at hr 12 is just a tick stronger with the canadian s/w. Other than that, not much difference thus far. Early in the run obv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 12:12 PM, JC-CT said: GFS is like 20 miles west at most of other guidance. Expand The EPS and GEFS are light years apart right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:31 PM, CoastalWx said: So many EC members are snowy in ern areas. I would love for the EC to give the GFS one big massive steaming dump on the face. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:40 PM, Ginx snewx said: i don't see a problem with this? Whats Ryan thinking? Bob went huge Expand Keeping big amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Less positively tilted at hr 18. QPF responding and shifting just a tad west so far. This looks to be a good run in the making once again. Uber amounts of precip loading up in the Delmarva. Edit: Can already tell at hr 20 that some eastern guys may not be too happy with the 12z NAM. Looking like its def going to tuck once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:53 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: The EPS and GEFS are light years apart right now. Expand Yeah I agree, was referring to OP GFS specifically. GEFS are an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:51 PM, Spanks45 said: I only have a few years experience in this area, but I have experienced a change over more times than not. I know every storm is different, but it just seems to warm here, even when a majority of models keep it all snow/frozen. My hometown of Lancaster PA is basically split on all guidance right now, almost split through the county. Many years of heartbreak living there in this type of storm tells me which way to lean.... Expand You’ll be fine. Just hop on my back, I’ll carry you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Bottom of the trough not nearly as sluggish this go around. Going to be more amped for sure at 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Are the NWS snowfall maps over the top? They seem to be on the high end of things....not that I don't hope they are right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:31 PM, CoastalWx said: So many EC members are snowy in ern areas. I would love for the EC to give the GFS one big massive steaming dump on the face. Expand More often than not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Box just posted this on Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Very interesting double low at hr 27 with primary further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Much more expansive qpf field at hour 29 vs 6z 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:40 PM, Ginx snewx said: i don't see a problem with this? Whats Ryan thinking? Bob went huge Expand God that is horrific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 2:07 PM, JC-CT said: Much more expansive qpf field at hour 29 vs 6z 35. Expand Makes sense man, considering the origins of the moisture. Gonna be a crazy run upcoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 1:42 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We are still cautiously optmistic for wct and wma. Expand Massive eye roll. Mid levels smoke you. I'm riding the Tobin rain snow line according to many models. Wanna trade? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Crush job at hr 30 on regular NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Absolute mayhem! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 On 3/6/2018 at 2:09 PM, sbos_wx said: Massive eye roll. Mid levels smoke you. I'm riding the Tobin rain snow line according to many models. Wanna trade? Expand Yea, was talking about approaching hecs levels here. I think theres a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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