Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[tunafish]

let me save some folks trouble:

 

• Buy extra product for your grocery store because you know how the public reacts when they get wind of 12-24" snow totals
• Plan to have your commute impacted Weds PM/Thurs AM - work from home if that's an option
• Any planned flights during the time frame will likely be impacted

Did I miss anything?

[Ginx snewx]

Can't forget the Moose

[DomNH]

I wonder if this is a setup where I'm stuck between MLM to the west and north and Ray's CF pounding to the southeast. Probably good for a 12-18'' first call either way. 

[Ginx snewx]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:33 PM, tunafish said:

let me save some folks trouble:

 

• Buy extra product for your grocery store because you know how the public reacts when they get wind of 12-24" snow totals
• Plan to have your commute impacted Weds PM/Thurs AM - work from home if that's an option
• Any planned flights during the time frame will likely be impacted

Did I miss anything?

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Beer

[40/70 Benchmark]

First Call:

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/applying-lessons-learned-from-friday.html

[powderfreak]

Other thing to note is that was a pretty decent westward tick of the EURO from 00z, especially as it gained latitude after that odd jump east at 54-60hrs.

Seems like the goal posts are narrowing.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:33 PM, CoastalWx said:

The euro verbatim is like 33-35 degrees the whole time here. Those weenie algorithms follow the 925 isotherm nicely near PYM.  You could argue Tw to near 32, but man that is close.

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925 is def colder on Euro than GFS by a decent amount...that would argue for paste pretty far SE...the clown maps def show it.

[NorEastermass128]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:33 PM, Ginx snewx said:

Beer

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Haha I was going to say don't forget to hit the packy.

Riding the line here like so many others along the coast.

[dryslot]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:28 PM, powderfreak said:

I do like the look of the large circulation for a western band way out.  That's why the EURO track works here and the NAM track puts it over like central New York from BGM to SLK, lol.

Ramp up some ratios in that thing hopefully for the powder hounds. Can clearly see it on the QPF fields going up VT, removed from the other area of forcing closer to the coast.  Probably a nice deform band running up western New England.

 

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Ratios should be better towards you so more for less in that regard, here, Most looks to fall overnight when its colder, So i may do better then 10:1 maybe up to 12:1 or so, Looking at GYX's snow map, Its 12-18" here right now but those will probably change.

[NorEastermass128]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:34 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

First Call:

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/applying-lessons-learned-from-friday.html

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Wow...10-16" here?  

I'm thinking 3-6"...an easy foot by you though.

[kdxken]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:34 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

First Call:

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/applying-lessons-learned-from-friday.html

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Wow that was quick ! You want to get your grade point average back up

[kdxken]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:34 PM, powderfreak said:

Other thing to note is that was a pretty decent westward tick of the EURO from 00z, especially as it gained latitude after that odd jump east at 54-60hrs.

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 Don't start that again you know how people feel about snow theft.

[dryslot]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:34 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

First Call:

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/applying-lessons-learned-from-friday.html

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That's solid

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:18 PM, ORH_wxman said:

It's close...your area over eastward to the south shore is def going to have some issues I think, but it just depends on how bad they are and how long. Very close.

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Still looks like over an inch frozen this run... but barely. It’s about 25 miles away from being a nothingburger.

That was a good shift west on the euro.... still 2 days for that to come even more west.

Ill wait until tonight, but I’ve learned my lesson from the last storm. I’m not going to waste time tracking a marginal situation that will ultimately rain 

[Ginx snewx]

the Pope is concerned about coastal flooding, Boston tides, note they are still 2 feet above normal

[CoastalWx]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:41 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Still looks like over an inch frozen this run... but barely. It’s about 25 miles away from being a nothingburger.

That was a good shift west on the euro.... still 2 days for that to come even more west.

Ill wait until tonight, but I’ve learned my lesson from the last storm. I’m not going to waste time tracking a marginal situation that will ultimately rain 

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Even if first half was rain, would be an interesting flip to wet snow with strong winds. I would accept having some ptype issues for a time.

[nutmegfriar]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:34 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

First Call:

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/applying-lessons-learned-from-friday.html

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Always a nice read.  Thank you!

[dryslot]

For MPM so he stops asking...................lol

 

[78Blizzard]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:41 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Still looks like over an inch frozen this run... but barely. It’s about 25 miles away from being a nothingburger.

That was a good shift west on the euro.... still 2 days for that to come even more west.

Ill wait until tonight, but I’ve learned my lesson from the last storm. I’m not going to waste time tracking a marginal situation that will ultimately rain 

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This.  I'll wait until 12z tomorrow.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:46 PM, dryslot said:

For MPM so he stops asking...................lol

 

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Jeffafafa, your bud went through the ice

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:41 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Still looks like over an inch frozen this run... but barely. It’s about 25 miles away from being a nothingburger.

That was a good shift west on the euro.... still 2 days for that to come even more west.

Ill wait until tonight, but I’ve learned my lesson from the last storm. I’m not going to waste time tracking a marginal situation that will ultimately rain 

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2 days the storm is half over 

And no one uses the term nothingburger.. no one 

[dryslot]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:51 PM, Ginx snewx said:

Jeffafafa, your bud went through the ice

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Where was that? Looks like 4" or so.

[NorEastermass128]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

2 days the storm is half over 

And no one uses the term nothingburger.. no one 

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I think I can name a few...

Goal posts narrowing...

[Ginx snewx]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:55 PM, dryslot said:

Where was that?

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@maine_dep, @MaineEMA, @MaineDOT1, @mefishwildlife. DEP responders on the scene over the weekend when this vehicle went through the ice.

[Ginx snewx]

Scooters Boss posted this

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:26 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I wonder if this is the Rt 128 storm Ray has been waiting for...where he's pounding paste at 31-32 and you're struggling in Weymouth....you know he's been dying for one of those.

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I think Ray is in an excellent spot for this.  Him over to Lawrence/Lowell...

[tavwtby]

Does the ULL increase ratios NW, or are temps pretty even through out the column region wide?

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 3/5/2018 at 6:33 PM, Ginx snewx said:

Beer

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Toilet paper

[CarverWX]

So it looks like we get 1.5" of rain then a switch to some nuance snow at the end down here if i am reading the models right?

[rnaude241]

  On 3/5/2018 at 7:12 PM, CarverWX said:

So it looks like we get 1.5" of rain then a switch to some nuance snow at the end down here if i am reading the models right?

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Yup.......... sucks. I knew yesterdays 12z EURO wouldn't hold.  Hoping for the windshield wiper to tick back east.