Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[Spanks45]

  On 3/4/2018 at 4:22 AM, weathafella said:

Thanks everyone.  Funeral in NJ  Tuesday and I admit the thinking ok-good timing-back home Tuesday night.

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I lost my Grandpa last week and his funeral is Wednesday morning in PA. It would figure that this storm would be hitting on Wednesday. Traveling ftl...

[40/70 Benchmark]

GFS and EURO both look to jack my area.

[Buddy1987]

  On 3/4/2018 at 4:02 AM, dryslot said:

0z GGEM is a bomb.

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Boy you weren't kidding. Just got a chance to finally view it on tropicaltidbits and man 985 right near Nantucket. Perfect track and a beast of a storm.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/4/2018 at 4:29 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GFS and EURO both look to jack my area.

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Add the GEM to the list...

 

 

[dryslot]

  On 3/4/2018 at 4:34 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Add the GEM to the list...

 

 

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Solid.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/4/2018 at 4:34 AM, dryslot said:

Solid.

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Track looks perfect for us.

[ice1972]

Imagine how this winter could have ended had yesterday not been an absolute furnace.....30” New with another major on the way on Wednesday....

But no.....on the brighter side we’re gonna go ride the new snow at Mohawk tomorrow....thank god somewher in CT got some snow.....JFC this winter.....ok sorry 

[dryslot]

  On 3/4/2018 at 4:35 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Track looks perfect for us.

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Yes it does, I would take these a full winter................

[Typhoon Tip]

I love how that GGEM solution maxes out over Cape Cod and then by the time gets it down east Maine it almost doesn't exist

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/4/2018 at 4:46 AM, ice1972 said:

Bring it......snow and wind this time right?

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H7 track is perfect for SNE....looks like it stacks once again.

Gonna make a blog post on this one...day 4...'bout that time.

[DavisStraight]

Just took two shots to toast Jeff's and Jerry's aunts, now I'm out of bourbon.

Just looked at the models, I feel better about this one than Fridays, whole different look.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/4/2018 at 4:52 AM, DavisStraight said:

Just took two shots to toast Jeff's and Jerry's aunts, now I'm out of bourbon.

Just looked at the models, I feel better about this one than Fridays, whole different look.

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The wild card here is that H5 looks to close off right underneath NE....crazy things can happen RE banding when that takes place.

Perfect timing for max rate of deepening with regard to mid level centers.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I like the CMC solution much better to this area 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/4/2018 at 4:53 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I like the CMC solution much better to this area 

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I actually think the EURO looks best for you, but it does get dicey around your area per consensus...you battle a dry slot and thermal issues.

[dryslot]

That current track depicted on a few of the models could be problematic for the south coast folks with BL issues early on.

[NorEastermass128]

  On 3/4/2018 at 5:01 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I actually think the EURO looks best for you, but it does get dicey around your area per consensus...you battle a dry slot and thermal issues.

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Cape Ann on the outside looking in?

MLs look fine. We tend to lose the BL. Hoping it’s a 33F pasting. 

[SnowGoose69]

  On 3/4/2018 at 5:09 AM, dryslot said:

That current track depicted on a few of the models could be problematic for the south coast folks with BL issues early on.

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The UKMET looks pretty far west also

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/4/2018 at 5:15 AM, NorEastermass128 said:

Cape Ann on the outside looking in?

MLs look fine. We tend to lose the BL. Hoping it’s a 33F pasting. 

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I think you will do fine, as it stands now.

[dryslot]

  On 3/4/2018 at 5:18 AM, SnowGoose69 said:

 

The UKMET looks pretty far west also

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Looks much weaker as well although can't see 6 hr panels.

[ice1972]

I’m tired 

[Ginx snewx]

  On 3/4/2018 at 5:25 AM, dryslot said:

Looks much weaker as well although can't see 6 hr panels.

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West,  weak? About 1.5 qpf here

[ice1972]

Somehow though it will completely S itself.....theme of the winter.....May 1 can’t get here fast enough 

[WxBlue]

Thanks for the entertainment in here while waiting for the Euro.

Been out all day long and didn't realize how good dynamics are for our next event until looking just now.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 3/4/2018 at 6:15 AM, WxBlue said:

Thanks for the entertainment in here while waiting for the Euro.

Been out all day long and didn't realize how good dynamics are for our next event until looking just now.

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Thumper the dumper for you

[ice1972]

I mean honestly by st Patty’s nobody should be expecting the goods right?  Climo says no.....we’re lookin at two weeks guys.....

[dryslot]

Crushed.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Euro looks like a crusher, deff east of gfs and cmc at 96h, though. At d4, solid agreement of a BM track....now we just have to steer this to the promise land. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

It toned back a hair, but its noise...great look.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 3/4/2018 at 6:16 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Long range call was exemplary.....medium range call sucked.

Window isn't up until March 14.

How is the epic February I jammed down your throat?

 

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Awesome, got a bunch of skiing in while you visited the beaus homeland. Home was great too, bunch of outside work done,  kind of rainy for a record torch that absolutely no one had

[ice1972]

  On 3/4/2018 at 6:17 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Thumper the dumper for you

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Thumper doesn’t have time this time of year......there’s food to be found and predators to avoid eating you....lol....nobody is hibernating now