BuffaloWeather Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: This beast is seriously amped with thunderstorm like convection billowing around the center of the SLP, which is is NCPA and hauling azz East, but it should slow as it realizes it really has nowhere to go just yet, lol! You can still see the spin just near NY/PA border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, tim123 said: New wrf model and nnb both give roc 2 inches of qpf It would be great if you could post them! Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yo WOWu can still see the spin just near NY/PA border Especially on the enhanced WV imagery, just WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 This ****er screams overperform all up and down the block! Thundersnow in areas that were northern envelope. Boom! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I'm just hoping there isn't a Coastal that quickly rips away the energy over the area as that is a distinct possibility, but rather I'd love to see this morph onto a stacked ULL right over NYC and let it sit and spin for 6-10 hrs as that would be the most ideal situation but not likely. Its beginning its transfer, but should do so slowly, or at least thats what the guidance shows. I stiill think there will be some definite surprises with this monster IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 Video along lakeshore. Can see flash of lightning in there at 7/8 second mark!~ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Now this is a classic Negative Tilt to the atmosphere producing intense lift! H300 H500 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Nnb wrf. Odd cause it usually dryer than arw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Looks like it’s trying to flip but still mostly rain. Temp has dropped to 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Arw wrf is very similiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, tim123 said: Arw wrf is very similiar Why are you using models? The storm is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: Looks like it’s trying to flip but still mostly rain. Temp has dropped to 36. Same here and its all snow in KFXY, go figure. Do they have any sort of elevation in and around Fulton? I think up near the airport is a bit higher. I'm at 495' which means nothing but they can be a bit higher. Wouldn't take much at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 To show you the plows are not out anywhere. Love driving around in my AWD Mazda, the depth was above the clearance for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Looks like it’s trying to flip but still mostly rain. Temp has dropped to 36. I have 41 and also rain. We have a few hour window for snowfall until early afternoon. After the precip rate drops off and the BL being above 32F turns whatever is falling back to liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Every so often a parachute will mix in, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2”/hr rates in Pittsford. Listening for thunder!!!4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 Good clip of some of the high winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: I have 41 and also rain. We have a few hour window for snowfall until early afternoon. After the precip rate drops off the BL turns whatever is falling back to liquid. Nothing I looked at, saw or read said any of this but you may very well be right. I saw a high tomorrow of 31 for KFZY so I guess we'll see! Warning goes till 1AMN from KBGM which is quite surprising. anyway I'm still oprtimistic for at least 8" here so we'll see bruh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Im off to bed, early shift tomorrow. Post some radars throughout the night if you guys stay up! Good luck everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Every so often a parachute will mix in, lol! Ty, almost all snow her in west Phoenix. Gotta go to bed but starting to accumulate on deck. Big flakes, It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 Few pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 18Z tomorrow, temp of 29 with S+ Actually light snow with small non accumulating flakes, so you could be right especially with the <arch SUN ANGLE. lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Down to 34 with light snow north of KALB. Great pics out west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Nothing I looked at, saw or read said any of this but you may very well be right. I saw a high tomorrow of 31 for KFZY so I guess we'll see! Warning goes till 1AMN from KBGM which is quite surprising. anyway I'm still oprtimistic for at least 8" here so we'll see bruh! Think RGEM and other models snow hole in CNY due to the xfer process...if I wasn't lazy af I'd post Skew-T's. This starts and ends liquid here, albeit brief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: Think RGEM and other models snow hoke in CNY due to the xfer process...if I wasn't lazy at I'd post the NAM Skew-T's. This starts and ends liquid here. I just did, the 18Z but I didn't go any further. So your saying it ends as a light rn drizzle type ****e? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 Pivot point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 i also just posted about the transfer and robbing it of its energy so I completely understand, trust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: i also just posted about the transfer and robbing it of its energy so I completely understand, trust! Believe me, I'm ok with a few slushy inches. WNY deserves a good dump though. I was ready for golf 2 weeks ago. I wrote this one off a day ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I'm over to mostly parachutes now, so now the fun begins, and lets see where we end up by tomorrow 18Z. Even though its snowing I don't think it'll start to accumulate till at least 3AM perhaps later so thats not good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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