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1 hour ago, MAIDEsNow said:

Was a factor for sure. Pondered a home purchase just north of Sherman about a year ago, but the commute and substantial extra bite out of each paycheck quashed that.

Only 100 posts and you live in the snowbelt! Don't be shy, we love pics/videos in this forum especially for historic events! 

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18 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Does that line at the bottom across the mid atlantic/south scream global warming to you guys too? When the temp changes just a few degrees, locations with marginally cold temps are greatly impacted. I expect that red line to move farther north every year as we keep warming. 

Yeah - speaking of such SA did an interesting article about something along those lines:

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/arctic-warm-spells-linked-to-nasty-winter-weather-on-east-coast/

 

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29 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Does that line at the bottom across the mid atlantic/south scream global warming to you guys too? When the temp changes just a few degrees, locations with marginally cold temps are greatly impacted. I expect that red line to move farther north every year as we keep warming. 

Could be. I'm usually careful with drawing too many broad conclusions from select data sets but i would think that's consistent with the GW idea. I think we know in general earth has warmed, by how much is a matter of some debate and the causes of such even more so. But that's a subject for another forum, which I usually avoid because everyone's an "expert" and have their minds made up and heels dug in, one way or another...

I'd be curious to see a study of Lake Ontario water temps along with air temps and perhaps other relevant atmospheric conditions over that period.  Because that chart looks like an increase in lake snows happened over that 30 yr period compared to the previous one.

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4 hours ago, Syrmax said:

Looks like the whole Thursday 12z model suite takes next weeks system well south of us, including Euro. Unless I'm missing something.

You’re not missing anything. But (prepare to cringe) climo would argue against a track that far south. I mentioned suppression as a worry but I’m thinking more like N Pa- NOT DC. 

IDK. One run. Lots of time. Several moving parts. 

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1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

You’re not missing anything. But (prepare to cringe) climo would argue against a track that far south. I mentioned suppression as a worry but I’m thinking more like N Pa- NOT DC. 

IDK. One run. Lots of time. Several moving parts. 

Right. I was surprised by KBGM's AFD this afternoon. Still rather bullish on impacts to upstate. They are right to mention models flopping about especially this far in advance.  We shall see. 

Of note KBGM's Clump report for today has KSYR at 42.2" snowfall thusfar for March and 149.7" total seasonal.  Impressive.  We need a couple more bombs to approach the record of 192" though.  And its getting late.  Still, have to figure this March will end up a top 5 or 10 for snowfall at this point.

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