CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Not in lansing, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 who needs spring.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 12, 2018 Author Share Posted March 12, 2018 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: who needs spring.. I do, this weather is depressing in Mid March. Unless it's a big dog, please bring me warmth. I want to open my windows and feel the sun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 16 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: who needs spring.. Yikes...that's some cold. I saw the EC h850 maps out thru 240...but dayum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Could be a decent accumulation overnight for whoever gets under the ivt.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 I'll tell you what, it's not going to take any time for it to start snowing because I just left my crib just to the north of 31 by about 3 or 4 miles and I'm just hitting the 481-81 interchange and it's snowingSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 Snowing heavier yet the further east I go as now I just hit the Kirkville exit and it's snowing even heavierSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 It's not spring yet, spring arrives March 21st, lol!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 As Freak mentioned, Small flakes have commenced. Wolfie is right about the ivt positioning. A couple inches possible, probably in the higher ground unless we get fortunate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 12, 2018 Share Posted March 12, 2018 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: It's not spring yet, spring arrives March 21st, lol! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk I thought spring didn’t start until Mother’s Day around here, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Hell July 4th more like it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: I do, this weather is depressing in Mid March. Unless it's a big dog, please bring me warmth. I want to open my windows and feel the sun! Count how many times you can honestly say that in March in WNY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 True ****e! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: True ****e! What fascinates me is we have now had continuous snow cover otg from March 1st to present and that will persist right through the 3rd week of March and possibly beyond.. When is the last time, if any we can say that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 27 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: What fascinates me is we have now had continuous snow cover otg from March 1st to present and that will persist right through the 3rd week of March and possibly beyond.. When is the last time, if any we can say that? In a “good” winter, or at least Feb into March, I achieve peak snowpile depth at my mailbox in the first week or two of March and then we start slowly melting down by the third or fourth week of March. Our depth hasn’t been as impressive as some early March periods, but agree the duration should go on pretty long, as you mentioned. If I am to believe local NWS, despite NWP estimates of 1.1 - 1.2” Liquid Equivalent snowfall, we won’t really get any snow to accumulate this week as the March sun, downsloping, limited snow growth, cellular lake enhancement, wind shear, diurnal influences, high winds, light winds, road salt, and locusts will apparently conspire to limit accumulations to nuisance amounts other than on some select ridge tops. In fact, I’m surprised Flood Watches aren’t being issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Wwa 5 to 8. Think it' too low. I could see some local 12 inch totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 23 minutes ago, Syrmax said: In a “good” winter, or at least Feb into March, I achieve peak snowpile depth at my mailbox in the first week or two of March and then we start slowly melting down by the third or fourth week of March. Our depth hasn’t been as impressive as some early March periods, but agree the duration should go on pretty long, as you mentioned. If I am to believe local NWS, despite NWP estimates of 1.1 - 1.2” Liquid Equivalent snowfall, we won’t really get any snow to accumulate this week as the March sun, downsloping, limited snow growth, cellular lake enhancement, wind shear, diurnal influences, high winds, light winds, road salt, and locusts will apparently conspire to limit accumulations to nuisance amounts other than on some select ridge tops. In fact, I’m surprised Flood Watches aren’t being issued. Sure hate to see ya like that Mr. Taggart. Maybe this will pep you up. Given the considerations above, and the continued upward trend in QPF for the 12Z and 18Z model guidance, have expanded the winter weather advisory to cover the entire CWA. For the new areas added, it will run from early Tuesday evening through late Wednesday night. It is possible that some areas may approach warning criteria snow if the more aggressive 12KM NAM and 3KM NAM solutions verify, but confidence is not high enough yet to jump on warnings for parts of the area. Expect storm totals to reach 5-8 inches for much of the area, with local amounts of a 10-14 inches across the higher terrain east of Lakes Erie and Ontario. The lowest accumulations are likely to be along the Lake Erie shore and Niagara River (including Buffalo and Niagara Falls) where influence from northwest upslope flow is lowest, and also along the Genesee River in Livingston and Allegany counties (due to downsloping). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 9 minutes ago, phoenixny said: Sure hate to see ya like that Mr. Taggart. Maybe this will pep you up. Given the considerations above, and the continued upward trend in QPF for the 12Z and 18Z model guidance, have expanded the winter weather advisory to cover the entire CWA. For the new areas added, it will run from early Tuesday evening through late Wednesday night. It is possible that some areas may approach warning criteria snow if the more aggressive 12KM NAM and 3KM NAM solutions verify, but confidence is not high enough yet to jump on warnings for parts of the area. Expect storm totals to reach 5-8 inches for much of the area, with local amounts of a 10-14 inches across the higher terrain east of Lakes Erie and Ontario. The lowest accumulations are likely to be along the Lake Erie shore and Niagara River (including Buffalo and Niagara Falls) where influence from northwest upslope flow is lowest, and also along the Genesee River in Livingston and Allegany counties (due to downsloping). LOL. Headley! This looks like NWS trying to protect their phoney baloney jobs! snowing and accumulating here, but not on roads. Thus it’s not happening. and that’s for KBUF. We melt here, across the river. Harumph! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 13, 2018 Author Share Posted March 13, 2018 54 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Count how many times you can honestly say that in March in WNY March is WNY best synoptic month. And there has been countless times with 60s and 70s in March. March 2012 brought mid 80s. The average high is in the 40s already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: LOL. Headley! This looks like NWS trying to protect their phoney baloney jobs! snowing and accumulating here, but not on roads. Thus it’s not happening. Harumph! Dock that meteorologist a days pay for napping on the job. and it's Hedley. haha I think we do ok with this one. Would not be surprised if we go to WSW for Tuesday night through Wednesday night. Time will tell. Still think Wed. am is rough until the sun gets higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 5 hours ago, vortmax said: Not sure why they didn't put N Cayuga and Wayne in the WWA...thinking they will add them. As predicted...Probably won't upgrade to warnings due to long duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Can someone post lake temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 I think the western edge of this precip shield may very well be enhanced! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 I wonder If an advisory wasn't posted for tonight's event, would it still be snowing, lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 What r the odds of KBOX extending their BW one county West to include Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 7 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: What r the odds of KBOX extending their BW one county West to include Boston? I thought there was a standing BW to cover their CWA in perpetuity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 Perhaps there should be, lol. I think this one may perhaps verify in and around the metro area but we'll see when its all said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 I can't post it but the radar out of KBUF is pretty kool to look at if anyone is interested. The winds are from the SW to their South, From the Nortwest to the North of the city and their from the East to their East! Yeah that sounds about right as I had to read it to myself to make sure it sounded right, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 That is a monstrous negatively tilted H700 LP, wow, with copious amounts of synoptic moisture being thrown westward up and over a large dome of pretty darn cold air! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 13, 2018 Share Posted March 13, 2018 54 minutes ago, vortmax said: Can someone post lake temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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