CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Look at how far East the RGEM is compared to other guidance, WOW. This should be the biggest bust of em all, lol! Has the Poconos getting .46"/liq equ, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 A Lot of lightning in nj..Thunder sleet reported in AC.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 14 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: A Lot of lightning in nj..Thunder sleet reported in AC.. Nice convection, but I always feel like thunder during frozen p-type that isn't snow is a bit of a cheat, because graupel, sleet, and hail just generate so much more frictional charge than dendrites. I mean, you have to have pretty intense convection for actual thundersnow in a synoptic storm, which is awesome and rare. LES thundersnow is cool, but I remember hearing thundersnow when I lived in Boston during the March 1993 coastal blizzard, and that made a huge impression on me. I think we can all agree that people who freak out about thunder during graupel or sleet events are rank amateurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The strikes between cnj-nyc is snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 36 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: The snowstorm is over, the sun is breaking through, lol. That band that has been moving through Western NY during the morning really crapped out fast. By the time it passes through Buffalo in the next half hour, it isn't likely to be more than a short period of wind gusts. I don't have my hopes up for much, but even that minor burst of snow seems to have been too much to hope for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Look at that green in the HV south of Albany again. Its like Little Havana North. Remind me to never live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: The strikes between cnj-nyc is snow.. Oh ok - I was looking at a lightning map earlier and it was firing off near Atlantic City where it was definitely rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 25 minutes ago, WNash said: Nice convection, but I always feel like thunder during frozen p-type that isn't snow is a bit of a cheat, because graupel, sleet, and hail just generate so much more frictional charge than dendrites. I mean, you have to have pretty intense convection for actual thundersnow in a synoptic storm, which is awesome and rare. LES thundersnow is cool, but I remember hearing thundersnow when I lived in Boston during the March 1993 coastal blizzard, and that made a huge impression on me. I think we can all agree that people who freak out about thunder during graupel or sleet events are rank amateurs. Even that last system with quite a few strikes of lightning and a rapidly deepening system in the perfect spot to hit us was nothing compared to the LES events we have had even earlier this year. Synoptic like we just had is awesome, but nothing competes with a strong LES band. They're not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Looks like Manhattan is seeing some S+ at the moment and my brother called and said their expecting 2-3"/hr rates this afternoon into early evening. Very heavy precip in So. NJ with sleet in between. I wonder how many stories up the asos set-up is at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Saw the PHL AFD...meso banding and heaviest snow further east than progged there...so despite heavy snow, surface temps in mid 30s are limiting accumulation...so I figure they will have a hard time seeing forecasted amts. Maybe get to bottom end of ranges? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 Can't wait until next LES season starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Not even inch here with wet road. A band came thru earlier with good rates for about 30 mins but now back to white mist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Time for BGM to do the deed and cancel the WWA's and replace the WSW's with WWA's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Well, perusing NYC and SNE, other than a few locations with elevation away from the shoreline, or crooked rulers, I don't see high forecast snow totals materializing. NYC reports, with photos show very little OTG. What a waste, but snowstorms at 35 degrees do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 The busts with this dud will be immense, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 Was just checking snowfall totals for highest areas in WNY and Tug, looks like Perrysburg for WNY at 218.5" and Redfield for Tug at 320.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 Forgot to post some pics from the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 We will get more from the wrap around than NYC did the main event, lol, and they we're in the Jackpot zone on most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 2 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: The busts with this dud will be immense, lol! No kidding! One Facebook weather group was calling for 2-4" in Toronto by Friday - we haven't seen anything! I don't know where they get their info from - no model was calling for that amount in the snow-hole, otherwise known as Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Dryslot is gonna shut everything off across all of SNE, lol, WOW I'd be extremely bummed if that occurred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Snowing nicely across Wayne County at least from a Vid-cam pov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 Under 3" total in Queensbury. Major bust from ALY 10-18" warning and 13" most likely from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 1 hour ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Dryslot is gonna shut everything off across all of SNE, lol, WOW I'd be extremely bummed if that occurred. Looks like that meso banding in portions of NJ did a great job. Some big totals of 16-24" in the affected counties in west, central NJ. Outside of that looks like 3-6" generally by scanning the PNS's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, weatherMA said: Under 3" total in Queensbury. Major bust from ALY 10-18" warning and 13" most likely from yesterday. Wow. That's a disastrous forecast bust. Condolences...that always stinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 8, 2018 Author Share Posted March 8, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 There has been a death band parked across ALY's western New England zones (Litchfield CT - Pittsfield MA - Bennington VT) for a while now. Has to be some 30+ totals coming out of the high terrain there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 10 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: There has been a death band parked across ALY's western New England zones (Litchfield CT - Pittsfield MA - Bennington VT) for a while now. Has to be some 30+ totals coming out of the high terrain there. Whoa there. We don't use that term which-shall-not-be-named in this forum. I was afraid this day would come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: Whoa there. We don't use that term which-shall-not-be-named in this forum. I was afraid this day would come. Edited to emphasize sarcasm I cringe everytime i read “mother of god” or that it’s absolutely puking snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, WxNoob said: Looks like it’s absolutely puking snow over that way, Mother of god! I wonder if that’s orographically enhanced as it seems to line up with the windward side of the Berkshires. Note the precipitation minimum on the NY side due to subsidence on the lee side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 22 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: I wonder if that’s orographically enhanced as it seems to line up with the windward side of the Berkshires. Note the precipitation minimum on the NY side due to subsidence on the lee side. There have been many times the past several years that we've been sucking on subsidence while an intense snow band was parked over Western New England. Probably about 8" or so between early this morning through this evening. Much less once you got from Glens Falls on north and much more once you got 20-25 miles SE of KALB. So it could have been worse, but it was a bit of a let down. Getting 22" in the first week of March is nothing to sneeze at however, especially after how the rest of the winter had gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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